Giants vs. Eagles Odds, Picks, and Prediction
Giants vs. Eagles Odds
| Giants Odds | +8 |
| Eagles Odds | -8 |
| Over/Under | 48 |
| Date | Sat, Jan. 21 |
| Time | 8:15 p.m. |
| TV | FOX |
Saturday’s NFL divisional round action will conclude with a matchup between the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. In the regular season, Philadelphia won both meetings against New York, though the Giants rested the majority of their starters in a Week 18 loss. Ahead of kickoff, oddsmakers have the Eagles priced as 8-point home favorites on the spread.
Let’s take a deeper look at the matchup to see where NFL bettors can find value at sportsbooks in this contest.
New York Giants
Danny Dimes
In his playoff debut last weekend against the Minnesota Vikings, Daniel Jones completed 24 of 35 pass attempts for 301 yards, in addition to gaining 78 rushing yards with his legs. However, he will have a much tougher matchup in the divisional round against a Philadelphia defense that played him tough during the regular season.
In Week 14, Jones completed 18 of 27 pass attempts for 169 yards in a 48-22 loss at home. In that contest, Danny Dimes was more Danny-dink-and-dunk, with an average depth of target of only 5.9 yards. In that matchup, the Giants allowed pressure on 54.5% of Jones’ dropbacks. Among 19 qualified quarterbacks this fall, Jones ranks dead-last in average depth of target when under pressure (7.6 yards). No other qualified quarterback had an average depth of target of fewer than 8.2 yards.
Defense vulnerable
The Giants allowed more than 28 points in a game only twice this fall, with one of those games being a 48-22 loss to the Eagles. In that matchup, New York allowed 253 rushing yards and four scores on the ground, in addition to a pair of passing touchdowns from Jalen Hurts.
Yet, it is worth noting that cornerback Adoree’ Jackson and defensive tackle Leonard Williams did not play in that Week 14 contest. Per Pro Football Focus, Jackson graded 29th out of 123 cornerbacks this year in coverage grade. Williams finished 14th out of 125 players at his position in overall defense grade. Having both of these players back on the field for the divisional round, bettors should expect a much stronger performance from this unit.
Key injury news
Edge defender Azeez Ojulari played only eight snaps in the wild-card round and has not played more than 22 snaps since Week 15. Per Jordan Raanan, Ojulari said he will play as long as doctors give him the green light, but he is likely to be limited to being a situational pass rusher on Saturday.
Philadelphia Eagles
Much needed bye week
The Eagles finished the regular season tied for the best record in the NFL, but they stumbled their way into the 1-seed in the NFC, and were fortunate to receive a bye in the wild-card round to get some of their key contributors healthy. After a 13-1 start to the campaign, Philadelphia suffered back-to-back losses in Week 16 and Week 17 with Jalen Hurts on the sidelines, and only barely beat a short-handed New York team in Week 18 to clinch home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs.
Ahead of kickoff this weekend, Hurts has been removed from the injury report completely, though that does not mean he will be playing at 100% health. Right tackle Lane Johnson was upgraded to a full participant in Thursday’s practice – an indication that he is nearing full health after not playing the final two games of the regular season.
Ailing defense
From Week 1 to Week 14, the Eagles ranked fourth in the NFL in defensive EPA. From Week 15 to the end of the season, this unit ranked 21st in defensive EPA – allowing 40 points to the Dallas Cowboys and 20 points or more to three inferior opposing offenses in that span. On Saturday, they will face a New York offense that ranks second on early downs since Week 12, per Warren Sharp.
Key injury news
Slot cornerback Avonte Maddox will not play on Saturday. Maddox finished the regular season ranked 31st out of 120 cornerbacks in overall defense grade, per Pro Football Focus. Since he last played a full game in Week 15, Philadelphia has allowed 120 receiving yards to CeeDee Lamb and 62 receiving yards to Juwan Johnson, both of whom play a significant number of snaps in the slot.
Giants vs. Eagles – Picks & Predictions
Per Brandon Anderson of The Action Network, road underdogs in the divisional round have a 23.9% ROI on the moneyline in the last 19 years. During that time period, 1-seeds have covered the spread only 34% of the time after their bye week. In divisional rematches in which teams are meeting for the third time in the season, road underdogs are 5-1 ATS and 4-2 on the moneyline.
On Saturday, Philadelphia will be reintegrating their starting right tackle who missed the final two regular season games, in addition to playing without their primary slot cornerback. New York played exceptional football in their wild-card win over the Vikings. Expect the Giants, a well-coached team, to play well against an Eagles team that has not played together as a full unit since December 18. Trust Daniel Jones and company to keep this game competitive in the first half.
PICK: Giants +5 – First Half (-110, DraftKings)
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