NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Thursday (3/20)
What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday from Mark Williams, Dalton Knecht, and DeMar DeRozan? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Thursday, March 20, 2025. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresAndOdds.
March Madness is officially underway, but if you are a basketball fan who prefers the professional game, the NBA is still going strong, with 5 games on tap for Thursday evening. There are a pair of games scheduled to tip off at 7:00 p.m. ET, with the other games each taking place at 10:00 p.m. ET or later on the west coast.
As always, be sure to monitor the NBA injury report throughout the day and utilize tools like CourtIQ and our NBA starting lineups page to help identify value opportunities in the betting and DFS markets!
If looking to target the player prop market today, we have three player prop leans worth considering for Thursday, March 20!
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NBA Player Props Today – Thursday, March 20, 2025
- Mark Williams Over/Under 10.5 Rebounds
- Dalton Knecht Over/Under 5.5 Rebounds
- DeMar DeRozan Over/Under 4.5 Assists
Mark Williams UNDER 10.5 Rebounds (-140, bet365)
Williams has been putting up decent rebounding numbers of late, but his rebound chances have been extremely volatile. He had only 6 rebound chances in 23 minutes against the Hawks on Tuesday, which marked the 4th time in his last 6 games that he’s had 16 rebound chances or fewer.
Tonight, he will have to contend with a New York team that has been better than the league average at keeping opposing centers off of the glass in recent weeks. Notably, each of the last 6 centers to have a rebounding prop released against the Knicks has gone under that pregame market number. Williams could be next in line to continue that trend on Thursday.
Dalton Knecht UNDER 5.5 Rebounds (-115, bet365)
Luka Doncic and LeBron James have both been ruled out for tonight’s game against the Bucks, leaving Knecht in line to assume more minutes. That being said, this is a tall number for him given what we have seen so far this season when Knecht has an expanded role.
Knecht has gone under this number in 7 consecutive games in which James has been inactive, including last Friday’s game in which Doncic was also ruled out. Last Friday, Knecht attempted a team-high 27 shot attempts, but was seemingly uninterested in making an impact on the glass, finishing with only 5 rebound chances in 37 minutes. The math favors the under.
DeMar DeRozan OVER 4.5 Assists (-130, BetMGM)
This season, DeRozan has recorded 4+ assists in all 8 games that he’s played with Domantas Sabonis inactive, including 5 games of 5+ assists. Most importantly from a betting perspective, he’s managed double-digit potential assists in 6 of those 8 contests.
Tonight, he gets to play a Chicago defense that has allowed the 7th-most assists per game to forwards across their last 8 games. DeRozan had 11 potential assists yesterday against Cleveland in a game that Sabonis left early. This is great value on him to make an impact as a facilitator on Thursday.
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