MLB Grind Down: Thursday, May 7 - Page Three

Miami at San Francisco

Miami San Francisco
miamimlb Dan Haren sanfranciscomlb Tim Hudson
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
SF (-135) 7
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.223 0.665 0.29 0.233 SP vs. Left 0.276 0.755 0.331 0.123
SP vs. Right 0.273 0.771 0.333 0.14 SP vs. Right 0.256 0.667 0.292 0.185
Batter Splits MIA BvP MIA vs R Batter Splits SF BvP SF vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Dan Haren (FD: $7800, DK: $7400)

Pitching Stats:
2015: SIERA: 4.30 — K Rate: 18.4% — K/9: 6.3 — BB Rate: 7.0% — GB Rate: 34.5%
2014: SIERA: 3.74 — K Rate: 18.7% — K/9: 7.02 — BB Rate: 4.6% — GB Rate: 41.5%

San Francisco Giants vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 12)
Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 7)

Analysis: Haren is having a mediocre season thus far, posting a 4.30 SIERA with a K/9 of 6.3. He’s typically not a pitcher that walks a lot of batters, which is good. However, he does give up a lot of home runs. That shouldn’t be a huge issue tonight in AT&T Park, which is one of the toughest parks to hit home runs in, but it’s always a concern with Haren. He’s a little overpriced for his matchup against the Giants, who are ranked 12th in wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.

Pitcher Rating:52.2

Tim Hudson (FD: $6800, DK: $6700)

Pitching Stats:
2015: SIERA: 4.31 — K Rate: 11.9% — K/9: 4.32 — BB Rate: 6.7% — GB Rate: 57.3%
2014: SIERA: 3.66 — K Rate: 15.2% — K/9: 5.70 — BB Rate: 4.3% — GB Rate: 53.1%

Miami Marlins vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 17)
Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 23)

Analysis: Hudson is coming off of a strong outing against the Angels, but he has only struck out more than four batters one time this season. His strikeout rate continues to dip as he gets up there in age. Even though he is a favorite in a game that features a low total of 7.0 runs, he’s not a great fantasy option tonight. He could be worth a look as an SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.

Pitcher Rating:64.6

Batter Grind Down

Miami

Dee Gordon (FD: $3800, DK: $4700)
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.418 — ISO: 0.066 — OBP: 0.464
2014 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.090 — OBP: 0.322

Analysis: Gordon just continues to rack up the hits. He’s batting .430 on the season with a .455 OBP. That’s exactly what we like to see from speedy players at the top of the order. He has already stolen 12 bases this season and he’s a threat to steal another one tonight against Tim Hudson and the Giants.

Secondary Plays:

Giancarlo Stanton (FD: $4700, DK: $4900)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.277 — OBP: 0.347
2014 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.262 — OBP: 0.382

San Francisco

Buster Posey (FD: $3500, DK: $4200)

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.127 — OBP: 0.370
2014 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.164 — OBP: 0.366

Analysis: Dan Haren is a reverse-splits pitcher that gives up a lot of home runs. Cue up Buster Posey as one of the top catching options on the board tonight. Posey has a .348 wOBA against right handed pitching this season, while Haren gave up a .333 wOBA to right-handed hitters in 2014.

Secondary Plays:

Brandon Belt (FD: $2900, DK: $4100)
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.082 — OBP: 0.368
2014 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.240 — OBP: 0.299

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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious