NFL Advanced Matchups: Week 1
Benjamin Franklin is credited for providing, in my opinion, a most valuable citation that I have purposefully imposed on my own children: “a failure to prepare is preparing to fail.” We can apply that wisdom to an infinite number of situations in life. The statistics tell us that, in order to cash in on an investment, we’re more likely to discontinue a nicotine, heroin, or even social media addiction than turning a profit in DFS. Failure is built directly into the game. Need proof? Just take a look at the percentage chance that you’ll cash out in DraftKings’ NFL $5M Fantasy Football Millionaire contest in Week 1. Only 304,500 out of 1,194,000 entries (25.5%) will profit. And that profit rate is consistent across all GPPs.
If we’re being honest — and we are, how much of that 24-26% is dedicated to individuals who carelessly throw together an off-the-cuff lineup without dedicated research? More importantly, how much of that number is dedicated to those that not only research every conceivable angle, but dedicate 100% of their office time to those decisions? It’s relatively reliable to assume that, since you are reading this, you fully realize the odds are stacked against you unless proper preparation is followed to the letter.