MLB DFS Top Stacks: Tuesday, April 11
Alex Sonty walks you through the top stacks for the upcoming MLB main slate. Should we eat the chalk? Which team is a good pivot? Where can we find leverage? Find out below!
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles on MLB DFS picks are about the individual players most likely to succeed on any given day, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play.
In this space, we will be looking at the MLB DFS process over the MLB DFS picks. And we’re looking at teams over individual players, using the features of the RotoGrinders Top Stacks tool. We’ll still look at the player projections available in LineupHQ. Still, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
This is a better slate for pitching diversity than stacks, despite the 10 games queued up, so we’re gonna see ownership really coagulate at the top between Coors and and the Mariners — especially in single-entry and small contests. Be very careful to not doublechalk, even if you’re gonna be different at pitching.
Chalk Stacks — Cardinals
We’re gonna go through this every time the Cardinals face a lefty. Their projected lineup against lefties since 2022 is basically Jose Canseco on steroids. They bring a .230 ISO versus southpaws with a 43.5% FB rate and a 40.9% hard-hit rate into a Coors Field where all you need to do is hit it hard and lift.
Kyle Freeland isn’t a gas can and the Cards are an average strikeout team, but Freeland only comes into Tuesday with a very low 6.58 K/9. Through 12.2 IP this season, he’s surrendered a 92.5% contact rate. On top of that, the Rockies bullpen is pretty bad.
I fade Coors a lot, but I’m instead looking for the optimal way to play the Cards tonight against the field’s best moves.
This is a play-everyone spot and I mean everyone. Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado will be among the top-owned players on the slate, so get dirty with Jordan Walker (who’s off to a hot start) and Juan Yepez at the bottom of the order for salary relief. Taylor Motter is bad, but he’s also very cheap. Playing Willson Contreras in the C/1B spot over Goldschmidt on FD could be a way to get unique.
All of this said, the ownership here is gonna be out of control due to soft pricing on DK and the wealth of pitching tightening up the pools for stacks.