MMA DFS and Betting Breakdown: UFC 327 - Procházka vs. Ulberg

by Liam Heslin (LiamPicksFights) Last Updated 2026-04-10 01:56:41 Premium Content Part of the product MMA Premium

Liam Heslin (aka LiamPicksFights) is a massive combat sports fan with over a decade of experience competing in wrestling and grappling martial arts. For each UFC event, he produces the MMA DFS and sports betting breakdown for RotoGrinders. Read below for his in-depth analysis on UFC 327 – Procházka vs. Ulberg.

This card doesn’t feel quite the same with the loss of the scheduled flyweight title fight betwen Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira. Luckily for us fans, the card is stacked with talent from the early prelims to the highly anticipated light heavyweight main event. Jiri Prochazka is must-see TV. His pairing with “Black Jag” Carlos Ulberg promises 5 rounds of violence or less. Let us begin in earnest with a violent welterweight clash that pits the brash, well-rounded American Charlie “Chuck Buffalo” Radtke against the young Argentine striker, Francisco Prado.

Editor’s Note: Analysis of remaining fights is coming soon.

Note: All DFS salaries listed are from DraftKings & all odds quoted are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg – MMA DFS Picks & Betting Breakdown

Charles Radtke ($8,800) vs. Francisco Prado ($7,400)

Fight Odds: -200 Radtke vs. +154 Prado
Weight Class: 170lb. (Welterweight)

Charles Radtke (4-2 UFC), better known as “Chuck Buffalo,” has had a weird run in the promotion. On the one hand, 4 UFC wins is nothing to sneeze at. On the other hand, Radtke is not defeating the cream of the crop. Instead, he is beating the likes of Blood Diamond (0-3 UFC), Gilbert Urbina (1-3 UFC), Matthew Semelsberger (5-6 UFC), and Daniel Frunza (0-2 UFC). Radtke has lost twice in the UFC and was finished in both losses, but you can forgive it because he lost to Carlos Prates (6-1 UFC) and Mike Malott (6-1 UFC), ranked fighters with serious skills.

Francisco Prado (1-4 UFC) is only 23 years of age compared to his 35-year-old opponent, so I think it is fair to assume we can expect more growth and development from Prado working with American Top Team than Radtke, who has been fighting as an amateur since 2011. Prado’s resume is also tough to gauge because he only has one meaningless win against Ottman Azaitar at 155lb. He was easily out-wrestled by Jamie Mullarkey (6-7 UFC) in his debut at 155lb. And he was -30 on the significant strike count against Daniel Zellhuber (4-3 UFC). Since moving up to welterweight, Prado gave up 2 takedowns on 6 attempts from Nikolay Veretennikov (2-3 UFC) while getting outlanded on significant strikes (-9).

This fight is not easy to call. Radtke is probably less durable and lower volume than Prado, but he should also have a substantial technical edge and more competitive experience on the mat. Radtke is a solid BJJ black belt with mediocre takedowns, but Prado presents a 50% takedown defense rate. Prado has conceded 5 takedowns in as many UFC fights, but he conceded the only 2 takedowns to Veretennikov (TD Ratio 2:13 in 5 fights). If it’s a pure striking battle, it is probably a coin flip, but because it is a mixed martial arts bout, I will lean ever so slightly to the Valley Flow Striking Academy representative. If Prado can’t find the chin, I think he has fewer paths to victory.

Prediction: Charles Radtke defeats Francisco Prado via SUB/DEC (or Prado via KO)

Kelvin Gastelum ($9,000) vs. Vicente Luque ($7,200)

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