NBA Advanced Matchups: Saturday, March 21st
Welcome to the NBA Advanced Matchups, presented by Ohnjz. I’ll be taking you deep into the depths of NBA advanced stats to uncover the top plays in each NBA slate (with four or more games). We’ll consider a broad spectrum of metrics here, including SPORTSVU player and shot tracking, play type data, individual defensive metrics, and my personal favorite, Ohnjz’ bad-jokes-and-snarky-comments-per-article. As always, this work is meant as a guide to help you hone in on what advanced stats would suggest are some of the top plays – but it’s ultimately up to you to decide how to build your lineups.
MINDFULNESS
Before we dig into the Advanced Matchups, we’ll take note of the team and game situations that can impact our decision-making each day
Blowout Concerns
• Nets at Pacers: Pacers -8.5
• Jazz at Warriors: Warriors -9
Fatigue Concerns
• 3 Games in 4 Nights: Jazz
• 3-In-4 and B2B: Nets, Bulls, Warriors, Pacers, Grizzlies, Blazers
UNDER THE MICROSCOPE
THE OBLIGATORY ‘JAMES HARDEN IS PLAYING TODAY’ MENTION
If you haven’t heard, James Harden is playing today. He’s really, really good at basketball. So good he dropped 50 real on the Nuggets on Thursday. But you probably know all that. What you might not know is that he’s actually been just as good against the Suns. Harden only scorched the Suns (see what I did there?) for 40 real points back on February 10th, but he also added 12 rebounds, 9 assists, 3 steals, and a block for good measure. He also had a 33-point performance a month before that. This man knows how to score against this team, and this team has no idea how to stop this man. The Suns’ defense is worse now than ever before with rim protecting C Alex Len out, and Marcus Morris pretending to be a SG. Harden will get to the rack with ease tonight.
VALUE: BRANDAN WRIGHT
With Alex Len Doubtful again tonight, Brandan Wright is a premier value play for your frontcourt. Wright has filled in admirably for Len and we’ve reaped the benefits, with two 35+ FPT performances…
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Each day when there are four or more late-slate games, Ohnjz will bring FanDuel & DraftKings Incentives members Advanced Matchup breakdowns for that day’s NBA games. These data-driven breakdowns will provide you insight & analysis you can’t find anywhere else. Enjoy!
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