SquirrelPatrol's Takedowns: UFC 306 - O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili
John Breslin (squirrelpatrol) is one of the best DFS players in the game, having amassed over 100 Live Final seats. Get a glimpse into his process by checking out some of his contrarian MMA DFS picks for the upcoming UFC event.
Welcome to the weekend and to SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC 306 – O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili. This card is taking place in Las Vegas, but we’re not at the UFC APEX this time. The UFC is hosting this event at the Sphere, and it should be an amazing show. From a DFS perspective, this is one of the most unique cards I can remember, with 10 fights total and a pair of 5-round fights featuring some of the highest scoring fighters for fantasy purposes in UFC history. We’ll have some major decisions to make regarding when and how often to stack the 5-round fights, which, in a rare occurrence, is plausible even in tournaments. Don’t forget that you can always check out our MMA DFS projections.
Let’s see if we can find some overlooked fighters to help us take down a GPP this weekend.
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MMA DFS Picks: SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC 306 – O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili
Merab Dvalishvili
DraftKings: $7,700
FanDuel: $16
The biggest situation we need to be aware of on this slate is that it has a couple of extremely high scorers as underdogs in the 5-round fights in Merab Dvalishvili and Valentina Shevchenko. Having said that, Merab may be in a tier by himself. He won’t go overlooked even as an underdog, but he has averaged 7.9 takedowns over his last 10 fights dating back to 2018, giving him an extremely solid floor and an extremely high ceiling. He’s the best example in the UFC of a fighter who can land on the winning lineup even in a loss, and he has scored over 160 DK points in 2 of his last 4 UFC fights. I’ve never played a slate with Merab where I wished I had less of him on my rosters, and late line movement seems to be moving in favor of Merab “The Machine” Dvalishvili.
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