SquirrelPatrol's Takedowns: UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
John Breslin (squirrelpatrol) is one of the best DFS players in the game, having amassed over 100 Live Final seats. Get a glimpse into his process by checking out some of his contrarian MMA DFS picks for the upcoming UFC event.
Welcome to the weekend and to SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov. This card is being held at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY and features a five-round middleweight Main Event between Jared Cannonier and Nassourdine Imavov. The card is a big one, especially for a fight night event, with 14 fights as the UFC looks to give the Kentucky crown their money’s worth. That makes it just the third 14-fight card this year, with no slate yet having more fights. The lines are relatively close on this card as well, so with so many close fights, we’re sure to see some surprises. Let’s see if we can find some overlooked fighters to help us take down a GPP this weekend.
MMA DFS Picks: SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Dustin Stoltzfus
DraftKings: $6,800
FanDuel: $9
Dustin Stoltzfus is a large +220 underdog in his fight against Brunno Ferreira, and with Ferreira carrying the strongest first-round win odds on the slate, he will be one of the most popular fighters for DFS contests. That gives us a large amount of leverage by picking Stoltzfus, who has a 30.0% implied probability of pulling off the upset win. Priced at just $6,800 on DraftKings, Stoltzfus has good first-round win odds for his price at +815 (10.5% implied probability). The prop markets show Stoltzfus as more likely than not to get a takedown (-175 for over 0.5 takedowns) in this fight, showing that he isn’t expected to be overmatched by Ferreira despite the underdog odds.
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