Free MMA DFS Tips for DraftKings' UFC 250 Millionaire Maker
Welcome to the Quick Picks version of UFC 250!
For the first time, DraftKings has launched a Millionaire Maker tournament for the UFC 250 slate, with a cool $1,000,000 up for grabs to first place. Below are a few of my favorite DFS tips for the UFC 250 slate, including two high-upside targets, a salary-saver, and a fighter I am not so excited to invest in.
Premium subscribers will get access to full fight breakdowns of all 12 fights on the UFC 250 slate, nearly 15,000 words breaking down each fighter, paths to victory, and strategy for those attempting to win the big $1,000,000 prize. Subscribers also get access to a video and audio podcast with some of the top experts in the industry, as well as fighter rankings.
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DFS Tips for UFC 250 Millionaire Maker
Amanda Nunes, $9,400
The heaviest favorite on the entire slate, Featherweight champion Amanda Nunes is widely considered an elite tournament and cash game option for UFC 250.
Nunes is -625 to beat the challenger Felicia Spencer, and is -230 to win the fight inside the distance, by knockout or submission. Nunes is an extremely well-rounded talent, landing 4.34 significant strikes per minute and 2.33 takedowns per 15 minutes. If she is able to pull off a victory inside the distance, as her odds suggest is a strong possibility, Nunes is very likely to top the 100 point mark on DraftKings.
Even in a decision, Nunes has 25 minutes to work with, as opposed to the traditional 15 minutes for non-championship matchups. This means that her general floor and ceiling are higher than the average fighter, and it’s one of the reasons why Nunes can be considered among the very best options at UFC 250.
In her past four victories, Nunes has scored 125, 109, 117 and 123 points on DraftKings, and she has real potential to be on the winning millionaire lineup if she can perform up to those standards.
Alonzo Menifield, $9,000
Another strong tournament option at UFC 250, Alonzo Menifield has legitimate potential to be on the winning millionaire lineup, as he takes on fellow Light Heavyweight Devin Clark Saturday.
Menifield is a bit cheaper than Amanda Nunes, he only costs 9k, but he is known for his knockout power and has already won two UFC fights inside the first round. Menifield is a -235 favorite, and holds an ITD line of -167, which means he has a very strong chance to win by knockout or submission according to the DraftKings Sportsbook.
Devin Clark has already been knocked out twice in his UFC career, which is promising for Menifield’s prospects, and adds to the narrative that he can hurt Clark with his power early. Menifield is not as close to a lock as Nunes in terms of his ability to win the fight, but if you need to save some salary, he still has significant tournament winning potential at the price point.
Raphael Assuncao, $7,600
If you are looking to save some salary at UFC 250, Raphael Assuncao is priced too cheaply at 7.6k, and still offers some tournament winning potential.
Assuncao is only +125 to beat his opponent Cody Garbrandt, which is atypical for a fighter priced in that range. In the simplest terms, Assuncao has a better chance to win his fight than the majority of opponents priced below 8k.
Garbrandt is also coming off a layoff, and he has been knocked out in three consecutive fights. Many doubt whether Garbrandt can take much damage in return, and Assuncao is a very experienced veteran who could theoretically test his chin again. Assuncao lands 3.32 significant strikes per minute, as well as 1.54 takedowns per 15 minutes, so he has multiple paths to victory if the fight extends for a full 15 minutes.
Assuncao is not a safe play, but he definitely holds upside on DraftKings and has potential to be on the winning millionaire lineup.
Cody Stamann, $9,100
It will be difficult to roster every fighter on the UFC 250 slate, especially if you want to pay up for some very strong tournament options like Amanda Nunes or Alonzo Menifield. There are other fighters in the top tier of pricing who are strong plays, but the fighter with the least amount of upside is arguably Cody Stamann.
At 9.1k, Stamann will likely need a 100 point score to end up on the optimal lineup. He is -275 to beat Brian Kelleher, but his odds to finish are very poor. If Stamann only beats Kelleher by decision, he very likely will not land enough significant strikes or takedowns to end up on the winning millionaire lineup.
If you are debating whether to pay up for any fighter priced 8.5k and above, Stamann is one of the first options you should be crossing off your list.
More DFS Tips for UFC 250
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