NBA Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Friday (4/4)
I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our NBA DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s NBA slate on Underdog Fantasy.
Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge.
Please keep in mind that the NBA news cycle can get crazy, so what is listed below may become a better/worse play depending on how that news breaks. You can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s rotation and depth chart will look like on a given day by heading to our NBA starting lineups page.
We have 10 games on the schedule as the NBA is set to tip off on 4/4. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog this Friday evening.
First… Sign Up to Make NBA Underdog Fantasy Picks
If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog Fantasy promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for NBA matchups each day. The ball is then in our court to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.
I’ll break down the board by looking at factors like usage rates, projected pace, lines in the sports betting market, and of course, our RotoGrinders projections to forecast how NBA players might fare in categories like points, rebounds, and assists. For even more insight when making your Underdog picks today, be sure to check out our fantasy pick’em tool.
Underdog Fantasy Top NBA Picks for 4/4
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NBA picks on Underdog for 4/4 at a glance:
- Steven Adams Higher/Lower Than 12.5 Points + Rebounds
- Karlo Matkovic Higher/Lower Than 5.5 Rebounds
- Antonio Reeves Higher/Lower Than 4.5 Rebounds + Assists
Thunder vs. Rockets NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Thunder vs. Rockets NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Steven Adams Lower Than 12.5 Points + Rebounds
Adams is projected by us to have 9.89 Points + Rebounds, significantly lower than the 12.5 threshold. With our simulations indicating an 8.6% edge, this pick boasts a promising 66.4% chance of success.
Based on these numbers, opting for lower than 12.5 for Adams tonight is a smart choice. It’s a tough spot vs. a Thunder team with the No. 1 defensive rating.
Pelicans vs. Lakers NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Pelicans vs. Lakers NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Karlo Matkovic Lower Than 5.5 Rebounds
Matkovic is projected by us to have 4.23 Rebounds, significantly lower than the 5.5 threshold. With our simulations indicating a 10.5% edge, this pick boasts a promising 68.3% chance of success.
Based on this data, opting for lower than 5.5 for Matkovic tonight is a smart move. Our Defense vs. Archetypes Tool pegs this as a below-average matchup for Matkovic.
Antonio Reeves Higher Than 4.5 Rebounds + Assists
Reeves is projected by us to have 5.98 Rebounds + Assists, notably higher than the 4.5 threshold. With our simulations indicating an 8.8% edge, this pick boasts a 59.5% chance of success.
These numbers suggest that opting for higher than 4.5 for Reeves tonight is a wise choice. Our NBA DFS Defense vs. Archetypes tool has this an above-average matchup for assists at Reeves’ position.
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