NFL Advanced Matchups: Week 16
As for Week 16, the response I received following the adjustments last week to the setup were entirely positive. Adding the quick hitters proved to be a quality addition. For this week, I’ve added even more quick hitter blurbs. As always, this analysis should be used as a guide centered around playing the percentages to divulge the matchups at both ends of the spectrum. Whenever you see those FPG numbers, remember they are calculated using PPR scoring.
With this article written each Wednesday, it is very important to take note of all defensive back and other difference-making defender inactives if you plan to tail any of my recommendations, ATS selections, and/or over-under picks. QBs and receivers can see those fortunes flip as a result of these absences. Sheer target volume is monumental toward overcoming expected fantasy scoring downside due to struggles facing the various coverage scheme/s.
The same is true for positive game scripts reverting passing attacks to clock-killing ground games, and negative scripts massively increasing pace of play in garbage time. If I mention weather as an impacting consideration — ever important during these latter weeks, make sure you check the updated gameday forecast. With that out of the way, let’s cannonball into the Week 16 analysis.
Against the Spread Picks (21-15 ATS)
Minnesota Vikings (+7.0) at New Orleans Saints