MLB Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Friday (4/18)
I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our MLB DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s MLB slate on Underdog Fantasy.
Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge.
Don’t forget to check out our MLB weather page, which is curated by our Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth, to see how that may impact these picks as the day progresses. And you can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s lineup is by heading to our MLB starting lineups page.
We have 15 games on the MLB schedule for 4/18. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog for this Friday slate.
First… Sign Up to Make MLB Underdog Fantasy Picks
If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1,000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for MLB matchups each day. It is then up to the user to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.
I’ll be leaning heavily on our projections and our fantasy pick’em tool for making these Underdog picks today. Be sure to check out the tool to look for even more edges.
Underdog Fantasy Top MLB Picks for 4/18
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top MLB picks on Underdog for 4/18 at a glance:
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto Higher/Lower Than 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
- Drew Rasmussen Higher/Lower Than 1.5 Walks Allowed
- Ryan Gusto Higher/Lower Than 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
Dodgers vs. Rangers MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Dodgers vs. Rangers MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Higher Than 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
Yoshinobu Yamamoto to record higher than 5.5 strikeouts stands out tonight. We project him at 6.51 strikeouts, and our simulations show this pick has a 67% win probability with a 4.2% edge.
This combination of a strong projection and a clear statistical advantage makes it an appealing choice.
Yankees vs. Rays MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Yankees vs. Rays MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Drew Rasmussen Lower Than 1.5 Walks Allowed
Drew Rasmussen to record lower than 1.5 walks allowed is an excellent pick, with us projecting him at only 1.2 walks allowed. Our simulations indicate a 61.8% win probability and a 4% edge, highlighting both value and a likelihood of success.
This pick stands out with its favorable projection, but there can be a lot of variance when targeting a number with a projection of 1.5. However, our numbers suggest this is still +EV over the long run.
Padres vs. Astros MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Padres vs. Astros MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Ryan Gusto Lower Than 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
Ryan Gusto to record lower than 4.5 strikeouts is an excellent pick, with us projecting him at only 3.83 strikeouts. Our simulations show a 70.9% win probability and a 3.7% edge, providing both value and confidence in this selection.
This combination of a strong projection and statistical advantage makes it an appealing choice. There is just a 0.86x multiplier on this on Underdog, but our numbers still show value with this factored in.
Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our PrizePicks promo code and Sleeper promo code.
Image Credit: Imagn