MLB DFS Top Stacks: Tuesday, May 2
Keith Eyster walks you through the top stacks for the upcoming MLB main slate. Should we eat the chalk? Which team is a good pivot? Where can we find leverage? Find out below!
Alex Sonty walks you through the top stacks for the upcoming MLB main slate. Should we eat the chalk? Which team is a good pivot? Where can we find leverage? Find out below!
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles on MLB DFS picks are about the individual players most likely to succeed on any given day, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play.
In this space, we will be looking at the MLB DFS process over the MLB DFS picks. And we’re looking at teams over individual players, using the features of the RotoGrinders Top Stacks tool. We’ll still look at the player projections available in LineupHQ. Still, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
Today isn’t just a Coors slate. It’s a Coors slate with a team that we actually enjoy stacking visiting Colorado in the Brewers. The Coors coagulation at the top is going to leave us a lot of wiggle room in stacking high-end plays. The next variable, though, is salary. There are a couple of great arms on this slate for which to pay up, which will raise the ownership of the value stacks. Not to the point of Coors, but we should be careful with those teams, too.
Chalk Stack – Brewers vs. Ryan Feltner
I don’t play Coors very often. Especially not on full slates, but that doesn’t mean you should fade. Play however you want. It’s the best overall run-scoring environment in The Show and the Brewers have a good deal of high FB rates in Willy Adames (43.1% against righties since 2022), Rowdy Tellez (43.0%), and Jesse Winker (42.5%). And the rest of the lineup is packed with power, too, when they get under the ball. Keyword being “when.”
The wrench in our plans might be Ryan Feltner. He isn’t any damn good in general, but he’s more of a GB-leaning neutral guy with a 7.8% barrel rate since 2022. Overall, neutral batted ball profile. What we can exploit most is his 3.60 BB/9. If we need a guy who doesn’t blow up often to blow up, we can usually find that ceiling for our stacks in a pitcher’s lack of control.
On top of not really wanting to pick on Feltner, the Brewers will stand alone at the top of the pOWN% charts throughout the day and could actualize in the 20-25% range, despite the size of this slate. They don’t fit with the aces so that’ll cap the ownership, but it’ll still be high.
We shouldn’t ignore the Rockies in the same environment against a much better pitcher, but who has had his own control issues in the recent past. I’m prepared to trust Freddy Peralta, though. His 2.83 BB/9 this season could realistically be him turning a new leaf.
Colorado is a pivot off of the Brewers, but not the best.
Want to read more? Sign up for Premium!
