SquirrelPatrol's Takedowns: UFC 307 - Pereira vs. Rountree

by John Breslin (squirrelpatrol) Last Updated 2024-10-05 14:30:34 Premium Content Part of the product MMA Premium

John Breslin (squirrelpatrol) is one of the best DFS players in the game, having amassed over 100 Live Final seats. Get a glimpse into his process by checking out some of his contrarian MMA DFS picks for the upcoming UFC event.

Welcome to the weekend and to SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC 307 – Pereira vs. Rountree. This PPV card is taking place at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah and features a pair of 5-round fights. The co-main event is the Bantamweight Title Fight between Raquel Pennington and Julianna Pena and is strongly favored to go all 5 rounds. The main event is the Light Heavyweight Title Fight between Alex Pereira and Khalil Rountree. The main event is strongly favored to end early, with both Pereira and Rountree carrying tremendous knockout power.

We have 12 fights on this card, so we’ll need to find upside from each winner for them to land on the winning DFS lineup. Don’t forget that you can always check out our MMA DFS projections, which include both mean and ceiling projections.

Let’s see if we can find some overlooked fighters to help us take down a tournament today.

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MMA DFS Picks: SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC 307 – Pereira vs. Rountree

Julianna Pena
DraftKings: $7,800
FanDuel: $15

With -230 odds of going the distance, the co-main event winner is likely to put up a big score. Julianna Pena has put up 109+ DK points in 3 of her 7 UFC wins, and the prop market is setting a line of 72.5 significant strikes for Pena, the most for any fighter on the card except her opponent, Raquel Pennington. Pena could knock off over a third of lineups with a win; Pennington is carrying 37% pOWN.