NBA Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Thursday (1/23)
I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our NBA DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s NBA slate on Underdog Fantasy.
Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge.
Please keep in mind that the NBA news cycle can get crazy, so what is listed below may become a better/worse play depending on how that news breaks. You can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s rotation and depth chart will look like on a given day by heading to our NBA starting lineups page.
We have 9 games on the schedule as the NBA is set to tip off on 1/23. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog this Thursday evening.
First… Sign Up to Make NBA Underdog Fantasy Picks
If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog promo “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for NBA matchups each day. The ball is then in our court to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.
I’ll break down the board by looking at factors like usage rates, projected pace, lines in the sports betting market, and of course, our RotoGrinders projections to forecast how NBA players might fare in categories like points, rebounds, and assists. For even more insight when making your Underdog picks today, be sure to check out our fantasy pick’em tool.
Underdog Fantasy Top NBA Picks for 1/23
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NBA picks on Underdog for 1/23 at a glance:
- Jalen Johnson Higher/Lower Than 31.5 Points + Rebounds
- Davion Mitchell Higher/Lower Than 11.5 Points + Assists
- Keegan Murray Higher/Lower Than 17.5 Points + Rebounds
Raptors vs. Hawks NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Raptors vs. Hawks NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Jalen Johnson Lower Than 31.5 Points + Rebounds
RotoGrinders projects him at 27.74 Points + Rebounds, with simulations showing a 5.72% edge and a 63.45% hit rate. Johnson has struggled recently, averaging just 15.2 points and 9.2 rebounds over his last 5 games, with a 0% hit rate in that span. Our Defense vs. Archetypes Tool also has this as a below-average matchup for shots and rebounds.
Davion Mitchell Lower Than 11.5 Points + Assists
RotoGrinders projects him at 9.63 Points + Assists, with simulations showing a 2.64% edge and a 60.37% hit rate. Mitchell has averaged 10.6 Points + Assists over his last 10 games and plays a limited offensive role for the Raptors. While the overall matchup isn’t terrible, our Defense vs. Archetypes Tool has this as a below-average matchup in terms of shots (slightly positive for assists).
Kings vs. Nuggets NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Kings vs. Nuggets NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Keegan Murray Lower Than 17.5 Points + Rebounds
RotoGrinders projects him at 15.6 Points + Rebounds, with simulations showing a 2.27% edge and a 60.01% hit rate. Murray has averaged 17.2 Points + Rebounds over his last 10 games but has fallen below 17.5 in 6 of those contests. Our Defense vs. Archetypes Tool has this as a neutral matchup overall but a very poor matchup in terms of rebounding, which should work in our favor.
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