NBA Expert Picks Preview: Wednesday, Jan. 14

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Glean insight from the best minds in the industry as they list picks they’ll actually be targeting in their tournament games, along with detailed analysis and reasoning.

Author Disclaimer: Please remember, these picks are not necessarily safe for your 50/50-H2H games. They are intended to separate yourself from the herd in an attempt to be contrarian and different. The most logical outcomes don’t always play out on a given NBA slate, so we are looking for the guys that may surprise, that few will roster.

Wednesday, January 14th

Point Guard

Mario Chalmers – Dwyane Wade exited last night’s game with a strained left hamstring and is looking doubtful for tonight’s game. Whenever Wade misses a game, Chalmers’ usage rate skyrockets. He will play heavy minutes, get plenty of opportunities, and has a bottom-barrel price tag.

Brandon Jennings – With Jrue Holiday ruled out, Tyreke Evans will very likely assume the starting point guard duties for the Hornets. In six previous head to head matchups against Reke, Jennings has averaged 23.5 points, 6.5 assists, and 2.5 steals. If you add in that Jennings is currently in fine form and playing with a ton of confidence, he makes for an excellent play tonight.

Shooting Guard

Tyreke Evans – On the flipside, Holiday’s injury and the trade of Austin Rivers leaves Evans as the only perimeter playmaker on the Hornets roster. The Hornets are very thin at guard, and barring foul trouble, Evans will likely see 40+ minutes of playing time and an astronomical usage rate. He is a “fade at your own risk” kind of play tonight.

Monta Ellis – Monta’s floor, with Rondo on the team, has been about 30 FP’s. Last night he flashed his upside with a monster game against Sacramento. Tonight he draws an excellent matchup against the Nuggets, who struggle to defend shooting guards, in what will be a fast-paced game strongly favoring Monta’s style of play.

Small Forward

Nicolas Batum – Last time out vs. the Clippers, Batum flirted with a triple-double, and ended up with 10 points, 8 rebounds, and 8 assists. Batum handles the ball quite a bit for the Blazers, and while he doesn’t shoot much, he is an active player who plays heavy minutes and fills up the stat sheet. The LAC/POR game has the second highest O/U of the night, which only helps Batum’s value.

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About the Author

draftcheat
draftcheat

Peter, DraftCheat, Christensen is of the top Grinders in the industry. In a very short period of time after starting in 2013, Peter rose to a top 25 overall ranking and a Top 10 TPOY ranking by 2014. In 2014 “DraftCheat” walked away from the office 9-to-5 to pursue the dream to play and analyze DFS full time, and in 2015 he emerged as the FD Playboy CFB Champion, while also earning the chance to be a 2015 FD WFFC Finalist. When he’s not weeping over his hapless Twins, Vikings, and Timberwolves, you’ll find Peter on Twitter (@draftcheat) and buried deep in baseball analytics.