SquirrelPatrol's Takedowns: UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
John Breslin (squirrelpatrol) is one of the best DFS players in the game, having amassed over 90 Live Final seats. Get a glimpse into his process by checking out some of his contrarian MMA DFS picks for the upcoming UFC event.
Welcome to the weekend and to SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis. This card is being held in Sao Paulo, Brazil, and each fight on the card features at least one Brazilian fighter, so we’ll want to pay attention to the possible home octagon edge for each fight. This card features a number of fights likely to end inside the distance and some lopsided odds, making it difficult to find strong underdogs. Let’s dig into the slate and see if we can find some overlooked picks to help us take down a GPP this weekend.
MMA DFS Picks: SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
Kaue Fernandes
DraftKings: $7,600
FanDuel: $13
Home field advantage can make a difference in every sport, and that advantage can be even stronger in an international sport where home field means home country and a win often comes down to a judge’s scorecard. In the first fight of the night, Fernandes is making his UFC debut after scoring first-round finishes in his last two pre-UFC bouts. The Brazilian lightweight is just a +125 underdog (42% implied win probability), which is excellent for his $7,600 price tag on DraftKings and $13 cost on FanDuel.