MLB Grind Down: Monday, June 1 - Page Three

Pittsburgh at San Francisco – 10:15 PM EST

Pittsburgh San Francisco
pittsburghmlb Gerrit Cole sanfranciscomlb Ryan Vogelsong
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Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
PIT (-129) 6.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.254 0.705 0.315 0.242 SP vs. Left 0.285 0.835 0.365 0.192
SP vs. Right 0.23 0.627 0.28 0.26 SP vs. Right 0.217 0.66 0.294 0.186
Batter Splits PIT BvP PIT vs R Batter Splits SF BvP SF vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Gerrit Cole (FD: $10100, DK: $9900)

Pitching Stats:
2015: IP: 64 — SIERA: 2.67 — K Rate: 27.5% — K/9: 9.84 — BB Rate: 5.5% — FB Rate: 24.2% — HR/FB: 10.0%
2014: IP: 138 — SIERA: 3.23 — K Rate: 24.2% — K/9: 9.00 — BB Rate: 7.0% — FB Rate: 31.8% — HR/FB: 9.4%

San Francisco Giants vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 5) — wRC+: 110 (Rank: 2)

Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.71 (Rank: 26)

Analysis: Cole is another ace to take the mound tonight in a less than ideal situation. He has been terrific this season with a 2.67 SIERA and a K/9 of 9.8. He draws a tough matchup against the Giants though. San Francisco is currently ranked 6th or better in wOBA, strikeout rate, and wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season. Cole may be a little overpriced for his matchup, which is why he’s a better tournament play than a cash game play.

Pitcher Rating:81.0


Ryan Vogelsong (FD: $6600, DK: $6100)

Pitching Stats:
2015: IP: 51 — SIERA: 4.51 — K Rate: 17.2% — K/9: 6.71 — BB Rate: 9.1% — FB Rate: 39.1% — HR/FB: 14.3%
2014: IP: 184 — SIERA: 3.98 — K Rate: 19.4% — K/9: 7.36 — BB Rate: 7.4% — FB Rate: 37.3% — HR/FB: 8.8%

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 13) — wRC+: 95 (Rank: 13)

Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.81 (Rank: 12)

Analysis: Vogelsong is often written off of as a terrible play before even looking at his numbers. He has actually coming off of a very solid month of May, where he posted a 1.15 ERA in five starts. I’m not buying in just yet though, he averaged less than six strikeouts per nine innings during that stretch and his BABIP was at an unsustainably low level (.217). He typically pitches better at home, but he’s not on my radar tonight against the surging Pirates’ offense.

Pitcher Rating:55.6

Batter Grind Down

Pittsburgh

Neil Walker (FD: $2800, DK: $3900)

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 196 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.141 — wRC+: 112
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 571 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 135

Analysis: Walker is the top value play at second base tonight. He is a switch-hitter that hits well from both sides of the plate. He draws a favorable matchup against Ryan Vogelsong, who has given up a .365 wOBA to left-handed hitters.

Secondary Plays:

Josh Harrison (FD: $3400, DK: $4100)
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 190 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.142 — wRC+: 103
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 550 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.184 — wRC+: 135


San Francisco

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Secondary Plays:

Brandon Belt (FD: $3600, DK: $4200)
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 176 — wOBA: 0.418 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 174
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 235 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.240 — wRC+: 120


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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious