NFL DFS Expert Survey: Week 13 Thursday Night Showdown Slate
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DraftKings
Who are your three favorite Captains, ranked in order?
headChopper: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Mac Jones
TJ Zwarych: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Stefon Diggs
squirrelpatrol: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Stefon Diggs
TastefulTides: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Stefon Diggs
Consensus top Captains, based on the above:
1. Josh Allen
2. Rhamondre Stevenson
3. Stefon Diggs
Who is your favorite player to correlate with your favorite Captain?
headChopper: Gabriel Davis
TJ Zwarych: Stefon Diggs
squirrelpatrol: Stefon Diggs
TastefulTides: Stefon Diggs
Who are your three highest exposure players in your FLEX position, ranked in order?
headChopper: Devin Singletary, Gabriel Davis, Stefon Diggs
TJ Zwarych: Gabe Davis, Stefon Diggs, Jakobi Meyers
squirrelpatrol: Mac Jones, Devin Singletary, Tyler Bass
TastefulTides: Mac Jones, Jakobi Meyers, Tyler Bass
Consensus highest exposure FLEX plays, based on the above:
1. Mac Jones
2. Devin Singletary
3. Stefon Diggs
Who is your favorite contrarian Captain?
headChopper: Jakobi Meyers
TJ Zwarych: Gabe Davis
squirrelpatrol: Devin Singletary
TastefulTides: Jakobi Meyers
Who is your favorite contrarian option to use in the FLEX?
headChopper: Isaiah McKenzie
TJ Zwarych: Isaiah McKenzie
squirrelpatrol: James Cook
TastefulTides: Jonnu Smith
What player do you plan on being most overweight on compared to the field?
headChopper: Gabriel Davis
TJ Zwarych: Josh Allen
squirrelpatrol: James Cook
TastefulTides: Jakobi Meyers
What player do you plan on being most underweight on compared to the field?
headChopper: Patriots
TJ Zwarych: Patriots Defense
squirrelpatrol: Jakobi Meyers
TastefulTides: Gabriel Davis
FanDuel
Who are your three favorite MVPs, ranked in order?
headChopper: Josh Allen, Mac Jones, Rhamondre Stevenson
TJ Zwarych: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Mac Jones
squirrelpatrol: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Mac Jones
TastefulTides: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Mac Jones
Consensus top MVPs, based on the above:
1. Josh Allen
2. Rhamondre Stevenson
3. Mac Jones
Who is your favorite player to correlate with your favorite MVP?
headChopper: Gabriel Davis
TJ Zwarych: Stefon Diggs
squirrelpatrol: Stefon Diggs
TastefulTides: Stefon Diggs
Who are your three highest exposure players in your anyFLEX position, ranked in order?
headChopper: Devin Singletary, Gabriel Davis, Stefon Diggs
TJ Zwarych: Devin Singletary, Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis
squirrelpatrol: Devin Singletary, Nick Folk, Tyler Bass
TastefulTides: Devin Singletary, Nick Folk, Stefon Diggs
Consensus highest exposure anyFLEX plays, based on the above:
1. Devin Singletary
2. Stefon Diggs
3. Nick Folk
Who is your favorite contrarian MVP?
headChopper: Gabriel Davis
TJ Zwarych: Gabe Davis
squirrelpatrol: Stefon Diggs
TastefulTides: Stefon Diggs
Who is your favorite contrarian anyFLEX option?
headChopper: Isaiah McKenzie
TJ Zwarych: Isaiah McKenzie
squirrelpatrol: James Cook
TastefulTides: Isaiah McKenzie
What player do you plan on being most overweight on compared to the field?
headChopper: Devin Singletary
TJ Zwarych: Josh Allen
squirrelpatrol: James Cook
TastefulTides: Devin Singletary
What player do you plan on being most underweight on compared to the field?
headChopper: Hunter Henry
TJ Zwarych: Hunter Henry
squirrelpatrol: Hunter Henry
TastefulTides: Gabriel Davis
What is your favorite game-script build and why?
headChopper: Bills semi-blowout. Buffalo is very efficient on offense, and the Patriots have to throw a lot to catch up in the second half.
TJ Zwarych: I expect the Bills to be ahead, but that doesn’t mean Rhamondre Stevenson won’t be involved, as I think he still works as a run-back heavily involved in the passing game.
squirrelpatrol: These teams rank fifth and sixth for allowing the fewest points in the NFL, so I expect limited fireworks, but the offenses are still talented enough to move the ball and score some points. The Patriots are able to keep it close playing at home, but the Bills pull out a close win in the end.
TastefulTides: The Patriots’ defense is their most effective weapon; that being said they won’t have an answer for Josh Allen. I have no interest in either defense in this game due to Allen’s effectiveness and Mac Jones’ game management tendencies.
Which players will you restrict from appearing together often due to possible negative correlation?
headChopper: I only want Rhamondre Stevenson from the Patriots backfield, for the most part. Might have a small sprinkle of a value Pats RB on another roster, but only 1 per lineup.
TJ Zwarych: I’ll limit myself to one RB per team, per lineup.
squirrelpatrol: I’ll likely limit my rosters to one RB from the Bills per lineup.
TastefulTides: One RB from the Bills. I think you can go two from the Pats
What is your favorite way to differentiate from the field?
headChopper: Underweight on Diggs and overweight on the other Bills pass catchers.
TJ Zwarych: You won’t find me with a single lineup that doesn’t have Josh Allen, most of my teams will either have him at MVP, and if they don’t, it’ll be with a Bills pass catcher at MVP, with Allen in the Flex.
squirrelpatrol: I’ll go overweight cheap skill-position players who could put up a much better score than their projection. Rookies like Tyquan Thornton, James Cook, and Khalil Shakir tend to get better as the season goes along, and while they could put up a zero, I’d rather be ahead of their breakout game than behind it.
TastefulTides: All in on Josh Allen as CAPT/MVP. That might not seem like a hot take to some, but I think that is the most optimal way for lineup construction
What is an example of one rule you can program into LineupHQ to capitalize on the above strategies?
headChopper: Player Groups- New Group- Players to Use (0-1)- ‘Players in this group’, add: Rhamondre, JJ Taylor, Kevin Harris, Pierre Strong
TJ Zwarych: Player Groups —> New Groups —> Players Per Team —> Use (1-1) in Every Lineup —> Josh Allen CPT/MVP, Josh Allen
squirrelpatrol: Add Mn% over projected ownership on James Cook, Tyquan Thornton, and Khalil Shakir.
TastefulTides: Players Groups>>>New Groups>>> Players Per Team>>>In every Lineup>>>Use Josh Allen CAPT/MVP
What is your hottest take for this game?
headChopper: Gabe Davis catches three touchdowns
TJ Zwarych: Jakobi Meyers and Rhamondre Stevenson are the only double-digit fantasy scorers for the Patriots.
squirrelpatrol: Rookies account for three TDs in this game.
TastefulTides: Josh Allen rushes for 2 TDs and rushes for 80 yards
Predict the final score of the game.
headChopper: BUF 30 – NE 17
TJ Zwarych: BUF 31 – NE 17
squirrelpatrol: BUF 24 – NE 21
TastefulTides: BUF 31 – NE 21
Image Credit: Imagn
This DFS content is a part of our Premium Content Schedule and designed to help you build better lineups on DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo!, SuperDraft, and other daily fantasy contest providers. Access NFL Projections, Expert Rankings, Projected Ownership, NFL DFS Picks, and other Data Tools using this content hub. For our world-class optimizer that offers a suite of tools and information designed to help you crush the competition, please head to LineupHQ!
DraftKings
Who are your three favorite Captains, ranked in order?
headChopper: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Mac Jones
TJ Zwarych: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Stefon Diggs
squirrelpatrol: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Stefon Diggs
TastefulTides: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Stefon Diggs
Comments
why does it show allen as everyones #1 captan and stevenson as everyones #2but the concensus is the opposite. kinda hard to trust your stuff here.
Director of Premium Content
2016 DraftKings FBWC Finalist
2016 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist
Just an error on the formula of the sheet we use behind the scenes. We’ll get it fixed.