SquirrelPatrol's Takedowns: UFC 295 - Prochazka vs. Pereira
John Breslin (squirrelpatrol) is one of the best DFS players in the game, having amassed over 90 Live Final seats. Get a glimpse into his process by checking out some of his contrarian MMA DFS picks for the upcoming UFC event.
Welcome to the weekend and to SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira. This card is being held at Madison Square Garden in New York City, and having been there last November for UFC 281, I can tell you the atmosphere should be electric. The lines on this card are a bit closer than what we’ve seen on our recent PPV slates, with just one fight having odds of -300 or better compared to 3-5 on every other PPV card the past six months. Closer lined fights mean more live underdogs, so it could be a wild card even before we get to possible late-scratch shenanigans. Let’s dig into the slate and see if we can find some overlooked picks to help us take down a GPP this weekend.
MMA DFS Picks: SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC 295 – Procházka vs. Pereira
Sergei Pavlovich
DraftKings: $8,000
FanDuel: $15
The co-main event is a difficult fight to call, but I’ll side with Sergei Pavlovich and his six first-round finishes in a row dating back to 2019. This fight has a greater than 50% chance to end in the first round according to the odds, so the winner should score extremely well. The odds on this fight are about as close as it gets for both the win and the first-round finish, and Pavlovich gives you an extra $200 to work with in your lineups on DraftKings and an extra $1 on FanDuel.