MLB Player Props for Monday, 6/15: Best Bets & Predictions Today
What kind of performances can we expect from Colt Keith, Chase Burns, and Jared Jones? Follow along as our MLB betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets for Monday, June 15, 2026. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more MLB plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
Monday’s MLB slate features 10 games, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET with the Marlins against the Phillies.
As always, it’s important to keep an eye on the MLB weather report before committing to any wagers. The conditions at Wrigley Field tonight appear to be strongly on the hitter-friendly side, with warm temperatures forecasted and strong winds out to right-center field. It also looks like it will be a warm night with good hitting conditions in Sacramento for the Pirates and Athletics.
Below, you can find three of my favorite picks for Monday, June 15th!
Best MLB Player Props for Monday, June 15th
Here are my top player prop bets for today, with the first pitch scheduled for 6:40 PM ET on Monday, June 15th:
- Colt Keith Over/Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
- Chase Burns Over/Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
- Jared Jones Over/Under 5.5 Hits Allowed
Colt Keith OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+135, BetMGM)
BETMGMKeith enters the new week in the midst of a dreadful 4-for-42 stretch at the plate, in which he’s hitting only .103 with a 6 wRC+. That said, he has a 12.5% barrel rate and 46.9% hard-hit rate in that span, indicating that he’s been more unlucky than bad of late.
Keith has been making a lot of contact in the zone and exhibiting mostly good swing decisions. He draws a favorable matchup against Kai-Wei Teng tonight, who has struggled to a 6.06 FIP and 1.65 WHIP across the platoon in 2026. This is good value to bet on some positive regression for Keith.
Chase Burns UNDER 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-160, Hard Rock)
HARDROCKBurns has allowed 3+ earned runs in only 1 of 13 starts to begin 2026, and that came all the way back on April 10 against the Angels. Tonight, he will face a Mets lineup that has been league average or worse against RHP for most of the season.
Burns’ velocity has been down slightly in recent outings, but not to an alarming extent. It’s also reassuring that he’s maintained above-average swing-and-miss metrics at a slightly reduced fastball velocity. There is always a chance that a good pitcher could get touched up for some runs, but the math here clearly favors the under – especially with the Mets traveling from New York to Cincinnati without the benefit of an off day.
Jared Jones UNDER 5.5 Hits Allowed (-160, bet365)
BET365In 3 starts since returning from the injured list, Jones has yet to face more than 21 batters in any individual outing. To allow 6+ hits in 21 batters faced or fewer, he would have to allow the opposing lineup to post a .286 batting average against him or better. In June, the Athletics are hitting .238 against RHP. They are hitting .232 against RHP during the last 30 days.
It’s also worth noting that the Athletics will be transitioning from Las Vegas back to Sacramento for tonight’s game, which represents a significant drop-off in altitude. All of these factors could help Jones limit the damage done against him this evening.
Image Credit: Imagn