NBA Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Friday (1/3)
I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our NBA DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s NBA slate on Underdog Fantasy. Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge, and I will then use my basketball and analytical background to try to pinpoint the very best of the best. Please keep in mind that the NBA news cycle can get crazy, so what is listed below may become a better/worse play depending on how that news breaks. You can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s rotation and depth chart will look like on a given day by heading to our NBA starting lineups page.
We have 9 games on the schedule as the NBA is set to tip off on 1/3. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog this Wednesday evening.
First… Sign Up to Make NBA Underdog Fantasy Picks
If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with the RotoGrinders Underdog promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for NBA matchups each day. The ball is then in our court to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.
I’ll break down the board by looking at factors like usage rates, projected pace, lines in the sports betting market, and of course, our RotoGrinders projections to forecast how NBA players might fare in categories like points, rebounds, and assists. For even more insight when making your Underdog picks today, be sure to check out our fantasy pick’em tool.
Underdog Fantasy Top NBA Picks for 1/3
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NBA picks on Underdog for 1/3 at a glance:
- Jordan Poole Higher/Lower Than 28.5 Points + Assists
- Russell Westbrook Higher/Lower Than 18.5 Points + Rebounds
- Kevin Huerter Higher/Lower Than 7.5 Points
Wizards vs. Pelicans NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Wizards vs. Pelicans NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Jordan Poole Lower Than 28.5 Points + Assists
Poole’s recent performance supports Lower Than 28.5 Points + Assists as a strong pick. While he has averaged 28.6 Points + Assists over his last 10 games, he has only exceeded 28.5 in half of them, showing inconsistency. His assist numbers remain modest at 5.0 per game, and he has notable fluctuations in his output, including standout games and low-scoring performances.
Even with Bilal Coulibaly (illness) out, our projections are on board with this.
Our NBA projections show this pick with an 8.49% edge and a 66.23% win rate.
Spurs vs. Nuggets NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Spurs vs. Nuggets NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Russell Westbrook Higher Than 18.5 Points + Rebounds
Over his last 10 games, Westbrook has averaged 19.7 Points + Rebounds, surpassing 18.5 in 60% of those matchups. Key performances include 26 Points + Rebounds against Utah and 27 against Sacramento, highlighting his dual-threat ability in scoring and rebounding. With consistent playing time (nearly 30 minutes per game) and a proven track record of impactful contributions, Westbrook is well-positioned to deliver another strong performance.
Our NBA projections show this pick with a 5.27% edge and a 63.01% win rate.
Grizzlies vs. Kings NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Grizzlies vs. Kings NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Kevin Huerter Lower Than 7.5 Points
Huerter’s recent offensive struggles, averaging just 9.1 points over 30 games, combined with limited minutes and a reduced role in the Kings offense, make scoring lower than 7.5 points a strong pick. With the Kings leaning on other key players and facing a defensively solid Grizzlies team, Huerter’s scoring opportunities are likely to remain minimal.
Our NBA projections show this pick with a 0.73% edge and a 58.47% win rate. While the edge percent is small, the win rate still correlates with a positive expected value when combined with two other projections.
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