MLB Player Props for Wednesday, 7/2: Best Bets & Predictions Today
What kind of performances can we expect on Wednesday from Will Warren and Logan Gilbert? Follow along as our MLB betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets for Wednesday, July 2nd. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more MLB plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
Today’s MLB slate features an incredible 19 games, with a number of teams playing doubleheaders today. The action began earlier this afternoon, but there are still 13 games left to get underway as of this writing, giving the betting community plenty of time to find a few plays to add to their evening card.
As always, be sure to monitor our MLB starting lineups page throughout the day, as unexpected changes in the batting order can result in value opportunities in the betting and DFS markets.
Another reminder – it’s not a bad beat, or unlucky, if you bet a player to hit a home run and his fly ball dies on the warning track because it’s 40 degrees with the wind blowing in! Before locking in any bets, use our MLB weather page, curated by Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth. There are countless edges to be found if we make the right reads on possible rain delays and great hitting weather, just to name a few. Taking a look at the weather report can save us from a bad bet that otherwise looks good on the surface.
Below, you can find my 3 picks for Wednesday, July 2nd!
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Best MLB Player Props for Wednesday, July 2
Here are my top player prop bets for today, with the first pitch scheduled for 6:15 PM ET on Wednesday, July 2nd:
- Will Warren Over/Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
- Logan Gilbert Over/Under 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed
- Logan Gilbert Over/Under 18.5 Outs Recorded
Will Warren UNDER 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-130, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSThis season, Warren has had some of the most stark platoon splits of any starting pitcher in baseball. Facing right-handed batters, he owns an impressive 1.44 FIP, 0.97 WHIP, and 30.3% K-BB%. However, across the platoon, he has struggled to a 4.18 FIP, 1.64 WHIP, and 11.2% K-BB%. Tonight, the good news for Warren is that Toronto has 6 right-handed bats in their lineup. He’s positioned for a strong outing on Wednesday evening.
Logan Gilbert OVER 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-125, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSSince returning from the injured list, Gilbert has been missing a ton of bats. That being said, he’s also been catching a lot of barrels. Across his last 15.1 innings of work, Gilbert has allowed a staggering 18.4% barrel rate and 21.1% line-drive rate. As a result, he’s permitted multiple earned runs in each of his last 3 turns through the rotation. This evening, he gets a favorable matchup against a weak Kansas City offense, but this price is simply too good to pass up given what we have seen from Gilbert in recent weeks.
Logan Gilbert UNDER 18.5 Outs Recorded (-155, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSIn 3 starts since returning to the big leagues, Gilbert has thrown 84 pitches, 90 pitches, and 84 pitches. His early removal from his 2 most recent outings (at least partly) had to do with an inability to keep runs off of the board, but the fact remains that he hasn’t sniffed 100 pitches at the MLB level since April. He gets a good matchup tonight against an aggressive Kansas City offense, but it’s doubtful that Gilbert sees the 7th inning unless he’s unusually efficient getting outs. In June, Gilbert averaged an inefficient 4.0 pitches per batter faced. The math favors the under.
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