MMA DFS Expert Survey: UFC Fight Night - Kape vs. Almabayev

by Justin Bailey (Jbails26) Last Updated 2025-02-28 22:56:45 Premium Content Part of the product MMA Premium

Our panel of experts is here to give you their MMA DFS advice for this week’s contests by answering a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup-building decisions. Want to know Billy Ward’s favorite value play? Or h3budda’s top fighter for tournaments? Find out below!

MMA DFS Picks: DraftKings Expert Survey for UFC Fight Night – Kape vs. Almabayev

Who is your favorite fighter to spend up for in cash games?

h3budda: Kape
Moneyball16: Pinto
Bward586: Mariscal
LiamPicksFights: Mariscal

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What are your thoughts about stacking the 5-round fight in cash games?

h3budda: This main event is -140 to go to a decision. I really think you’re getting a nice floor by targeting this fight. The weight class alone guarantees constant action. Pace alone should make stacking this an obvious play in cash game formats.

Moneyball16: This is probably a stack. It has good odds (-128) to go the full 5 rounds and should provide a solid floor. If you want to make a change, I wouldn’t do it with Asu Almabayev, given his grappling upside, but I do think it’s possible to play cash games without Manel Kape. He doesn’t have the same win equity as fighters priced around him, and while facing weaker competition, Almabayev has been very hard to score against in his first 4 UFC fights.

Bward586: It’s a relatively small slate (12 fights) with a main event that’s favored to go to a decision. We should also get solid per-minute scoring from both fighters, with Kape’s striking and Almabayev’s grappling. I’m certainly going to stack this in cash games and will consider stacking it in a small chunk of my GPP lineups as well.

LiamPicksFights: With such a limited slate, rostering both sides of the main event seems extremely viable, particularly in cash games. Almabayev could have wrestling success in spurts even if he loses the decision or gets finished late.