MLB Grind Down: Saturday, June 6 - Page Two

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2015-06-06 18:27:20

Oakland at Boston – 4:05 PM EST

Oakland					Boston
			Jesse Chavez					Joe Kelly
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			OAK -104					8.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.249	0.666	0.298	0.186	SP vs. Left	0.235	0.647	0.296	0.168
SP vs. Right	0.23	0.651	0.289	0.257	SP vs. Right	0.259	0	0.341	0.177
Batter Splits	OAK BvP		OAK vs R		Batter Splits	BOS BvP		BOS vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jesse Chavez

Salaries: $8400 FD, $6600 DK

Boston Red Sox vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 18)
Strikeout Rate: 16.3% (Rank: 30)

Chavez has been great for the Athletics, and if we ignore the 2-5 record, we can see his 2.11 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 3.69 xFIP to back it up. He is coming off two shutout performances where he lasted eight innings in both against two solid teams in the Yankees and Tigers. Today he takes on another tough team in the Red Sox who has been struggling lately. He has a solid strikeout rate of 21.6% and should make a solid second pitcher on the afternoon slate. Rating = 5.5

Joe Kelly

Salaries: $6700 FD, $4700 DK

Oakland Athletics vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 4)
Strikeout Rate: 17.1% (Rank: 27)

Kelly is never someone we want to target in daily fantasy regardless of the matchup. He has a high ERA (5.88), rarely lasts too long in his starts, and allows just too many base runners. Today he faces an A’s squad that is ranked fourth in wOBA against right-handed pitching (.323) and has a low strikeout rate. He is an easy avoid today. Rating = 4.5

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

Josh Reddick
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.453 — ISO: 0.263 — OBP: 0.433

Analysis: Reddick gets a solid matchup today against Joe Kelly who has allowed a career wOBA of .322 to left-handed bats. This offense should be able to put up a number of runs today as small favorites in a game with an eight-run total and Reddick’s ISO of .263 should drive some runs home.

Secondary Plays:

Boston

No Elite Plays

Secondary Plays:

David Ortiz
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.218 — OBP: 0.387

Dustin Pedroia
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.131 — OBP: 0.370

Baltimore at Cleveland – 4:10 PM EST

Baltimore					Cleveland
			Ubaldo Jimenez					Danny Salazar
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CLE -143					7.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.238	0.746	0.338	0.191	SP vs. Left	0.235	0.699	0.308	0.309
SP vs. Right	0.24	0.661	0.297	0.238	SP vs. Right	0.274	0.774	0.337	0.247
Batter Splits	BAL BvP		BAL vs R		Batter Splits	CLE BvP		CLE vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Ubaldo Jimenez

Salaries: $7400 FD, $7100 DK

Cleveland Indians vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 10)
Strikeout Rate: 17.8% (Rank: 25)

Is it time that we start trusting Ubaldo yet? I don’t know if we can ever trust this guy, but he is trying to make a case for it this season. He has a 3.19 xFIP on the year to go along with his very solid 23.2% strikeout rate. One of the big reasons for Ubaldo’s success this year has been the major decrease in his walk rate (6.8%) this year, which has led to him being a viable option. He does have a tough matchup against Salazar and the lefty heavy Indians squad today, which does drop his upside a bit. Jimenez is still a solid tournament play for me this afternoon. Rating = 6

Danny Salazar

Salaries: $9100 FD, $8800 DK

Baltimore Orioles vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 16)
Strikeout Rate: 23.0% (Rank: 4)

There are a few solid pitching options in the afternoon slate, but none may have the upside of Salazar. Salazar has great stats across the board with a 2.79 xFIP after nine starts to go along with his ridiculous 31.0% strikeout rate. He will have to face some tough bats in this Orioles lineup today, but if he can keep his pitch count down and go deep into this game, he could be the highest scoring pitcher on the slate. Yet, he is not the top cash game play due to the matchup in comparison to Bumgarner who faces one of the worst offenses in the league, but Salazar could easily be the highest scoring pitcher on this slate. Rating = 8

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

No Elite Plays

Secondary Plays:

Chris Davis
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.241 — OBP: 0.292

Cleveland

No Elite Plays

Secondary Plays:

Michael Brantley
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.181 — OBP: 0.463

Jason Kipnis
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.442 — ISO: 0.181 — OBP: 0.463

Miami at Colorado – 4:10 PM EST

Miami					Colorado
			David Phelps					Chris Rusin
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			COL -102					10.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.236	0.695	0.311	0.192	SP vs. Left	0.2	0.493	0.22	0.161
SP vs. Right	0.28	0.753	0.333	0.167	SP vs. Right	0.292	0.864	0.379	0.143
Batter Splits	MIA BvP		MIA vs L		Batter Splits	COL BvP		COL vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

David Phelps

Salaries: $6200 FD, $4200 DK

Colorado Rockies vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.336 (Rank: 2)
Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 20)

Phelps is an average pitcher that has to take his skill set into Coors Field this afternoon. He is an easy avoid in a game that features a total of 10. Rating = 2.5

Chris Rusin

Salaries: $5000 FD, $4000 DK

Miami Marlins vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.340 (Rank: 2)
Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 14)

Rusin will be making his second start of the season, and sadly for him, it is in Coors Field. In 2014, Rusin had an ERA of 7.11 and has a low strikeout rate. He is an easy avoid today. Rating = 2

Batter Grind Down

Miami

Giancarlo Stanton
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.491 — ISO: 0.559 — OBP: 0.371

Analysis: Stanton showed us yesterday why he is pretty much an auto-play when in Coors against a lefty. He went yard yesterday and if he can continue to make good contact, he will have a big-time series against the pitching staff that the Rockies are throwing out at him. He is a top outfielder and one of the top position players overall today.

Secondary Plays:

All hitter have a plus matchup in Coors today. The 1-6 hitters are all in play and the 7-8 are good tournament plays as well.

Colorado

Charlie Blackmon
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.195 — OBP: 0.390

Analysis: Blackmon has been one of the more consistent hitters for this Rockies squad and he is great for fantasy purposes as he can do a bit of everything on the field. In the last two games alone, Blackmon has five hits, including two doubles, as well as two stolen bases. This game features the biggest total of the slate and both sides should be targeted.

Secondary Plays:

All hitter have a plus matchup in Coors today. The 1-6 hitters are all in play and the 7-8 are good tournament plays as well.

San Diego at Cincinnati – 4:10 PM EST

San Diego					Cincinnati
			Andrew Cashner					Michael Lorenzen
			RIGHT					Right
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			SD -101					7.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.249	0.736	0.32	0.197	SP vs. Left	0.286	0.848	0.381	0.209
SP vs. Right	0.235	0.596	0.265	0.2	SP vs. Right	0.23	0.774	0.336	0.075
Batter Splits	SDP BvP		SD vs R		Batter Splits	CIN BvP		CIN vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Andrew Cashner

Salaries: $8400 FD, $7800 DK

Cincinnati Reds vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.304 (Rank: 19)
Strikeout Rate: 18.4% (Rank: 24)

Cashner is having his start moved up from Sunday to today, which is a nice upgrade from whom the Padres had scheduled. Cashner had been pitching well this year, until his last game where he imploded against the Mets, allowing 11 hits, five earned runs in only 4.2 innings pitched. The bright side of that start was the fact that he was still able to strike out 12 batters, which upped his K rate to a very solid 24.9%. The K rate alone puts Cashner in play for tournaments, as his ceiling is high. Rating = 6.5

Michael Lorenzen

Salaries: $5600 FD, $4300 DK

San Diego Padres vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 25)
Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 5)

Lorenzen has pitched well so far this year and has a 3.06 ERA to show for it. His xFIP of 5.15 shows some regression is in order soon. Regardless, he has a very low ceiling this afternoon as his K/9 is 5.01 and has allowed five home runs in seven appearances. Avoid him today. Rating = 5

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

Yonder Alonso
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.382 — ISO: 0.118 — OBP: 0.427

Analysis: Alonso has come back from injury and has played well in his three starts. He has five hits during his return including two runs batted in and three runs scored. He will be in the heart of this order and has a solid matchup against Lorenzen who has allowed a wOBA of .354 to lefties this year.

Secondary Plays:

Justin Upton
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.392 — ISO: 0.244 — OBP: 0.372

Derek Norris
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.181 — OBP: 0.284

Cincinnati

No Elite Plays

Secondary Plays:

Todd Frazier
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.296 — OBP: 0.370

Joey Votto
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.250 — OBP: 0.368

Pittsburgh at Atlanta – 7:10 PM EST

Pittsburgh					Atlanta
			Jeff Locke					Julio Teheran
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			PIT -102					8
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.224	0.632	0.282	0.113	SP vs. Left	0.259	0.753	0.329	0.186
SP vs. Right	0.267	0.76	0.334	0.185	SP vs. Right	0.224	0.628	0.279	0.23
Batter Splits	PIT BvP		PIT vs R		Batter Splits	ATL BvP		ATL vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jeff Locke

Salaries: $6700 FD, $5900 DK

Atlanta Braves vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.266 (Rank: 28)
Strikeout Rate: 23.5% (Rank: 7)

Locke has been beat up in a number of his starts so far this year. He has allowed three or more earned runs in seven of his ten starts and has an ERA of 5.34 on the year. He does have a decent matchup against the Braves whose big bats are mostly left-handed. His K rate is average at 18.3% and should not be targeted in any formats tonight, except for a contrarian tournament play. Rating = 5

Julio Teheran

Salaries: $7800 FD, $7400 DK

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 17)
Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 15)

Teheran is tough to get a read on at the moment. He either pitches very well or gets crushed for 5+ earned runs. His ERA sits a 4.87, which is backed up by his xFIP of 4.52 this year. On paper, he has a decent matchup, but the Pirates have scored 26 runs over their last four games. Teheran is a bit too risky to use with all the other solid pitchers going tonight. Rating = 5

Batter Grind Down

Pittsburgh

Neil Walker
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.140 — OBP: 0.341

Analysis: The lefties are in play big time against Teheran today as he has allowed a wOBA of .444 to left-handed bats on the season. Walker, along with the rest of this Pirates offense, has been playing well recently. He has eleven hits in his last eight games along with seven runs batted in. This offense is hot and should continue to be targeted tonight.

Secondary Plays:

Pedro Alvarez
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.241 — OBP: 0.339

Gregory Polanco
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.133 — OBP: 0.331

Andrew McCutchen
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.382 — ISO: 0.215 — OBP: 0.383

Atlanta

Juan Uribe
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.420 — ISO: 0.600 — OBP: 0.333

Analysis: Uribe has been pretty solid since joining the Braves eight games ago. He has eight hits during this run, including two home runs and now finds himself batting high in the order. He is not a great cash game play, but does offer a high ceiling against Locke tonight

Secondary Plays:

Jonny Gomes
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.143 — OBP: 0.405

Freddie Freeman
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.148 — OBP: 0.328

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