NFL DFS Expert Survey: Week 13 Monday Night Showdown Slate

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DraftKings

Who are your three favorite Captains, ranked in order?

headChopper: Alvin Kamara, Chris Godwin, Mike Evans
squirrelpatrol: Tom Brady, Chris Olave, Alvin Kamara
gneiffer07: Alvin Kamara, Chris Godwin, Mike Evans
eys819: Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, Alvin Kamara

Consensus top Captains, based on the above:

1. Alvin Kamara
2. Chris Godwin
3. Mike Evans

Who is your favorite player to correlate with your favorite Captain?

headChopper: Andy Dalton
squirrelpatrol: Chris Godwin
gneiffer07: Andy Dalton
eys819: Tom Brady

Who are your three highest exposure players in your FLEX position, ranked in order?

headChopper: Tom Brady, Chris Olave, Rachaad White
squirrelpatrol: Chris Godwin, Andy Dalton, Ryan Succop
gneiffer07: Tom Brady, Chris Olave, Rachaad White
eys819: Tom Brady, Chris Olave, Rachaad White

Consensus highest exposure FLEX plays, based on the above:

1. Tom Brady
2. Chris Olave
3. Rachaad White

Who is your favorite contrarian Captain?

headChopper: Mike Evans
squirrelpatrol: Chris Olave
gneiffer07: Chris Olave
eys819: Chris Olave

Who is your favorite contrarian option to use in the FLEX?

headChopper: Adam Trautman
squirrelpatrol: Leonard Fournette
gneiffer07: Julio Jones
eys819: Adam Trautman

What player do you plan on being most overweight on compared to the field?

headChopper: Adam Trautman
squirrelpatrol: Chris Olave
gneiffer07: Chris Olave
eys819: Rachaad White

What player do you plan on being most underweight on compared to the field?

headChopper: Leonard Fournette
squirrelpatrol: Mike Evans
gneiffer07: Jarvis Landry
eys819: Leonard Fournette

FanDuel

Who are your three favorite MVPs, ranked in order?

headChopper: Alvin Kamara, Mike Evans, Tom Brady
squirrelpatrol: Tom Brady, Alvin Kamara, Andy Dalton
gneiffer07: Alvin Kamara, Tom Brady, Andy Dalton
eys819: Tom Brady, Alvin Kamara, Chris Godwin

Consensus top MVPs, based on the above:

1. Alvin Kamara
2. Tom Brady
3. Andy Dalton

Who is your favorite player to correlate with your favorite MVP?

headChopper: Andy Dalton
squirrelpatrol: Chris Godwin
gneiffer07: Chris Godwin
eys819: Chris Godwin

Who are your three highest exposure players in your anyFLEX position, ranked in order?

headChopper: Rachaad White, Chris Godwin, Andy Dalton
squirrelpatrol: Chris Olave, Chris Godwin, Jarvis Landry
gneiffer07: Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, Chris Olave
eys819: Andy Dalton, Rachaad White, Chris Olave

Consensus highest exposure anyFLEX plays, based on the above:

1. Chris Godwin
2. Chris Olave
3. Rachaad White

Who is your favorite contrarian MVP?

headChopper: Rachaad White
squirrelpatrol: Chris Olave
gneiffer07: Chris Olave
eys819: Andy Dalton

Who is your favorite contrarian anyFLEX option?

headChopper: Adam Trautman
squirrelpatrol: Taysom Hill
gneiffer07: Taysom Hill
eys819: Adam Trautman

What player do you plan on being most overweight on compared to the field?

headChopper: Mike Evans
squirrelpatrol: Chris Olave
gneiffer07: Chris Olave
eys819: Rachaad White

What player do you plan on being most underweight on compared to the field?

headChopper: Leonard Fournette
squirrelpatrol: Mike Evans
gneiffer07: Leonard Fournette
eys819: Leonard Fournette

What is your favorite game-script build and why?

headChopper: Strictly for GPPs, I like a game script of offensive efficiency and big plays leading to a higher-scoring game. I think the defensive/kicking battle will be a popular build, so I want to get different from that.

squirrelpatrol: These two teams have disappointed on offense this year, but I have more confidence that Tom Brady can get things together with Tampa Bay at home and lead them to a decisive win.

gneiffer07: My favorite game script to build is a complete blowout by the Saints. While this isn’t terribly likely, Brady has had some problems against the Saints in the past.

eys819: Tampa Bay dominates and forces New Orleans into a pass-heavy approach. Despite the heavy volume, New Orleans struggles with efficiency and turnovers, and Tampa Bay wins by multiple scores.

Which players will you restrict from appearing together often due to possible negative correlation?

headChopper: No lineups with White and Fournette together.

squirrelpatrol: With two stationary QBs, I’ll make sure that any lineups that have Tom Brady or Andy Dalton in the CPT/MVP spot have at least two receivers from the same team in the FLEX positions.

gneiffer07: Rachaad White and Leonard Fournette. While it is possible for both these backs to make value, it’s pretty unlikely.

eys819: Rachaad White and Leonard Fournette. In the last game they were both active in Week 10, Fournette played just 28% of the snaps and left the game with an injury in the 4th quarter.

What is your favorite way to differentiate from the field?

headChopper: To be different, I think I am going to remove defenses from my player pool and hope for no defensive/special teams’ touchdowns.

squirrelpatrol: I’ll aim to be overweight the two WRs – Chris Godwin and Chris Olave – that I think can break this game open, either with a long TD or piles of receptions.

gneiffer07: Go overweight on the Saints offense. While Vegas has the Bucs as the favorite in this spot, we’ve seen Brady struggle vs the Saints in the past. It won’t surprise me to see a blowout by the Saints here, and I don’t think many people will expect it.

eys819: Fade Fournette completely and go overweight on White, Godwin, Kamara, and Olave.

What is an example of one rule you can program into LineupHQ to capitalize on the above strategies?

headChopper: Player Pool – Defense – “exclude”, “exclude”

squirrelpatrol: Player Groups > New Group > 2 – 4 > Conditional Player Tom Brady (or Andy Dalton) > Add all receivers from the team to the group.

gneiffer07: Player Groups > New Group > Add Leonard Fournette and Rachaad White > Use 0-1

eys819: Player Groups > New Group > Add Leonard Fournette and Rachaad White > Use 0-1

What is your hottest take for this game?

headChopper: Mike Evans breaks his Lattimore curse and goes for 100+ receiving yards.

squirrelpatrol: Every TD in the game is scored by someone named “Chris.”

gneiffer07: Brady throws three interceptions and the Saints blow out the Bucs

eys819: Tom Brady throws for three touchdowns, but none of them go to Evans or Godwin.

Predict the final score of the game.

headChopper: TB 27 – NO 20

squirrelpatrol: TB 24 – NO 14

gneiffer07: NO 20 – TB 13

eys819: TB 30 – NO 13

Image Credit: Imagn