MLB Player Props for Wednesday, 6/25: Best Bets & Predictions Today
What kind of performances can we expect on Wednesday from Gavin Williams, Drew Rasmussen, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto? Follow along as our MLB betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets for Wednesday, June 25th. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more MLB plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
Happy Wednesday! Today’s 15-game MLB slate began earlier this afternoon, but there are still 13 games left to get underway as of this writing, giving the betting community plenty of options to consider adding to their card for this evening.
As always, be sure to monitor our MLB starting lineups page throughout the day, as unexpected changes in the batting order can result in value opportunities in the betting and DFS markets.
Another reminder – it’s not a bad beat, or unlucky, if you bet a player to hit a home run and his fly ball dies on the warning track because it’s 40 degrees with the wind blowing in! Before locking in any bets, use our MLB weather page, curated by Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth. There are countless edges to be found if we make the right reads on possible rain delays and great hitting weather, just to name a few. Taking a look at the weather report can save us from a bad bet that otherwise looks good on the surface.
Below, you can find my 3 picks for Wednesday, June 25th!
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Best MLB Player Props for Wednesday, June 25th
Here are my top player prop bets for today, with the first pitch scheduled for 4:07 PM ET on Wednesday, June 25th:
- Gavin Williams Over/Under 17.5 Outs Recorded
- Drew Rasmussen Over/Under 16.5 Outs Recorded
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over/Under 17.5 Outs Recorded
Gavin Williams UNDER 17.5 Outs Recorded (+100, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSEntering play, Williams has recorded 18+ outs in 3 of his last 4 starts, but he doesn’t profile as someone who will consistently get deep into games. Even during his recent hot stretch, Williams has walked 10.8% of the batters he has faced. If not for a fortuitous .197 BABIP and 81.9% strand rate during that span, his recent results likely would look much worse. Toronto is an aggressive offense, so there is some risk that they make early outs and keep Williams’ pitch count down, but this is still good value on the under for a pitcher who is never even a guarantee to make it into the 6th inning.
Drew Rasmussen UNDER 16.5 Outs Recorded (-105, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSRasmussen has put together a strong first half of the season, but there are some cracks that are starting to show. In his last 3 starts, he has posted a meager 16.4% strikeout rate and has allowed more traffic on the basepaths than the league-average pitcher. Kansas City has been a relatively patient offense in recent weeks, which could lead to a shorter-than-expected outing for Rasmussen.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto UNDER 17.5 Outs Recorded (+115, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSYamamoto has been excellent this season, but the one valid critique of his efforts has been a lack of efficiency on a per-batter basis. Since the beginning of June, Yamamoto has failed to complete the 5th inning in 2 of the 4 starts. During that span, he’s allowed a lot of barrels and a number of hard-hit baseballs. Facing the Rockies isn’t the most difficult matchup a pitcher can draw, but pitching in Coors Field presents challenges, regardless of the strength of the opponent. At plus money, there is some value on the under.
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