MLB DFS Picks - FanDuel & DraftKings Expert Survey: Tuesday, August 16th

Curious to know the top tournament target? Want to know our analysts’ favorite stacks? Below we answer lineup-building questions to help you prepare for the upcoming slate. NOTE: Expert Surveys are only posted for main slates.

MLB Expert Survey: Tuesday, August 16

Who is your favorite hitter for optimal lineups?

CheeseIsGood: Willson Contreras
Stevietpfl: Jose Ramirez
MrTuttle: Ronald Acuna
fathalpert: Franmil Reyes
boggslite: Jose Ramirez

Who is your favorite hitter for large-field contests?

CheeseIsGood: Julio Rodriguez
Stevietpfl: Matt Olson
MrTuttle: Julio Rodriguez
fathalpert: Vladimir Guerrero
boggslite: Paul Goldschmidt

Who is your favorite pitcher for optimal lineups?

CheeseIsGood: Robbie Ray
Stevietpfl: Robbie Ray
MrTuttle: Robbie Ray
fathalpert: Robbie Ray
boggslite: Robbie Ray

Who is your favorite pitcher for large-field contests?

CheeseIsGood: Dylan Cease (FD) / Justin Steele (DK)
Stevietpfl: Zach Plesac
MrTuttle: Dylan Cease
fathalpert: Zach Plesac
boggslite: Dylan Cease

Who is your favorite salary saver for optimal lineups?

CheeseIsGood: Marcus Semien (FD) / Vinnie Pasquantino (DK)
Stevietpfl: Marcus Semien (FD) / Franmil Reyes (DK)
MrTuttle: Marcus Semien (FD) / Franmil Reyes (DK)
fathalpert: Marcus Semien (FD) / Vinnie Pasquantino (DK)
boggslite: Marcus Semien (FD) / Alex Verdugo (DK)

Who is your favorite salary saver for large-field contests?

CheeseIsGood: Seth Brown
Stevietpfl: Cal Stevenson
MrTuttle: Seiya Suzuki (FD) / Oneil Cruz (DK)
fathalpert: Nick Madrigal (if hitting leadoff)
boggslite: Franmil Reyes

Which player are you most afraid of being underweight on compared to the field?

CheeseIsGood: Justin Verlander
Stevietpfl: Sonny Gray
MrTuttle: Justin Verlander
fathalpert: Sonny Gray
boggslite: Aaron Judge

What’s your under-the-radar home run call of the day?

CheeseIsGood: Ty France
Stevietpfl: Jonah Heim
MrTuttle: Gleyber Torres
fathalpert: Jose Abreu
boggslite: Albert Pujols

What is the top stack on the board for leverage in low-dollar GPPs?

CheeseIsGood: STL
Stevietpfl: STL
MrTuttle: LAD
fathalpert: ATL
boggslite: SEA

Who are your five favorite stacks for large-field contests, ranked in order? (rank below in drop-down)

CheeseIsGood: 1) TOR 2) STL 3) CHC 4) ATL 5) CLE
Stevietpfl: 1) TOR 2) ATL 3) STL 4) CLE 5) CHC
MrTuttle: 1) ATL 2) TOR 3) CHC 4) STL 5) CLE
fathalpert: 1) TOR 2) CHC 3) ATL 4) CLE 5) STL
boggslite: 1) TOR 2) STL 3) ATL 4) CHC 5) CLE

Expert Survey Tournament Stack Rankings based on analyst responses above

1. TOR
2. ATL
3. STL
4. CHC
5. CLE

How do you plan to beat the field of opponents? What tactic or strategy will set you apart?

CheeseIsGood: The bats are extremely jumbled, and this is a slate where I will keep an eye on ownership to make sure nothing gets too chalky. Potentially Atlanta and Toronto could end up popular enough to take an underweight stance, but otherwise I expect things to be spread out enough to play whatever you want. For me, that will be the Cardinals and Cubs along with the Blue Jays as my three primary offenses. I’m fine to eat some chalk with Robbie Ray and spread out at SP2, using cheaper options like Zach Plesac, Jose Quintana and Justin Steele.

Stevietpfl: I plan on being overweight on Toronto, Atlanta, Cleveland, and St. Louis tonight. I’m hoping Cleveland is my lower-owned stack I can pair with some of the more popular stacks. As far as pitching, I will be underweight on Cease, Woodruff, and Manoah.

MrTuttle: Spread out SP exposure. While Ray stands out as the clear SP1 we still have some other awesome high upside options on this slate in Nestor Cortes, Justin Verlander, Charlie Morton, Dylan Cease, and Alek Manoah.

fathalpert: Spread out everywhere. Despite being a 13-game slate, and despite me loving Robbie Ray and the Cubs bats, there’s no way I am going to plant my flag on either if I’m MME’ing. There are enough arms and stacks on this slate where ownership will become a huge factor for me. Dylan Cease, Justin Verlander, Brandon Woodruff and Nestor Cortes don’t stand out based on their salaries and matchups, but any of them could easily be the top scoring pitcher of the night. The same can be said for the hitting side – while I love the Cubs’ matchup, they haven’t been an easy offense to trust this season. If you have convictions that go against this Expert Survey, feel free to go with your convictions because this is a wide-open 13-game slate.

boggslite: On a slate where not much really stands out, I plan to narrow my pitching pool and increase my exposure to more hitters than I normally would. Outside of Robbie Ray, I don’t expect ownership to get out of control, so having multiple offenses seems optimal; hoping at least one busts out for a big game.

Who is your top overall pitcher (when considering price, matchup, projected ownership, etc.) on the board and why?

CheeseIsGood: Robbie Ray – The matchup for Ray will move him up to the top of my list (and probably everyone’s list) tonight. Justin Verlander and Dylan Cease are the more consistent pitchers, but Ray has as much upside as anyone, and the Angels are a mix of high strikeout and low power bats that more than offset whatever risk the inconsistency of Ray brings to the table.

Stevietpfl: Robbie Ray – I have Ray as my top overall pitcher tonight. While I could see Verlander outscoring him, I like the matchup for Ray more than Verlander. Ray has a 28% strikeout rate with a 14.8% swinging strike rate on the season. The projected lineup has a .115 ISO with a .266 wOBA vs. LHP this season. This lineup is weak against left-handed pitching without Trout and Rendon.

MrTuttle: Robbie Ray – As the season has progressed a lot of SP strategy has been as simple as rostering the guy facing the Angels. With Trout sidelined, Ohtani is the only bat to fear in their lineup and he still strikes out at a high rate vs LHP. Per PlateIQ, the Angels projected lineup for tonight owns a 23.8% strikeout rate, a measly .110 ISO, and a .259 wOBA vs LHP this season. On top of a tremendous matchup, we actually are backing a good pitcher here in Ray who has high strikeout upside (28%).

fathalpert: Robbie Ray – There are a ton of aces on this slate but when you factor in that Ray is only the 6th highest priced starter on DK and the 5th highest priced starter of FD, yet arguably has the best matchup on the slate against an Angels team that has the 6th highest K% against lefties, give me Ray as the top pitcher. It’s not only that the Angels strike out a lot, it’s also that they lack power against southpaws. This season their team ISO ranks 25th in the Majors against lefties. There is always that fear that the “bad” Robbie Ray might show up, but given the matchup and price tag, it’s a risk I’m willing to take.

boggslite: Robbie Ray – Typically more of a GPP-only SP in years past, Ray has become more reliable as he has developed as a pitcher by sacrificing strikeouts for control. Tonight Ray gets a low walk, high strikeout opponent in LAA, who lacks the power to make him pay should he struggle with his command.

Who is your top overall hitter (when considering price, matchup, projected ownership, etc.) on the board and why?

CheeseIsGood: Willson Contreras – There are not a lot of knowns on this slate, but one thing we know for sure is that Patrick Corbin allows right-handed power. He is a below-average strikeout pitcher who gets hit hard and in the air year after year. He is at a .211 ISO to righties so far this season and is once again near the top of the charts in HR/9. Willson Contreras has a massive .356 ISO against lefties this season and his high salary should keep him somewhat overlooked.

Stevietpfl: Jose Ramirez – On paper, Cleveland doesn’t look like the top stack tonight. With that said, they draw a fantastic matchup against Hill. Hill has a 6.6 xFIP with an 11.2% strikeout rate and a 9.9% walk rate on the season. Anytime a walk rate is as high as a strikeout rate, it’s usually a good stack spot. Ramirez has a .279 ISO, .385 wOBA, and a 86.7% contact rate vs. RHP this season.

MrTuttle: Ronald Acuna – Hitting is pretty spread out on this slate and I don’t really see any player that is a “must play” in terms of cash game lineup construction. Taking more of a tournament approach to this question, I love Acuna who is currently projected to be under 10% owned in a home matchup against Taijuan Walker. Walker is a solid pitcher who I don’t expect will be picked on heavily on a 13-game slate but he profiles as a strong power matchup as a flyball pitcher that doesn’t miss a lot of bats (18.7 K%).

fathalpert: Franmil Reyes – This is an odd slate where my top overall hitter could also be considered the top overall salary saver. I want to target Patrick Corbin as much as possible on this slate, as he owns a dreadful 1.71 HR/9 ratio and is allowing an OPS of over .900 to both sides of the plate. 18 of his 21 homers this season have been to right-handed batters, leaving Franmil Reyes in a prime spot here to mash against Corbin’s worse side of the split. Reyes is only $2,800 on DK and $2,700 on FD, making him an easy way to get exposure to the Cubs without sacrificing much salary.

boggslite: Jose Ramirez – Entering tonight’s game with a .391 wOBA and a .279 ISO against RHP this season, Ramirez continues to produce despite mediocre talent surrounding him in the lineup. He should get plenty of quality pitches tonight against a weak righty in Hill who owns the lowest swinging strike rate among pitchers on tonight’s slate.

What is your hot take of the day?

CheeseIsGood: The Cubs, Cardinals and Mariners each hit six HR.

Stevietpfl: Nick Pivetta throws a CGSO.

MrTuttle: The Dodgers are surprisingly the top scoring offense of the day in a tough matchup against Brandon Woodruff.

fathalpert: Zach Plesac is a top-five scoring pitcher on this slate.

boggslite: TOR scores 10+ runs and hits 5+ HRs.

Curious to know the top tournament target? Want to know our analysts’ favorite stacks? Below we answer lineup-building questions to help you prepare for the upcoming slate. NOTE: Expert Surveys are only posted for main slates.

MLB Expert Survey: Tuesday, August 16

Who is your favorite hitter for optimal lineups?

CheeseIsGood: Willson Contreras
Stevietpfl: Jose Ramirez
MrTuttle: Ronald Acuna
fathalpert: Franmil Reyes
boggslite: Jose Ramirez

Who is your favorite hitter for large-field contests?

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About the Author

  • John Britt (jmbwngfn)

  • One of the top baseball and hockey analysts in the DFS industry, John Britt is a family man hailing from St. Louis, Missouri. A proud graduate of the University of Missouri, John’s passion is hockey but he excels at multiple DFS sports. He has been nominated multiple times for awards for his written work in both baseball (best MLB series) and hockey (3x NHL Writer of the Year nominee) and is now the Lead Editor at RotoGrinders. John can be found on Twitter at the username JMBWngFn.

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