NBA Playoff Primer: Wednesday, May 16th

Our analysts will break down the playoff slate by position, taking a deep dive into game flows to pick out the best players for your daily fantasy sports lineups. Gain an edge in your postseason DFS play here.

Wednesday, May 16th

Tonight, we’ll see the Rockets host Golden State in the hopes of turning things around after a Game 1 loss to the defending champions – the Rockets are modest favorites in a game that should be high scoring. I’m going to again focus purely on numbers to help you build your lineups on FanDuel and DraftKings. I’ve included minutes history/projections and fantasy point projections for both FanDuel and DraftKings. It’s a pretty thorough look that should help you get the edge on those just throwing lineups together haphazardly. If you have any questions, leave them in the comments and I’ll get back to you as soon as I can.


Game Flow History and Playoff Minutes History/Minutes Projections

October 17th, 2017 – Houston 122 Golden State 121
January 4th, 2018 – Golden State 124 Houston 114
January 20th, 2018 – Golden State 108 Houston 116
May 14th, 2018 – Golden State 119 Houston 106

Name Team FD Price DK Price Game 1
Min
Series 1
Min
Series 2
Min
Projected
Minutes
Draymond Green GSW $12,500 $12,200 37 37.8 37 38
Andre Iguodala GSW $8,500 $6,300 28 27 28 29
Kevin Durant GSW $16,500 $13,500 40 37.4 36.2 39
Klay Thompson GSW $10,500 $9,300 42 39 36.8 39
Stephen Curry GSW $15,500 $12,900 35 0 25 36
Kevon Looney GSW $8,000 $3,500 25 19.8 22.6 23
Shaun Livingston GSW $6,500 $2,500 14 19.4 16 16
Nick Young GSW $6,000 $1,800 15 6 8.2 12
David West GSW $6,000 $1,500 4 16 8.2 8
Quinn Cook GSW $6,500 $1,200 0 17.4 11.6 0
Javale McGee GSW $6,000 $1,000 0 16.2 4 0
Trevor Ariza HOU $8,000 $4,300 23 34.6 30.2 27
P.J. Tucker HOU $9,000 $5,400 35 26.8 32.8 32
Clint Capela HOU $13,500 $9,700 30 31 33 31
Chris Paul HOU $14,500 $12,600 38 32.4 34.2 36
James Harden HOU $17,500 $13,900 35 35.8 34.8 36
Luc Mbah a Moute HOU $6,500 $2,700 17 0 19 16
Eric Gordon HOU $9,000 $7,100 34 31 30.6 32
Gerald Green HOU $7,000 $3,200 17 18.4 10.6 15
Ryan Anderson HOU $6,000 $1,600 5 9 4 6
Nene Hilario HOU $7,000 $1,300 6 11.6 8.6 9


FanDuel Projections

A couple notes about these projections. My projections are determined based on a normalized fantasy points per games that weights more heavily most recent production. I then calculate a defensive factor based upon matchups and multiply projected minutes times fantasy points per minute times that defensive factor to come up with my projection. S1 Proj is a well known competitor’s projections. RG projections are the RotoGrinders projections. The average is just that… the average of the three projected values. Points per dollar is calculated from that average.

Name Team FD Sal MY Proj S1 Proj RG Proj Avg Proj Pts/$
James Harden HOU 17500 50.03 58.11 55.58 54.57 3.12
Kevin Durant GSW 16500 48.36 51.42 53.91 51.23 3.10
Stephen Curry GSW 15500 49.56 42.16 47.31 46.34 2.99
Chris Paul HOU 14500 45.61 43.50 44.58 44.56 3.07
Clint Capela HOU 13500 38.15 41.45 39.15 39.58 2.93
Draymond Green GSW 12500 42.29 36.38 39.59 39.42 3.15
Klay Thompson GSW 10500 32.01 32.43 33.96 32.80 3.12
Eric Gordon HOU 9000 22.47 21.68 26.51 23.55 2.62
P.J. Tucker HOU 9000 20.82 20.19 22.07 21.03 2.34
Andre Iguodala GSW 8500 22.66 19.11 21.99 21.25 2.50
Trevor Ariza HOU 8000 15.09 18.44 22.15 18.56 2.32
Kevon Looney GSW 8000 17.01 17.40 18.48 17.63 2.20
Gerald Green HOU 7000 11.49 8.04 10.01 9.85 1.41
Nene Hilario HOU 7000 7.53 0.00 2.68 3.40 0.49
Luc Mbah a Moute HOU 6500 9.98 13.40 7.68 10.35 1.59
Shaun Livingston GSW 6500 12.19 10.16 10.58 10.98 1.69
Nick Young GSW 6000 6.26 8.25 9.7 8.07 1.35
David West GSW 6000 9.77 5.72 4.68 6.72 1.12
Ryan Anderson HOU 6000 3.82 3.60 2.16 3.19 0.53


DraftKings Projections

A couple notes about these projections. My projections are determined based on a normalized fantasy points per games that weights more heavily most recent production. I then calculate a defensive factor based upon matchups and multiply projected minutes times fantasy points per minute times that defensive factor to come up with my projection. S1 Proj is a well known competitor’s projections. RG projections are the RotoGrinders projections. The average is just that… the average of the three projected values. Points per dollar is calculated from that average.

Name Team DK Sal MY Proj S1 Proj RG Proj Avg Proj Pts/$
James Harden HOU $13,900 52.47 60.50 57.11 56.69 4.08
Kevin Durant GSW $13,500 49.83 53.25 54.87 52.65 3.90
Stephen Curry GSW $12,900 49.87 45.26 49.25 48.13 3.73
Chris Paul HOU $12,600 47.11 44.77 46.28 46.05 3.65
Draymond Green GSW $12,200 42.85 36.89 38.28 39.34 3.22
Clint Capela HOU $9,700 36.38 40.72 37.94 38.35 3.95
Klay Thompson GSW $9,300 34.33 33.89 34.88 34.37 3.70
Eric Gordon HOU $7,100 24.22 22.91 27.26 24.80 3.49
Andre Iguodala GSW $6,300 22.42 18.84 21.33 20.86 3.31
P.J. Tucker HOU $5,400 21.07 20.66 22.86 21.53 3.99
Trevor Ariza HOU $4,300 15.43 18.47 22.38 18.76 4.36
Kevon Looney GSW $3,500 15.91 16.77 17.17 16.62 4.75
Gerald Green HOU $3,200 12.25 8.34 10.31 10.30 3.22
Luc Mbah a Moute HOU $2,700 9.53 13.22 7.34 10.03 3.71
Shaun Livingston GSW $2,500 11.91 10.10 10.23 10.75 4.30
Nick Young GSW $1,800 6.82 8.49 10.12 8.48 4.71
Ryan Anderson HOU $1,600 4.02 3.77 2.29 3.36 2.10
David West GSW $1,500 9.12 5.47 4.28 6.29 4.19
Nene Hilario HOU $1,300 7.43 0.00 2.59 3.34 2.57


Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

About the Author

  • Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

  • Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix

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