MLB Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Friday (8/2)
What kind of performances can we expect on Friday from Randy Vasquez, Tyler Phillips, and Bryan Woo? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and today – Friday, August 2, 2024. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Friday! There are 15 MLB games on tap to begin the weekend, including 14 games with a scheduled first pitch of 6:40 p.m. ET or later. There are plenty of talented arms on the slate tonight, but also quite a few exploitable arms from a betting perspective, including Randy Vasquez, Tyler Phillips, and Bryan Woo.
Since the beginning of last year, we are 132-68 (66.0%) +30.71u on pitcher prop recommendations in this article during the regular season. A bettor who has tailed every player prop, including batter props, in this article during that time period is +45.85u overall.
Below, we have 3 plays worth considering for Friday’s action!
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MLB Player Props Today
Randy Vasquez Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts
Tyler Phillips Over/Under 1.5 Walks Allowed
Bryan Woo Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts
Randy Vasquez UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts (+125), DraftKings
It’s always a little bit stressful betting strikeout props before seeing umpire assignments, but it’s difficult to see Randy Vasquez getting to 5 strikeouts, even in a very favorable matchup. Vasquez doesn’t throw many first-pitch strikes, doesn’t miss many bats, and doesn’t benefit from many called strikes. In 2024, he has a dreadful 8.5% strikeout rate against left-handed hitters – of which there are likely to be five in the Colorado lineup. At plus-money, this is worth a stab.
Tyler Phillips OVER 1.5 Walks Allowed (-145), BetMGM
Tyler Phillips owns a spectacular 2.2% walk rate through his first 25 innings of MLB work. That being said, he’s highly unlikely to sustain that number. Phillips has thrown only 57.3% first-pitch strikes since being called up and isn’t benefiting from many called strikes, either. His arsenal is built around a sweeper, which is a difficult pitch to consistently throw in the zone. Thus, it’s no surprise to look at his minor league numbers and see that he routinely flirted with 10%+ walk rates during his developmental journey. Phillips isn’t a very good pitcher. A patient Seattle lineup that brought in some reinforcements at the trade deadline could make life tough on him this evening.
Bryan Woo UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts (-125), BetMGM
On the surface, Bryan Woo has a great matchup against a Philadelphia offense that ranks 20th in strikeout rate against RHP across the last 2 weeks. However, those numbers only include a few games of the contact-oriented Austin Hays, who has struck out in only 19.3% of his plate appearances against RHP this year. Woo also hasn’t thrown more than 73 pitches in a game since June 6th. He’s had a very cautious workload since returning from the injured list. Woo is a talented pitcher, but the leash is likely too short for him to get to 5 strikeouts in this spot unless he gets a very pitcher-friendly umpire to help him out. We won’t know umpire assignments until later in the day.
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MLB 2024 Results – Wager Type
Strikeouts: 7-0
Outs Recorded: 2-3
Earned Runs Allowed: 2-0
Hitter Strikeouts: 4-0
Total Bases: 9-8
Hits + Runs + RBIs: 2-0
Stolen Bases: 0-2
Dinger Tuesday: 6-13-2
Combined Record: 32-26-2 (55.2%)
Image Credit: Getty Images