MLB DFS Top Stacks: Tuesday, September 17th
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles are about the individual players most likely to succeed, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play. With some help from our Top Stacks tool, we will aim to look more at the process instead of just the picks and the teams instead of just the players. We’ll still analyze the MLB player projections that are available in our MLB optimizer, LineupHQ. However, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
We have another Coors Field game on our hands with a high implied run total. There are two other stacks that are really appealing, so let’s dive into it.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2024 season unless otherwise noted.
Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our PrizePicks promo code and Underdog Fantasy promo code, two of the best DFS sites available today.
MLB DFS Picks: Top Stacks for Tuesday, September 17th
CHALKY OPTO STACK
Diamondbacks at Ryan Feltner
Feltner isn’t a horrible pitcher. He owns a 4.48 xERA, which is about as pedestrian as it gets, but Coors Field hasn’t been kind to him this season.
In Denver, he has a 6.25 ERA and has given up 10 home runs in 59 IP, while he’s yielded 9 homers in 84.2 road innings. The Coors Field effect is real, as his HR/FB% is 10% higher at home, which has translated to a 1.53 HR/9 at Coors.
It’s really hard to dislike any left-handed Diamondback hitter. Feltner hasn’t been good against either side of the plate at home this year, but he’s given up a bit more power overall to lefties. Across the last month, he’s also thrown nearly 50% of 4-seam fastballs to hitters, and there is no worse recipe for chaos than to predictably throw fastballs at Coors Field. Joc Pederson and Pavin Smith have been awesome vs. RHP this year, Ketel Marte continues to pulverize everyone, and Corbin Carroll has really come alive in the second half.
Christian Walker has been other-worldly vs. RHP in the last 20 days from a power perspective, and Eugenio Suarez owns .288 ISO and .386 wOBA against them during that same stretch. Arizona is projected to roll out 6 hitters with ISOs better than .200 vs. RHP.
The Rockies have the league’s worst bullpen ERA and have coughed up the 6th-most home runs. It’s an added bonus that the Diamondbacks get the guaranteed 9th-inning at-bat. This game was a flop last night, but there really isn’t a reason other than pOWN% not to go back to the well, especially if you can get a little different at pitcher.
Arizona has a massive 6.24 implied run total, according to RotoGrinders, and that’s why our Top Stacks Tool projects them as the most popular stack, with the highest Opto%.
PIVOT STACK
Want to read more? Sign up for Premium!
