MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, May 26 - Page Three
San Francisco at Milwaukee – 8:10 PM EST
| San Francisco | Milwaukee | ||||||||
 | Madison Bumgarner |  | Matt Garza | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SFG (-138) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.219 | 0.55 | 0.246 | 0.307 | SP vs. Left | 0.228 | 0.677 | 0.303 | 0.178 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.241 | 0.679 | 0.299 | 0.23 | SP vs. Right | 0.247 | 0.689 | 0.305 | 0.185 |
| Batter Splits | SF BvP | SF vs R | Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Madison Bumgarner (FD: $10200, DK: $9600)
Pitching Stats:
2015: IP: 57 — SIERA: 3.45 — K Rate: 21.9% — K/9: 8.21 — BB Rate: 4.2% — FB Rate: 37.4% — HR/FB: 9.4%
2014: IP: 217 — SIERA: 2.98 — K Rate: 25.1% — K/9: 9.07 — BB Rate: 4.9% — FB Rate: 35.8% — HR/FB: 10.0%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.277 (Rank: 28)
Strikeout Rate: 25.1% (Rank: 29)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.75 (Rank: 22)
Analysis: Mad Bum takes the mound for the Giants tonight, after another stellar outing against Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers. Bumgarner is 3-0 against L.A. this season and he helped on the offensive end in their last meeting, hitting a solo home run off of Kershaw. Bumgarner will not set his sights on the Brewers, who are ranked 28th in wOBA (.277) and 29th in strikeout rate (25.1%) against left-handed pitching this season. The matchup is as good as any on the board tonight, although Miller Park is typically more friendly to hitters than pitchers.
Pitcher Rating:85.4
Matt Garza (FD: $6500, DK: $6200)
Pitching Stats:
2015: IP: 52 — SIERA: 4.67 — K Rate: 16.4% — K/9: 6.58 — BB Rate: 10.3% — FB Rate: 29.7% — HR/FB: 16.3%
2014: IP: 163 — SIERA: 4.02 — K Rate: 18.5% — K/9: 6.94 — BB Rate: 7.4% — FB Rate: 36.0% — HR/FB: 7.0%
San Francisco Giants vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 7)
Strikeout Rate: 17.0% (Rank: 4)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.71 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Garza has been a serviceable starter for the Brewers this season, posting a 4.67 SIERA with a K/9 of 6.6. He has struggled with his command, walking 10.3% of the batters that he has faced. He can safely be avoided tonight against a Giants offense that is ranked seventh in wOBA (.323) and fourth in strikeout rate (17.0%) against left-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating:42.3
Batter Grind Down
San Francisco
Hunter Pence (FD: $3000, DK: $4600)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.418 — ISO: 0.217 — wRC+: 173
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 708 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 123
Analysis: Pence has been terrific since returning from his injury, posting a .418 wOBA and a .217 ISO against right-handed pitching. He is correctly priced on DraftKings, but he’s still too cheap ($3,000) on FanDuel. He draws a decent matchup tonight against Matt Garza in the hitter-friendly Miller Park.
Secondary Plays:
Buster Posey (FD: $4000, DK: $4700)
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 178 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.151 — wRC+: 142
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 605 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 141
Brandon Belt (FD: $3600, DK: $4500)
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 151 — wOBA: 0.427 — ISO: 0.241 — wRC+: 179
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 235 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.240 — wRC+: 120
Milwaukee
NO ELITE PLAYS
Secondary Plays:
Ryan Braun (FD: $4500, DK: $4600)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 169 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 106
2014 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 580 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.236 — wRC+: 124
Arizona at St. Louis – 8:15 PM EST
| Arizona | St. Louis | ||||||||
 | Archie Bradley |  | Jaime Garcia | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| STL (-163) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.174 | 0.55 | 0.272 | 0.211 | SP vs. Left | 0.326 | 0 | 0.389 | 0.239 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.194 | 0.609 | 0.276 | 0.086 | SP vs. Right | 0.202 | 0.631 | 0.278 | 0.214 |
| Batter Splits | ARI BvP | ARI vs L | Batter Splits | STL BvP | STL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Archie Bradley (FD: $6600, DK: $5000)
Pitching Stats:
2015: IP: 27 — SIERA: 4.98 — K Rate: 16.2% — K/9: 6.33 — BB Rate: 13.7% — FB Rate: 29.1% — HR/FB: 4.3%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 9)
Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 7)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.71 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: After a stellar start to the season, Bradley has been knocked around a bit since. He owns a 4.98 SIERA with a K/9 of 6.3 on the year. He’s a sizable underdog tonight against the Cardinals, who are ranked ninth in wOBA (.320) and 7th in strikeout rate (19.0%) against right-handed pitching this season. Bradley can safely be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:34.4
Jaime Garcia (FD: $7000, DK: $7000)
Pitching Stats:
2015: IP: 7 — SIERA: 6.64 — K Rate: 11.5% — K/9: 3.86 — BB Rate: 19.2% — FB Rate: 29.4% — HR/FB: 20.0%
2014: IP: 43 — SIERA: 2.85 — K Rate: 22.0% — K/9: 8.04 — BB Rate: 4.0% — FB Rate: 25.2% — HR/FB: 18.8%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.330 (Rank: 8)
Strikeout Rate: 18.3% (Rank: 9)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.66 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: Garcia walked five batters in his first start of the season, but otherwise pitched pretty well. He only gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work. He an intriguing play tonight against the Diamondbacks. He should get plenty of run support with Archie Bradley on the mound and he could be a cheap source for a win. Garcia should have a very low level of ownership, making him an intriguing tournament play.
Pitcher Rating:69.2
Batter Grind Down
Arizona
Paul Goldschmidt (FD: $5400, DK: $5300)
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 185 — wOBA: 0.520 — ISO: 0.371 — wRC+: 231
2014 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 479 — wOBA: 0.470 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 201
Analysis: Goldschmidt is always in play when there is a left-handed pitcher on the mound. Since the start of 2014, Goldschmidt has posted a .485 wOBA and a .289 ISO against southpaws. The matchup against Jaime Garcia isn’t ideal, but Goldschmidt is about as matchup-proof as they come, especially against left-handed pitching.
Secondary Plays:
A.J. Pollock (FD: $4100, DK: $4200)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 172 — wOBA: 0.484 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 207
2014 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 287 — wOBA: 0.407 — ISO: 0.340 — wRC+: 158
Mark Trumbo (FD: $3500, DK: $3800)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 147 — wOBA: 0.468 — ISO: 0.387 — wRC+: 196
2014 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 362 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 115
St. Louis
Kolten Wong (FD: $3200, DK: $3900)
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 179 — wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.169 — wRC+: 140
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 433 — wOBA: 0.289 — ISO: 0.137 — wRC+: 83
Analysis: Wong is quietly having a terrific season. When we think about the best second base options in daily fantasy, Wong doesn’t even crack the list of top ten. He should though, especially now that he is batting at the top of the order. He has a .376 wOBA and a .169 ISO against right-handed pitching this season and he draws a favorable matchup tonight against Archie Bradley.
Secondary Plays:
Matt Carpenter (FD: $4100, DK: $4600)
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 179 — wOBA: 0.436 — ISO: 0.283 — wRC+: 180
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 709 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.104 — wRC+: 120
San Diego at LA Angels – 10:05 PM EST
| San Diego | LA Angels | ||||||||
 | Odrisamer Despaigne |  | Matt Shoemaker | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAA (-165) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.246 | 0.685 | 0.308 | 0.108 | SP vs. Left | 0.25 | 0.731 | 0.319 | 0.209 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.238 | 0.676 | 0.302 | 0.179 | SP vs. Right | 0.231 | 0.664 | 0.291 | 0.256 |
| Batter Splits | SD BvP | SD vs R | Batter Splits | ANA BvP | ANA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Odrisamer Despaigne (FD: $5300, DK: $5300)
Pitching Stats:
2015: IP: 35 — SIERA: 4.83 — K Rate: 10.3% — K/9: 4.08 — BB Rate: 7.1% — FB Rate: 28.2% — HR/FB: 14.3%
2014: IP: 96 — SIERA: 4.14 — K Rate: 16.1% — K/9: 6.07 — BB Rate: 7.9% — FB Rate: 29.0% — HR/FB: 7.1%
LA Angels of Anaheim vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.277 (Rank: 28)
Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 15)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.73 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: Even if Mike Trout was out of the lineup tonight (which he won’t be), I still wouldn’t target Despaigne. He has really struggled this season with a 4.83 SIERA and a low K/9 of 4.1. His walk rate is nearly as high as his strikeout rate, which means he has to have a near perfect outing to pay off his salary. He can safely be avoided in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating:32.0
Matt Shoemaker (FD: $8100, DK: $7300)
Pitching Stats:
2015: IP: 44 — SIERA: 3.61 — K Rate: 22.6% — K/9: 8.53 — BB Rate: 4.8% — FB Rate: 47.3% — HR/FB: 21.0%
2014: IP: 136 — SIERA: 3.19 — K Rate: 22.8% — K/9: 8.21 — BB Rate: 4.4% — FB Rate: 39.1% — HR/FB: 9.4%
San Diego Padres vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 22)
Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 24)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.83 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Shoemaker may be my favorite tournament play on the board tonight. Kershaw, Bumgarner, DeGrom, and Salazar will all draw attention tonight, which should leave Shoemaker with a percentage of ownership under 10%. If you take away the name and just look at the numbers, you would consider him an elite play tonight. He has a 3.61 SIERA, a K/9 of 8.5, a favorable matchup against the Padres, and he’s one of the biggest favorites on the board. He’s a terrific tournament play tonight and he’s worth a look as an SP2 on DraftKings at a bargain price of $7,300.
Pitcher Rating:72.9
Batter Grind Down
San Diego
NO ELITE PLAYS
Secondary Plays:
Matt Kemp (FD: $2400, DK: $4000)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 187 — wOBA: 0.276 — ISO: 0.085 — wRC+: 77
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 599 — wOBA: 0.382 — ISO: 0.229 — wRC+: 149
LA Angels
Mike Trout (FD: $5200, DK: $5500)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 189 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.262 — wRC+: 162
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 705 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.283 — wRC+: 168
Analysis: Trout was inches away from another home run last night. He is the best hitter in baseball and he should be salivating for his matchup tonight against Odrisamer Despaigne, who has given up a .405 wOBA to right-handed hitters this season. As usual, Trout is one of the top position players on the board.
Secondary Plays:
Kole Calhoun (FD: $2800, DK: $4300)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 172 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.147 — wRC+: 115
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 537 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 129
Erick Aybar (FD: $2700, DK: $3700)
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 180 — wOBA: 0.288 — ISO: 0.062 — wRC+: 87
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 641 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 110
Detroit at Oakland – 10:05 PM EST
| Detroit | Oakland | ||||||||
 | David Price |  | Jesse Chavez | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| DET (-115) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.261 | 0.665 | 0.296 | 0.219 | SP vs. Left | 0.240 | 0.646 | 0.291 | 0.189 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.234 | 0.655 | 0.287 | 0.267 | SP vs. Right | 0.247 | 0.695 | 0.308 | 0.259 |
| Batter Splits | DET BvP | DET vs R | Batter Splits | OAK BvP | OAK vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
David Price (FD: $10800, DK: $10600)
Pitching Stats:
2015: IP: 59 — SIERA: 3.61 — K Rate: 21.6% — K/9: 8.15 — BB Rate: 5.2% — FB Rate: 38.8% — HR/FB: 8.7%
2014: IP: 248 — SIERA: 2.72 — K Rate: 26.9% — K/9: 9.82 — BB Rate: 3.8% — FB Rate: 38.1% — HR/FB: 9.7%
Oakland Athletics vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.267 (Rank: 29)
Strikeout Rate: 17.8% (Rank: 7)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.90 (Rank: 7)
Analysis: Price will be ace with the lowest level of ownership tonight. The A’s have not hit left-handed pitching well this season, but they don’t strike out often (seventh-lowest strikeout rate against southpaws). The A’s also make pitchers work for their outs, averaging the seventh-most pitches per plate appearance. Price could certainly pitch well tonight, but I’d rather target the other aces taking the mound.
Pitcher Rating:81.7
Jesse Chavez (FD: $7600, DK: $6800)
Pitching Stats:
2015: IP: 43 — SIERA: 3.63 — K Rate: 22.9% — K/9: 8.45 — BB Rate: 7.3% — FB Rate: 41.7% — HR/FB: 4.0%
2014: IP: 146 — SIERA: 3.64 — K Rate: 21.9% — K/9: 8.38 — BB Rate: 7.9% — FB Rate: 35.4% — HR/FB: 11.2%
Detroit Tigers vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.332 (Rank: 2)
Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 10)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.86 (Rank: 9)
Analysis: Chavez has pitched well this season with a 3.63 SIERA and a K/9 of 8.5. His fantasy appeal hinges on whether or not Miguel Cabrera is in the lineup. Without Cabrera and Victor Martinez, this Tigers’ offense lacks serious power. Chavez would make a strong tournament play tonight if Cabrera is out of the lineup again.
Pitcher Rating:63.7
Batter Grind Down
Detroit
NO ELITE PLAYS
Secondary Plays:
Anthony Gose (FD: $3100, DK: $3400)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 140 — wOBA: 0.382 — ISO: 0.153 — wRC+: 145
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 274 — wOBA: 0.295 — ISO: 0.074 — wRC+: 84
Oakland
NO ELITE PLAYS
Secondary Plays:
Billy Butler (FD: $2500, DK: $3300)
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 194 — wOBA: 0.396 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 159
2014 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 603 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.139 — wRC+: 137
Max Muncy (FD: $2500, DK: $2200)
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.690 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 361
Atlanta at LA Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST
| Atlanta | LA Dodgers | ||||||||
 | Julio Teheran |  | Clayton Kershaw | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAD (-240) | 6 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.257 | 0.752 | 0.330 | 0.187 | SP vs. Left | 0.203 | 0.527 | 0.235 | 0.314 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.222 | 0.62 | 0.275 | 0.229 | SP vs. Right | 0.207 | 0.565 | 0.252 | 0.318 |
| Batter Splits | ATL BvP | ATL vs L | Batter Splits | LA BvP | LA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Julio Teheran (FD: $8500, DK: $9300)
Pitching Stats:
2015: IP: 50 — SIERA: 3.97 — K Rate: 21.4% — K/9: 8.35 — BB Rate: 8.6% — FB Rate: 33.3% — HR/FB: 18.4%
2014: IP: 221 — SIERA: 3.68 — K Rate: 21.0% — K/9: 7.57 — BB Rate: 5.8% — FB Rate: 43.8% — HR/FB: 8.1%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.352 (Rank: 1)
Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 8)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.91 (Rank: 5)
Analysis: Teheran pitches much better at home than he does on the road. He is a great fantasy option when the matchup is right, but unfortunately, that’s not the case tonight. The Dodgers are ranked first in wOBA (.352) and eighth in strikeout rate (19.3%) against right-handed pitching this season. He’s also the largest underdog on the board, as Clayton Kershaw takes the mound for the Dodgers.
Pitcher Rating:59.4
Clayton Kershaw (FD: $11000, DK: $12200)
Pitching Stats:
2015: IP: 58 — SIERA: 2.53 — K Rate: 30.0% — K/9: 11.26 — BB Rate: 6.6% — FB Rate: 20.3% — HR/FB: 20.0%
2014: IP: 198 — SIERA: 2.09 — K Rate: 31.9% — K/9: 10.85 — BB Rate: 4.1% — FB Rate: 29.2% — HR/FB: 6.6%
Atlanta Braves vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.279 (Rank: 27)
Strikeout Rate: 23.3% (Rank: 23)
Pitches per Plate Appearance: 3.76 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: Kershaw is the premier pitching option tonight. He has had some awful luck this season, especially at the very end of his starts. It’s only a matter of time before he gets a break or two to go his way. He has a 2.53 SIERA with a K/9 of 11.3 this season. He is still the best pitcher in baseball and he draws one of the best pitching matchups on the board. The Braves don’t hit left-handed pitching well and they strike out at the eighth-highest rate of any team against southpaws. Kershaw is the chalk play at pitcher tonight.
Pitcher Rating:99.3
Batter Grind Down
Atlanta
NO ELITE PLAYS
Secondary Plays:
NONE
LA Dodgers
NO ELITE PLAYS
Secondary Plays:
Adrian Gonzalez (FD: $3800, DK: $3900)
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 174 — wOBA: 0.456 — ISO: 0.294 — wRC+: 196
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 660 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.236 — wRC+: 150
Joc Pederson (FD: $3600, DK: $3700)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 174 — wOBA: 0.424 — ISO: 0.365 — wRC+: 175
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.293 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 88
Andre Ethier (FD: $2400, DK: $2900)
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 131 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.242 — wRC+: 162
2014 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 380 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.132 — wRC+: 102