NBA DFS Playoff Primer: Friday, April 28
The NBA postseason is finally upon us. We no longer have to worry about players resting, late scratches, and teams trying to lose. For the next couple of months, we get meaningful basketball game after meaningful basketball game. We have decided to combine the Core Plays and the Grind Down into one all-encompassing article for the NBA playoffs. We will break down each slate, sift through the game flow trackers of prior meetings between teams, cover the notable matchups, and provide our favorite NBA DFS targets.
INTRO
Game 6: Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Series: Kings 2 – Warriors 3
Previous Matchups
- Game 1: GSW 123 – SAC 126
- Game 2: GSW 106 – SAC 114
- Game 3: SAC 97 – GSW 114
- Game 4: SAC 125 – GSW 126
- Game 5: GSW 123 – SAC 116
Notable Injuries
None
Sacramento Kings Lineup – DraftKings & FanDuel Salaries
| Player | DK | POS | FD | POS | MIN/G | +/- | FP/G | +/- | USG% | +/- | TS% | +/- | DK/M | +/- | FD/M | +/- | MIN (P) | DK (P) | DK/$ | FD (P) | FD/$ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De’Aaron Fox | $8,700 | PG | $10,000 | PG | 33.4 | 5.7 | 42.0 | 12.3 | 29% | 3% | 60% | -7% | 1.26 | 0.13 | 1.23 | 0.14 | 39 | 50.3 | 5.78 | 49.6 | 4.96 | |
| Kevin Huerter | $4,600 | SG/SF | $4,900 | SG/SF | 29.4 | -4.3 | 27.2 | -7.6 | 20% | -3% | 62% | -19% | 0.92 | -0.15 | 0.90 | -0.10 | 23 | 20.1 | 4.37 | 19.8 | 4.03 | |
| Harrison Barnes | $5,000 | SF/PF | $5,300 | SF/PF | 32.5 | 1.2 | 24.9 | -1.5 | 17% | -3% | 63% | -9% | 0.77 | -0.07 | 0.75 | -0.02 | 33 | 22.1 | 4.41 | 21.9 | 4.12 | |
| Keegan Murray | $4,300 | PF | $4,500 | SF/PF | 29.8 | -5.5 | 23.3 | -6.1 | 16% | -5% | 60% | 6% | 0.78 | -0.07 | 0.77 | -0.07 | 31 | 22.6 | 5.26 | 22.7 | 5.04 | |
| Domantas Sabonis | $8,900 | C | $9,300 | C/PF | 34.6 | 1.9 | 48.5 | -6.5 | 21% | 0% | 67% | -14% | 1.40 | -0.25 | 1.34 | -0.20 | 36 | 46.4 | 5.21 | 44.3 | 4.76 | |
| Malik Monk | $5,500 | SG | $6,500 | SG/PG | 22.3 | 6.2 | 24.4 | 6.3 | 25% | 0% | 59% | -2% | 1.09 | -0.02 | 1.05 | 0.00 | 28 | 28.5 | 5.18 | 27.3 | 4.20 | |
| Davion Mitchell | $4,100 | PG/SG | $4,500 | PG | 18.1 | 6.0 | 12.3 | 3.1 | 14% | 0% | 55% | 3% | 0.68 | -0.04 | 0.68 | -0.05 | 23 | 15.0 | 3.66 | 15.0 | 3.34 | |
| Trey Lyles | $3,400 | PF/C | $3,700 | PF | 16.9 | -2.8 | 15.8 | -2.3 | 17% | -2% | 61% | -8% | 0.94 | 0.02 | 0.92 | -0.02 | 15 | 14.7 | 4.33 | 14.4 | 3.89 | |
| Alex Len | $3,400 | C | $3,700 | C | 6.2 | 4.0 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 13% | 0% | 58% | 31% | 1.00 | -0.09 | 1.05 | -0.15 | 12 | 10.4 | 3.06 | 10.5 | 2.84 |
The +/- columns show the difference between season averages and this series.
Golden State Warriors Lineup – DraftKings & FanDuel Salaries
| Player | DK | FD | MIN/G | +/- | FP/G | +/- | USG% | +/- | DK/M | +/- | FD/M | +/- | MIN (P) | DK (P) | DK/$ | FD (P) | FD/$ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | $9,400 | $9,500 | 34.7 | 5.3 | 50.3 | -4.0 | 30% | -2% | 1.45 | -0.29 | 1.36 | -0.27 | 40 | 51.3 | 5.45 | 47.1 | 4.96 | |
| Jordan Poole | $5,400 | $6,300 | 30.0 | -7.1 | 32.5 | -6.1 | 28% | -3% | 1.08 | 0.07 | 1.02 | 0.16 | 23 | 24.7 | 4.56 | 23.1 | 3.67 | |
| Klay Thompson | $6,700 | $7,000 | 33.0 | 3.2 | 34.2 | -0.7 | 26% | -4% | 1.04 | -0.11 | 0.97 | -0.11 | 36 | 35.4 | 5.28 | 33.0 | 4.71 | |
| Andrew Wiggins | $6,800 | $7,500 | 32.2 | 3.4 | 31.5 | 2.9 | 21% | -1% | 0.98 | -0.01 | 0.98 | 0.02 | 38 | 35.9 | 5.28 | 35.4 | 4.71 | |
| Kevon Looney | $5,900 | $6,800 | 23.9 | 6.6 | 24.8 | 8.9 | 10% | -2% | 1.04 | 0.07 | 1.07 | 0.07 | 32 | 34.7 | 5.89 | 35.3 | 5.19 | |
| Draymond Green | $6,400 | $7,800 | 31.5 | 0.4 | 30.4 | 6.0 | 13% | 4% | 0.96 | 0.18 | 0.96 | 0.21 | 32 | 31.7 | 4.95 | 31.7 | 4.06 | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | $3,600 | $3,900 | 26.3 | -7.8 | 23.4 | -7.0 | 15% | -2% | 0.89 | 0.00 | 0.87 | 0.04 | 18 | 18.1 | 5.02 | 17.4 | 4.46 | |
| Gary Payton | $3,700 | $4,300 | 16.7 | 0.8 | 12.9 | 3.4 | 10% | 5% | 0.77 | 0.16 | 0.81 | 0.17 | 16 | 12.8 | 3.47 | 13.3 | 3.10 | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | $3,200 | $3,600 | 20.8 | -13.4 | 18.9 | -12.7 | 20% | 4% | 0.91 | -0.07 | 0.91 | -0.03 | 2 | 1.8 | 0.58 | 1.8 | 0.50 | |
| Moses Moody | $3,100 | $3,600 | 13.0 | -4.5 | 9.1 | 0.7 | 14% | 2% | 0.70 | 0.45 | 0.68 | 0.46 | 4 | 3.2 | 1.03 | 3.1 | 0.85 |
The +/- columns show the difference between season averages and this series.
Game Analysis
The Kings have been the darlings for the media and for the casual NBA fan this season, but they now face elimination on the road against the Warriors. After picking up a win in Sacramento in game five, the Warriors have now won a game on the road in 28 straight playoff series. That is one of the most incredible records in the playoffs of any sport. This has been a tremendous series so far and I expect nothing less in game six. The spread is set at 7.5 points while the game features a total of 234.5 points.
The Kings have had a fairly consistent rotation throughout this series, although the playing time for Kevin Huerter has diminished in the last two games. After averaging 30 minutes in the first three games, he has only played 20 and 16 in the last two games. He’ll start, but is likely to be on a short leash given how well Malik Monk has played off the bench. Monk is a good bet for 28-30 minutes and he has averaged over 30 fantasy points per game in the series. Davion Mitchell has had a big role as well, although his contributions have been more on the defensive end of the floor.