MMA DFS Expert Survey: UFC Fight Night - Dern vs. Ribas 2
Our panel of experts is here to give you their MMA DFS advice for this week’s contests by answering a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup-building decisions. Want to know Billy Ward’s favorite value play? Or h3budda’s top fighter for tournaments? Find out below!
MMA DFS Picks: DraftKings Expert Survey for UFC Fight Night – Dern vs. Ribas 2
Who is your favorite fighter to spend up for in cash games?
h3budda: Ribas
Moneyball16: Ribas
Bward586: Smith
LiamPicksFights: Smith
Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our Underdog Fantasy promo code and PrizePicks promo code, two of the best DFS apps available today.
What are your thoughts about stacking the 5-round fight in cash games?
h3budda: There’s not so much value on this slate that I would avoid the stack. You are locking in a potentially competitive women’s MMA fight that is -200 to go to a decision. There is a great floor with high upside on the winner’s side. The pricing is right to easily stack and grab some chalk plays with finishing equity.
Moneyball16: It’s probably a stack, with the fight expected to go to the full 5 rounds, but with so many fights, there are alternative routes to a cash game lineup. I would definitely play Ribas, as Dern has shown that she can be scored against despite being a strong opponent. I could take or leave playing Dern.
Bward586: On a 14-fight card, it’s not absolutely necessary, but both women provide a fairly solid floor since the fight is -200 to go all 5 rounds. There’s an argument that fading Dern makes sense. She’s unlikely to land many takedowns against a stronger wrestler in Ribas, and she historically doesn’t have a ton of striking output. However, unless there are other cheap options you’re comfortable with, it makes the most sense to take the easy stack.
LiamPicksFights: I don’t like the idea of stacking this main event. The last time these women fought, Ribas washed Dern to the tune of 2 takedowns to 0 takedowns and 74 significant strikes to 20 (the biggest negative differential of Dern’s career). Either Dern has improved enough to get takedowns (or land with power), or she is likely to get rinsed again over 5 rounds.
Which fight are you most likely to avoid and why?
Want to read more? Sign up for Premium!
This content can help you make better MMA DFS picks
- To access this content, subscribe to MMA Premium or purchase a 3-day trial.
- An MMA subscription will allow you to access this content and much more!
About the Author
Robert Brown (aka Epignosis) was having lunch at a sports bar. A football game was on. He remarked to his wife that if he could have a second life, he’d like to be someone who enjoyed watching sports. That enjoyment began when he signed up for a fantasy football league that needed one more player. Since then, he has enjoyed playing NFL, NBA, and (especially) MLB DFS. When not teaching American literature, editing content for RotoGrinders (which he has done since 2019), or making lineups, Epignosis is rocking out or jazzing it up on one of several possible instruments.