NBA Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Tuesday (1/21)
I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our NBA DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s NBA slate on Underdog Fantasy.
Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge.
Please keep in mind that the NBA news cycle can get crazy, so what is listed below may become a better/worse play depending on how that news breaks. You can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s rotation and depth chart will look like on a given day by heading to our NBA starting lineups page.
We have 5 games on the schedule as the NBA is set to tip off on 1/21. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog this Tuesday evening.
First… Sign Up to Make NBA Underdog Fantasy Picks
If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog promo “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for NBA matchups each day. The ball is then in our court to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.
I’ll break down the board by looking at factors like usage rates, projected pace, lines in the sports betting market, and of course, our RotoGrinders projections to forecast how NBA players might fare in categories like points, rebounds, and assists. For even more insight when making your Underdog picks today, be sure to check out our fantasy pick’em tool.
Underdog Fantasy Top NBA Picks for 1/21
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NBA picks on Underdog for 1/21 at a glance:
- Precious Achiuwa Higher/Lower Than 9.5 Points + Rebounds
- Jalen Wilson Higher/Lower Than 9.5 Points
- Jakob Poeltl Higher/Lower Than 24.0 Points + Rebounds
Knicks vs. Nets NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Knicks vs. Nets NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Precious Achiuwa Lower Than 9.5 Points + Rebounds
RotoGrinders projects him at just 7.24 Points + Rebounds, which is significantly below the 9.5 projection. This projection aligns with his recent performance trends. Over his last 10 games, Achiuwa has averaged 9.2 Points + Rebounds, hitting this mark in only 50% of those games. Narrowing it down further, in his last 5 games, his average drops to 9.8, with a hit rate of just 40%.
Additionally, RotoGrinders simulations show this pick has a 5.72% edge and a 63.45% hit rate, indicating a strong value. This also a neutral or negative matchup in terms of points and rebounds for Achiuawa in our Defense vs. Archetypes Tool.
Jalen Wilson Lower Than 9.5 Points
RotoGrinders projects him at 8.77 points, which is below the 9.5 projection, reflecting his recent performance trends. Wilson has averaged 9.2 points per game this season, and his role in the Brooklyn Nets’ offense has been limited, as he is not a primary scoring option.
Additionally, RotoGrinders simulations show this pick has a 2.27% edge and a 60.01% hit rate, indicating a favorable probability of success. The Nets’ offensive struggles, averaging just 106.6 points per game (one of the lowest in the league), further support this pick, as Wilson’s scoring opportunities are likely to remain limited in a low-output offense.
The Knicks are also a difficult matchup for Wilson when looking at our Defense vs. Archetypes Tool.
Magic vs. Raptors NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Magic vs. Raptors NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Jakob Poeltl Lower Than 24.0 Points + Rebounds
RotoGrinders projects him at 21.99 Points + Rebounds, which is comfortably below the 24.0 projection. This projection reflects his typical role and performance trends. Poeltl is not a high-volume scorer, and his rebounding opportunities can be limited depending on matchups and game flow. The matchup vs. the Magic is actually one of the toughest on the board for centers when looking at our Defense vs. Archetypes Tool.
RotoGrinders simulations show this pick has a 2.64% edge and a 60.37% hit rate, which indicates a favorable probability of success.
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