NBA Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Wednesday (1/1)
I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our NBA DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s NBA slate on Underdog Fantasy. Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge, and I will then use my basketball and analytical background to try to pinpoint the very best of the best. Please keep in mind that the NBA news cycle can get crazy, so what is listed below may become a better/worse play depending on how that news breaks. You can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s rotation and depth chart will look like on a given day by heading to our NBA starting lineups page.
We have 8 games on the schedule as the NBA is set to tip off on 1/1. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog this Wednesday evening.
First… Sign Up to Make NBA Underdog Fantasy Picks
If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with the RotoGrinders Underdog promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for NBA matchups each day. The ball is then in our court to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.
I’ll break down the board by looking at factors like usage rates, projected pace, lines in the sports betting market, and of course, our RotoGrinders projections to forecast how NBA players might fare in categories like points, rebounds, and assists. For even more insight when making your Underdog picks today, be sure to check out our fantasy pick’em tool.
Underdog Fantasy Top NBA Picks for 1/1
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NBA picks on Underdog for 1/1 at a glance:
- Cam Johnson Higher/Lower Than 26.5 Points + Assists
- Alperen Sengun Higher/Lower Than 11.5 Rebounds
- Jalen Duren Higher/Lower Than 8.5 Points
Nets vs. Raptors NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Nets vs. Raptors NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Cam Johnson Lower Than 26.5 Points + Assists
Over his last 30 games, Johnson has averaged 19.1 points and 1.8 assists per game, combining for 20.9, which is well below the 26.5 threshold. His hit rate for surpassing this mark is just 30% over those 30 games, and in his last 10 games, he has averaged 22 points and 2 assists, still totaling only 24. Additionally, his hit rate in the last 10 games is 50%, showing inconsistency in reaching this level.
Our NBA projections show this pick with a 9.57% edge and a 67.3% win rate.
Mavericks vs. Rockets NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Mavericks vs. Rockets NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Alperen Sengun Lower Than 11.5 Rebounds
Over his last 20 games, he has averaged 10.45 rebounds, hitting higher than 11.5 in just 30% of those contests. His season average of 10.84 rebounds and a 37.5% hit rate across 32 games reinforce this trend. His recent 5-game stretch shows an uptick with a 12.2 rebound average, and he’s coming off performances of 18, 12, and 13 rebounds. It wouldn’t be surprising to see him regress tonight.
Our NBA projections show this pick with a 5.42% edge and a 63.15% win rate.
Magic vs. Pistons NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Magic vs. Pistons NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Jalen Duren Higher Than 8.5 Points
Over his last 20 games, he has averaged 9.85 points, hitting this mark in 60% of those contests. His recent 5-game stretch is even stronger, with an 11.2-point average. At home, Duren has been particularly effective, averaging 10.18 points with a 63.6% hit rate. Despite Orlando’s strong defense against his position, Duren’s efficiency (69% field goal percentage) and consistent scoring make this an intriguing projection to target.
Our NBA projections show this pick with a 2.31% edge and a 60.05% win rate.
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