SquirrelPatrol's Takedowns: UFC 294 - Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
John Breslin (squirrelpatrol) is one of the best DFS players in the game, having amassed over 90 Live Final seats. Get a glimpse into his process by checking out some of his contrarian MMA DFS picks for the upcoming UFC event.
Welcome to the weekend and to SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2. This card is being held at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi – which means two big things for the DFS slate. There is a non-standard 10AM ET start time, so don’t forget to set your lineups if you’re getting to bed late Friday night. This card also features a number of fighters from the region, so similar to the outstanding performances by the Canadian fighters in Vancouver and French fighters in Paris, it may be worth paying attention to the possible home octagon edge on the card. This card features a number of fights likely to end inside the distance and some lopsided odds making it difficult to find strong underdogs. Let’s dig into the slate and see if we can find some overlooked picks to help us take down a GPP this weekend.
MMA DFS Picks: SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC 294 – Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Mohammad Yahya
DraftKings: $8,000
FanDuel: $19
The Mohammad Yahya – Trevor Peek fight should be one of the highest-action matchups on the card, but the projected ownership seems to be gravitating towards Peek while Yahya is going overlooked. Peek is the favorite and does have a higher ITD line, but Yahya’s +135 win odds still give him a 40% implied win probability. Yahya should have the crowd (and judges, if necessary) behind him in this fight and his +435 first-round finish odds (17% probability) are higher than his 13% projected ownership on DraftKings. There is a major pricing discrepancy between the sites for this fight, with Yahya the more expensive fighter on FanDuel which could lead to even lower ownership there.