MLB Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Wednesday (5/7)

Brown of the Cubs

I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our MLB DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s MLB slate on Underdog Fantasy.

Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge.

Don’t forget to check out our MLB weather page, which is curated by our Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth, to see how that may impact these picks as the day progresses. And you can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s lineup is by heading to our MLB starting lineups page.

We have 15 games on the MLB schedule for 5/7. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog for this Wednesday slate.

First… Sign Up to Make MLB Underdog Fantasy Picks

If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog Fantasy promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1,000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for MLB matchups each day. It is then up to the user to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.

I’ll be leaning heavily on our projections and our fantasy pick’em tool for making these Underdog picks today. Be sure to check out the tool to look for even more edges.

Underdog Fantasy Top MLB Picks for 5/7

Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top MLB picks on Underdog for 5/7 at a glance:

Giants vs. Cubs MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions

Here are the Giants vs. Cubs MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:

Ben Brown Less Than 16.5 Outs

Brown is projected by us to achieve 14.19 Outs, which is well below the 16.5 mark. Our simulations highlight a 3% edge and a 60.8% probability of success.

These numbers indicate that choosing lower than 16.5 Outs for Brown tonight is a strong pick. The projections align with a conservative outlook on his performance, reflecting our cautious expectations for his game.

Rangers vs. Red Sox MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions

Here are the Rangers vs. Red Sox MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:

Tanner Houck Less Than 17.5 Outs

Houck is projected by us to achieve 16.32 Outs, which is comfortably below the 17.5 mark. Our simulations indicate a 2.5% edge and a 55.1% chance of success.

Given these insights, opting for lower than 17.5 Outs for Houck tonight is a sound choice, especially since we are getting a 1.1x multiplier on this one.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions

Here are the Mets vs. Diamondbacks MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:

Kodai Senga More Than 15.5 Outs

Senga is projected by us to achieve 16.2 Outs, comfortably exceeding the 15.5 mark. Our simulations reflect a 1.9% edge and a 59.7% probability of success.

These insights suggest opting for higher than 15.5 Outs for Senga tonight is a strong choice. The projections align with our expectation of a great outing, supporting a favorable outcome for his game.

Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our PrizePicks promo code and Sleeper promo code.

Image Credit: Imagn

About the Author

Jbails26
Justin Bailey (Jbails26)

Justin Bailey (aka jbails26) is the Lead Editor for RotoGrinders and FantasyLabs. He’s been playing DFS since 2013 and specializes in small-field NFL and PGA contests (but still dabbles in MME). Justin qualified for the DraftKings Fantasy Golf World Championship in 2023. Follow Justin on Twitter – @justinbailey32