MLB Grind Down: Thursday, April 16th - Page Two

Arizona at San Francisco

Arizona San Francisco
Archie Bradley Vegas Moneyline Madison Bumgarner Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT SF (-175) LEFT 6.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left SP vs. Left 0.215 0.539 0.239 31.00%
SP vs. Right SP vs. Right 0.241 0.684 0.301 23.50%
Batter Splits ARI BvP ARI vs L Batter Splits SF BvP SF vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Archie Bradley (FD: $7400, DK: $6400)

Pitching Stats (2014 – AAA Level):

ERA: 5.18 / xFIP: 3.78
K/9: 8.41 / BB/9: 4.44
SF vs. RH Pitching: wOBA Rank: 15 / K% Rank: 15

Bradley pitched well in his first career start, limiting the Dodgers to a single hit in six scoreless innings of work. He showed decent strikeout potential in the minors and scouts project him to be a #2 starter with the potential to be an ace. Bradley is a huge underdog against the Giants though, who have the reigning World Series MVP on the mound. Bradley will likely see little to no run support and is best suited as a tournament play. Rating = 5


Madison Bumgarner (FD: $10500, DK: $10500)

Pitching Stats (2014):

ERA: 2.98 / xFIP: 2.99 / SIERA: 2.98
K/9: 9.07 / K%: 0.251 / BB%: 0.049
ARI vs. LH Pitching: wOBA Rank: 25 / K% Rank: 8

Bumgarner was shelled in his first start of the season. The worst part was that he was facing the Padres in the most pitcher-friendly ballpark in the majors. He should bounce back nicely on Tuesday night, as the Giants host the Diamondbacks. Bumgarner is an elite strikeout pitcher with a ton of upside. He struck out 25.1% of the batters that he faced last season, while only walking 4.9% of those batters. The Giants have a few bats that hit left-handed pitching well, but that doesn’t concern me enough to avoid Bumgarner. He’s the top pitching option on the board and it’s not very close. Rating = 9

Batter Grind Down

Arizona

NO ELITE PLAYS

Secondary Plays:

Paul Goldschmidt (FD: $4900, DK: $4600) vs. LH Pitching wOBA: 0.47 / ISO: 0.205


San Francisco

Nori Aoki (FD: $3300, DK: $4000)

BA: 0.285 / wOBA: 0.32 / ISO: 0.075
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.297 / ISO: 0.076

Aoki has been one of the most consistent sources of fantasy production this season, and yet he’s still listed at a very playable price on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Aoki hits left and right-handed pitching well and his stolen base potential goes up with a right-haned pitcher on the mound. Aoki is a great cash game option again on Tuesday night.

Secondary Plays:

Buster Posey (FD: $4300, DK: $4300) vs. RH Pitching wOBA: 0.366 / ISO: 0.164

Angel Pagan (FD: $3300, DK: $3600) vs. RH Pitching wOBA: 0.350 / ISO: 0.082

Brandon Belt (FD: $3200, DK: $4000) vs. RH Pitching wOBA: 0.335 / ISO: 0.24

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious