MLB SlateIQ - MLB DFS Tournament Lineup Strategy for DraftKings: May 1st

Welcome to SlateIQ MLB Beta! We leverage our extensive contest ResultsDB to search for the 25 most similar DraftKings slates that match certain conditions we’ll see tonight. Below, you’ll find some descriptive stats and information about those slates.

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NOTE: SlateIQ is only possible for DraftKings at the moment, but we’ll be sure to announce if we can do this type of analysis on other sites in the future.

Slate Texture

Similar – The 25 most similar slate’s to tonight based on slate size & player salary & positional comparisons.
Average – All slates of the same size.

50/50 Cash Line – Projected Cash Line for 50/50 Contests for Tonight’s Slate
GPP Cash Line – Projected Cash Line for GPPs for Tonight’s Slate
Stacking Factor – A scale of 0 to 100 for stacking player’s from one game on tonight’s slate. 0 = no stacking at all. 100 = maximum stacking.
Ownership Factor – A scale of 0 to 100 for overall ownership in lineups on tonight’s slate. 0 = very low ownership (lower owned players). 100 = very high ownership (higher owned players).
Chalk Hit Rate – Percentage of top-5 owned players in historically similar slates that had higher exposure in winning lineups than ownership percentage
Slate Game Count – Average game count for historically similar slates
Slate Player Count – Average player count for historically similar slates
SP Salaries and Ownership – =Average salaries and ownership levels for pitchers ranked by salary.

Team Stacking

The projected ownership and leverage for 4/5-hitter stacks based on results from the 25 most similar slates. Use this chart to visualize team ownership and expected leverage. Apply your own knowledge to make educated assessments on which teams could provide an advantage in tournaments. IMPORTANT: Be sure to check for updates as lock approaches. Changes in lineups/projected ownership will cause shifts in expected leverage. The last update of the day will come no later than 45 minutes before lineup lock.

Stack Type Leverage

The expected winner and field ownership for popular hitter stacks based on the 25 most similar slates to tonight’s slate.


Pitcher Combo Leverage


The expected winner and field ownership for different pitcher salary tiers ( “Scrub” < $7K, “Low Mid” < $8.5K, “High Mid” < $10K, “Stud” >= $10K ) based on all historical slates.

Pitcher Leverage

Pitcher projected winner (top 0.1%) and field allocations based on equivalent pitchers from the 25 most similar slates to tonight’s slate.


Chalk Hit Rates – Hitters

The top-10 owned hitters projected winner (top 0.1%) and field allocations based on equivalent hitters from the 25 most similar slates to tonight’s slate.


Salary Spent by Position – SP

Estimates for average salary spent on pitchers in the top 0.1% of lineups today, the overall field today, and the field average for similar size slates.


Salary Spent by Position – Hitters

Estimates for average salary spent on hitters in the top 0.1% of lineups today, the overall field today, and the field average for similar size slates.


Winner Salary Tiers – SP

Where the top 0.1% of lineups today have spent their salary on pitchers in tiers based on past similar slates.


Winner Salary Tiers – Hitters

Where the top 0.1% of lineups today have spent their salary on hitters in tiers based on past similar slates.


About the Author

Traeko
Trae Schwabe (Traeko)

Trae Schwabe began providing PGA projected ownership analysis for the largest DraftKings GPPs in 2016 and has since expanded PGA pOWN% coverage to include FanDuel and most recently DK Showdown slates. His pOWN% process is constantly evolving and focuses on delivering numerous updates, past performance transparency, and most importantly, industry-leading accuracy.