MMA DFS Expert Survey: UFC 317 - Topuria vs. Oliveira

by Justin Bailey (Jbails26) Last Updated 2025-06-27 20:22:17 Premium Content Part of the product MMA Premium

Our panel of experts is here to give you their MMA DFS advice for this week’s contests by answering a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup-building decisions. Want to know Billy Ward’s favorite value play? Or h3budda’s top fighter for tournaments? Find out below!

MMA DFS Picks: DraftKings Expert Survey for UFC 317 – Topuria vs. Oliveira

Who is your favorite fighter to spend up for in cash games?

h3budda: Topuria or Pantoja
Moneyball16: Smith
Bward586: Pantoja
LiamPicksFights: Smith

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What are your thoughts about stacking the 5-round fights in cash games?

h3budda: There are two great 5-round title fights on this slate. I am looking at the flyweight fight right away for a stack due to the high pace. Kara-France will need to stop some takedowns to get some scoring going. I like the -135 “fight starts 5th round” prop for safety in that spot. Topuria is the next click because of his strong moneyline and inside-the-distance prop. Charles will be difficult to click due to his questionable durability and potential to get starched here.

Moneyball16: I think the Pantoja/Kara-France fight is a relatively easy stack. Either fighter could win; it is almost a coin flip to go the full 5 rounds, and the pace should be pretty good. The Topuria/Oliveira fight is a much worse cash fight, with Topuria being a 4-1 favorite and the fight being -400 to not go to a decision. Oliveira doesn’t win enough to play in cash. Topuria is a fine cash play.

Bward586: The betting lines would indicate that stacking the co-main along with Topuria in the main event is the optimal way to handle the two 5-rounders. However, I’m going out on a limb myself. I expect Pantoja to win his fight clearly, while Oliveira is a live dog to pull the upset. As such, I’ll have a stack in the main event with Pantoja while leaving Kara-France out of my cash game lineups.

LiamPicksFights: I like the idea of grabbing Ilia Topuria and Kai Kara-France as my pieces in the main and co-main event rather than stacking. If I had to pick one fight to stack, it would be the flyweight title fight. That stack could end up paying off, but I would be surprised to see the main event go longer than 3 rounds, regardless of winner.

Which fight are you most likely to avoid and why?

h3budda: Cortez/Araujo – There are only two ways that this fight makes an optimal lineup: Cortez dominates with a 30-27 grappling-heavy game plan, or Araujo wins outright. I don’t see either of those happening at a high rate. It’s the most likely fight to go to a decision (-550).