MMA DFS and Betting Breakdown: UFC 330 - Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

by Liam Heslin (LiamPicksFights) Last Updated 2026-08-14 00:20:56 Premium Content Part of the product MMA Premium

Liam Heslin (aka LiamPicksFights) is a massive combat sports fan with over a decade of experience competing in wrestling and grappling martial arts. For each UFC event, he produces the MMA DFS and sports betting breakdown for RotoGrinders. Read below for his in-depth analysis on UFC 330 – Makhachev vs. Machado Garry.

The octagon returns to Philadelphia for the first time in 7 years with 2 title fights sitting atop the bill. Ian Machado Garry looks to become Ireland’s second UFC champion, while Islam Makhachev looks to maintain his position as the top pound-for-pound fighter in the sport and overtake the great Anderson Silva for sole possession of the longest win streak in UFC history. Mackenzie Dern is also defending her strawweight crown for the first time against the most prolific finisher in women’s UFC history. The card is a bit top heavy, but there are gems sprinkled throughout and a number of great fighters worth paying attention to. We begin with a DFS player’s dream, as Myktybek Orolbai seeks his 6th score of 100+ in as many UFC wins.

Note: All DFS salaries listed are from DraftKings & all odds quoted are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Editor’s Note: Analysis of remaining fights is coming soon!

MMA DFS Picks: DraftKings Expert Survey for UFC 330 – Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Myktybek Orolbai ($9,600) vs. Jeremiah Wells ($6,600)

Fight Odds: -1200 Orolbai vs. +680 Wells
Weight Class: 170lb. (Welterweight)

Myktybek Orolbai (5-1 UFC) signed to the UFC on short notice to fight Uros Medic (8-3 UFC) and made a strong account of himself, beating the future welterweight contender via submission in the 2nd round. Orolbai dropped down to the lightweight division, splitting his next 2 bouts with a win against Elves Brenner (3-3 UFC) and a split decision loss against Mateusz Rebecki (5-4 UFC). After smashing Tofiq Musayev (2-1 UFC) via 1st-round submission at a 165lb Catchweight, Orolbai committed himself to the welterweight division. Orolbai destroyed veteran middleweight Jack “The Joker” Hermansson (11-8 UFC) with his striking and followed that up with a 19-takedown rout against “The Action Man” Chris Curtis (6-5 UFC). The Kyrgyzstan representative has fought a tough schedule since arriving in the promotion and has consistently impressed, showing high-pace wrestling, powerful punching, and tremendous heart.

Jeremiah Wells (5-2 UFC) is a Philadelphia representative who will be looking to put on for his home fans against a younger, more highly touted prospect. Wells has a similarly shiny record in the promotion, but it is fair to say his wins have come against a slightly lesser brand of competition. The wins for Wells inside the octagon are against Warlley Alves (8-8 UFC; 2-6 in L8 fights, cut from the promotion), Blood Diamond (0-3 UFC; cut from the promotion), 37-year-old Court McGee (11-13 UFC; 4-9 in L13 fights, retirement fight scheduled for later this year), Matthew Semelsberger (5-6 UFC; 1-5 in L6 fights, cut from the promotion), and Themba Gorimbo (4-4 UFC; 0-3 in L3 fights, retired). What is more concerning for me is that Wells has been losing against post-prime fighters like Max Griffin (8-11 UFC; cut from the promotion) and Carlston Harris (4-4 UFC; cut from the promotion). Orolbai’s entire UFC career has taken place in the same amount of time that Wells has only earned a single UFC win; a 29-28 decision win against Themba Gorimbo in which he conceded 6 takedowns and 5.5 minutes of control time.

Wells has some power on the feet, but his 2:2 UFC knockdown ratio doesn’t speak to him being a huge KO threat at the UFC level. Orolbai is averaging 8+ takedowns per 15 minutes, he has taken down every UFC opponent 2 or more times except Jack Hermansson (KO’d him in the very 1st round), and he has a 2:1 knockdown ratio to his credit in fewer UFC opportunities. Orolbai has to avoid putting his neck in a precarious position against the Marquez MMA Black Belt (Wells is averaging 1.3 SUB attempts per 15 minutes), but he has shown excellent defensive responsibility thus far in his career, posting a 6-0 record to the submission prop with no submission attempts allowed in 6 UFC fights. Ultimately, I see Orolbai as the more primed athlete, the more dangerous fighter, and the athlete with a more consistent winning process. I expect Orolbai to attempt and complete a high volume of takedowns.

Prediction: Myktybek Orolbai defeats Jeremiah Wells via KO/DEC

Ramiz Brahimaj ($8,200) vs. Neil Magny ($8,000)

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