NASCAR DFS & Betting Preview: EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix Odds & Pricing
Hey everyone, welcome to the RotoGrinders NASCAR DFS and betting recap/preview article. This is a new series for the 2022 season.
This week we head to Austin, Texas for the EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix. The EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix is Sunday at 3:30pm EST on FOX. On Saturday, we have a XFINITY and Trucks double-header. Truck race kicks us off at 1:00pm EST, with the XFINITY race to follow at 4:30pm EST.
Race Preview
Race number six of the season, and we finally get our first road course with the new car. Circuit of the Americas is a 3.426-mile road course with 19 turns. With the elevation changes and tight corners, it’s one of the hardest tracks on the circuit. Last year’s race at COTA was one of the wildest races I’ve ever seen, and I’m glad the weather looks better this weekend. With it being the first road course race of season, and with the new car, there is an hour practice session on Saturday morning. This will be a very telling practice session, and I’m looking forward to digging into the data.
DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Preview
The stages are 15,15, and 38, which is a total of 68 laps. With 68 laps, we’re looking at 6.8 laps led, and 6.8 laps completed points on FanDuel. On DraftKings, we’re looking at 30.6 fastest lap points and 17 laps led points. With limited dominator points, nailing the place differential and finishing potential is going to be the key to a big weekend. I won’t be listing the optimal lineup from this race last year because of the weather, as with the new car, it’s useless data in my opinion.
Looking at the other six road course races last season, Kyle Larson had three wins and a 118.4 driver rating, which was the highest. Chase Elliott had the best average finish and the second highest driver rating.
EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix Betting Odds
The books are very aggressively pricing Chase Elliott and Kyle Larson this weekend. Larson had one of the most dominate seasons in NASCAR last season, and the car was fast in every situation. He’s not ranked in the top five in speed this season, so I struggle to get excited at +300-+400 for him. Chase Elliott has been the best road course racer over the last three seasons, but I don’t see a ton of value at 3/1. I see some value for both Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. I might wait till practice and qualifying to start betting this race. I want to see how these new cars perform on a road course before I recommend bets. As far as the featured matchups, Byron is a good road course racer and shouldn’t be +155 in his matchup against Larson. That’s good value for Byron over Larson.
Fantasy Recap
Check back Thursday.