MLB Grind Down: Monday, May 18 - Page Two

Oakland at Houston – 8:10 PM EST

Oakland Houston
oaklandmlb Drew Pomeranz houstonmlb Lance McCullers
LEFT Right
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
HOU (-118) 8.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.147 0.323 0.147 0.171 SP vs. Left
SP vs. Right 0.276 0.799 0.349 0.191 SP vs. Right
Batter Splits OAK vs R Batter Splits HOU BvP HOU vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Drew Pomeranz (FD: $6400, DK: $5900)

Pitching Stats:
2015: SIERA: 4.18 — K Rate: 18.6% — K/9: 6.98 — BB Rate: 6.8% — FB Rate: 39.2% — HR/FB: 8.5%
2014: SIERA: 3.62 — K Rate: 23.0% — K/9: 8.35 — BB Rate: 9.4% — FB Rate: 36.0% — HR/FB: 10.4%

Houston Astros vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 22)
Strikeout Rate: 23.4% (Rank: 25)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.81 (Rank: 15)

Analysis: After five straight subpar fantasy outings, Pomeranz bounced back against the Red Sox, giving up a single earned run in seven innings of work. On the season, he has a 4.18 SIERA with a K/9 of 7.0. This will be the third time this season that Pomeranz will face the Astros and they have had his number in the first two meetings, scoring a combined nine runs in his ten innings of work. Minute Maid Park is not a pitcher’s favorite venue to see on the schedule and the Astros hit a of lot home runs.

Pitcher Rating:54.8


Lance McCullers (FD: $4600, DK: $5700)

Oakland Athletics vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.330 (Rank: 4)
Strikeout Rate: 16.7% (Rank: 3)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.85 (Rank: 10)

Analysis: McCullers will make his first career major-league start tonight. He has dominated at the AA level this season, posting a 2.21 FIP with a K/9 of 13.3. He has averaged at least ten strikeouts per nine innings in each of the last three seasons, but there’s no guarantee that it will translate to a high strikeout rate in the majors. Pitchers making their major league debuts are always unpredictable and while I like the high strikeout potential, he’s best suited as a GPP play tonight against the A’s.

Pitcher Rating: 55.7

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

Josh Reddick (FD: $3900, DK: $4200)

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.470 — ISO: 0.283 — wRC+: 210
2014 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 140

Analysis: The A’s are a great team to stack tonight. They are ranked 4th in wOBA against right-handed pitching this season and they are facing a pitcher that has never started a game in AAA, let alone in the majors. Reddick gets the nod as the featured play, as he has been terrific against right-handed pitching this season with a .470 wOBA and a .283 ISO. He also sees a ballpark boost playing in Minute Maid Park, which grades out as the 5th best ballpark for left-handed hitters.

Secondary Plays:

Stephen Vogt (FD: $3900, DK: $4100)
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.467 — ISO: 0.341 — wRC+: 208
2014 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 119

Marcus Semien (FD: $3400, DK: $4700)
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 3B/SS
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.233 — wRC+: 137
2014 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.288 — ISO: 0.130 — wRC+: 79

Billy Burns (FD: $2500, DK: $2800)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.051 — wRC+: 131


Houston

George Springer (FD: $3700, DK: $4700)

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.278 — wRC+: 139
2014 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 121

Analysis: Springer’s price continues to come down, which only makes him a better play in daily fantasy. He has great power against both left and right-handed pitching and he can steal a base every now and then as well. He has a .370 wOBA and a .278 ISO against southpaws this season and he draws a decent matchup against Drew Pomeranz. All of the right-handed bats in this Astros’ lineup are in play tonight at home.

Secondary Plays:

Jose Altuve (FD: $4600, DK: $4800)
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.448 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 193
2014 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.440 — ISO: 0.151 — wRC+: 189

Evan Gattis (FD: $3300, DK: $3700)
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C/OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.209 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 27
2014 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.419 — ISO: 0.271 — wRC+: 171

Chris Carter (FD: $3000, DK: $4100)
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.243 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 51
2014 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.274 — wRC+: 140


Philadelphia at Colorado – 8:40 PM EST

Philadelphia Colorado
philadelphiamlb Cole Hamels coloradomlb Jordan Lyles
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
PHI (-105) 9
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.143 0.485 0.248 0.25 SP vs. Left 0.29 0.81 0.363 0.145
SP vs. Right 0.231 0.745 0.319 0.259 SP vs. Right 0.253 0.686 0.302 0.121
Batter Splits PHI BvP PHI vs R Batter Splits COL BvP COL vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Cole Hamels (FD: $9600, DK: $8900)

Pitching Stats:
2015: SIERA: 3.69 — K Rate: 25.7% — K/9: 9.71 — BB Rate: 10.3% — FB Rate: 34.8% — HR/FB: 17.4%
2014: SIERA: 3.29 — K Rate: 23.9% — K/9: 8.71 — BB Rate: 7.1% — FB Rate: 31.1% — HR/FB: 8.2%

Colorado Rockies vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 24)
Strikeout Rate: 25.5% (Rank: 28)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.80 (Rank: 17)

Analysis: Hamels has pitched well recently and he gets to face a Rockies’ offense that can’t seem to buy a run. If this game was being played in Philadelphia, Hamels would be a top pitching target tonight. Unfortunately, this game is being played in Coors Field. Avoiding pitchers in Coors Field is one of the few hard-and-fast rules that I never break in daily fantasy baseball.

Pitcher Rating:52.4


Jordan Lyles (FD: $5900, DK: $4500)

Pitching Stats:
2015: SIERA: 5.02 — K Rate: 13.2% — K/9: 5.02 — BB Rate: 10.7% — FB Rate: 27.0% — HR/FB: 6.5%
2014: SIERA: 4.10 — K Rate: 16.5% — K/9: 6.39 — BB Rate: 8.4% — FB Rate: 25.7% — HR/FB: 11.9%

Philadelphia Phillies vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.274 (Rank: 29)
Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 10)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.62 (Rank: 29)

Analysis: Lyles has a favorable matchup against the Phillies, but he has to face them in Coors Field. I could dive further into the analysis, but do you really want to target a low strikeout pitcher in Coors Field? I didn’t think so!

Pitcher Rating:38.1

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

Freddy Galvis (FD: $3300, DK: $4100)

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 3B/SS
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.062 — wRC+: 113
2014 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.260 — ISO: 0.147 — wRC+: 62

Analysis: Galvis has been one of the only Phillies’ hitters that has been on my radar in recent weeks. He is cheap and he has hit both left and right-handed pitching well this season. He has a .342 wOBA and a wRC+ of 113 against right-handed pitching this season. He also sees a huge ballpark boost playing in Coors Field, which is the most hitter-friendly venue in all of baseball. A Phillies’ stack tonight is in play in both cash games and tournaments.

Secondary Plays:

Ryan Howard (FD: $3400, DK: $4500)
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.287 — wRC+: 128
2014 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.292 — ISO: 0.132 — wRC+: 84

Ben Revere (FD: $3000, DK: $4300)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.093 — wRC+: 84
2014 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 — ISO: 0.050 — wRC+: 82

Maikel Franco (FD: $2200, DK: $3800)
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.455 — wRC+: 129
2014 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.245 — ISO: 0.083 — wRC+: 52


Colorado

Wilin Rosario (FD: $3500, DK: $3300)

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.408 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 141
2014 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.422 — ISO: 0.327 — wRC+: 156

Analysis: Rosario has been playing 1B and he’s still listed as a catcher. Take advantage of that while you still can. He has always had good power against left-handed pitching, posting a .420 wOBA and a .314 ISO since the start of 2014. He obviously sees a major ballpark boost playing in Coors Field and for some reason, he is still listed at a bargain-bin price of $3,500 on FanDuel and $3,300 on DraftKings.

Secondary Plays:

Nolan Arenado (FD: $4000, DK: $4200)
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.100 — wRC+: 81
2014 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.414 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 150

Carlos Gonzalez (FD: $3300, DK: $4200)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.154 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: -26
2014 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.277 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 57

Nick Hundley (FD: $2700, DK: $3200)
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.205 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 7
2014 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.259 — ISO: 0.030 — wRC+: 62


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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious