NFL DFS Expert Survey: Week 13 Thursday Night Showdown Slate

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DraftKings

Who are your three favorite Captains, ranked in order?

headChopper: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Mac Jones
TJ Zwarych: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Stefon Diggs
squirrelpatrol: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Stefon Diggs
TastefulTides: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Stefon Diggs

Consensus top Captains, based on the above:

1. Josh Allen
2. Rhamondre Stevenson
3. Stefon Diggs

Who is your favorite player to correlate with your favorite Captain?

headChopper: Gabriel Davis
TJ Zwarych: Stefon Diggs
squirrelpatrol: Stefon Diggs
TastefulTides: Stefon Diggs

Who are your three highest exposure players in your FLEX position, ranked in order?

headChopper: Devin Singletary, Gabriel Davis, Stefon Diggs
TJ Zwarych: Gabe Davis, Stefon Diggs, Jakobi Meyers
squirrelpatrol: Mac Jones, Devin Singletary, Tyler Bass
TastefulTides: Mac Jones, Jakobi Meyers, Tyler Bass

Consensus highest exposure FLEX plays, based on the above:

1. Mac Jones
2. Devin Singletary
3. Stefon Diggs

Who is your favorite contrarian Captain?

headChopper: Jakobi Meyers
TJ Zwarych: Gabe Davis
squirrelpatrol: Devin Singletary
TastefulTides: Jakobi Meyers

Who is your favorite contrarian option to use in the FLEX?

headChopper: Isaiah McKenzie
TJ Zwarych: Isaiah McKenzie
squirrelpatrol: James Cook
TastefulTides: Jonnu Smith

What player do you plan on being most overweight on compared to the field?

headChopper: Gabriel Davis
TJ Zwarych: Josh Allen
squirrelpatrol: James Cook
TastefulTides: Jakobi Meyers

What player do you plan on being most underweight on compared to the field?

headChopper: Patriots
TJ Zwarych: Patriots Defense
squirrelpatrol: Jakobi Meyers
TastefulTides: Gabriel Davis

FanDuel

Who are your three favorite MVPs, ranked in order?

headChopper: Josh Allen, Mac Jones, Rhamondre Stevenson
TJ Zwarych: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Mac Jones
squirrelpatrol: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Mac Jones
TastefulTides: Josh Allen, Rhamondre Stevenson, Mac Jones

Consensus top MVPs, based on the above:

1. Josh Allen
2. Rhamondre Stevenson
3. Mac Jones

Who is your favorite player to correlate with your favorite MVP?

headChopper: Gabriel Davis
TJ Zwarych: Stefon Diggs
squirrelpatrol: Stefon Diggs
TastefulTides: Stefon Diggs

Who are your three highest exposure players in your anyFLEX position, ranked in order?

headChopper: Devin Singletary, Gabriel Davis, Stefon Diggs
TJ Zwarych: Devin Singletary, Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis
squirrelpatrol: Devin Singletary, Nick Folk, Tyler Bass
TastefulTides: Devin Singletary, Nick Folk, Stefon Diggs

Consensus highest exposure anyFLEX plays, based on the above:

1. Devin Singletary
2. Stefon Diggs
3. Nick Folk

Who is your favorite contrarian MVP?

headChopper: Gabriel Davis
TJ Zwarych: Gabe Davis
squirrelpatrol: Stefon Diggs
TastefulTides: Stefon Diggs

Who is your favorite contrarian anyFLEX option?

headChopper: Isaiah McKenzie
TJ Zwarych: Isaiah McKenzie
squirrelpatrol: James Cook
TastefulTides: Isaiah McKenzie

What player do you plan on being most overweight on compared to the field?

headChopper: Devin Singletary
TJ Zwarych: Josh Allen
squirrelpatrol: James Cook
TastefulTides: Devin Singletary

What player do you plan on being most underweight on compared to the field?

headChopper: Hunter Henry
TJ Zwarych: Hunter Henry
squirrelpatrol: Hunter Henry
TastefulTides: Gabriel Davis

What is your favorite game-script build and why?

headChopper: Bills semi-blowout. Buffalo is very efficient on offense, and the Patriots have to throw a lot to catch up in the second half.

TJ Zwarych: I expect the Bills to be ahead, but that doesn’t mean Rhamondre Stevenson won’t be involved, as I think he still works as a run-back heavily involved in the passing game.

squirrelpatrol: These teams rank fifth and sixth for allowing the fewest points in the NFL, so I expect limited fireworks, but the offenses are still talented enough to move the ball and score some points. The Patriots are able to keep it close playing at home, but the Bills pull out a close win in the end.

TastefulTides: The Patriots’ defense is their most effective weapon; that being said they won’t have an answer for Josh Allen. I have no interest in either defense in this game due to Allen’s effectiveness and Mac Jones’ game management tendencies.

Which players will you restrict from appearing together often due to possible negative correlation?

headChopper: I only want Rhamondre Stevenson from the Patriots backfield, for the most part. Might have a small sprinkle of a value Pats RB on another roster, but only 1 per lineup.

TJ Zwarych: I’ll limit myself to one RB per team, per lineup.

squirrelpatrol: I’ll likely limit my rosters to one RB from the Bills per lineup.

TastefulTides: One RB from the Bills. I think you can go two from the Pats

What is your favorite way to differentiate from the field?

headChopper: Underweight on Diggs and overweight on the other Bills pass catchers.

TJ Zwarych: You won’t find me with a single lineup that doesn’t have Josh Allen, most of my teams will either have him at MVP, and if they don’t, it’ll be with a Bills pass catcher at MVP, with Allen in the Flex.

squirrelpatrol: I’ll go overweight cheap skill-position players who could put up a much better score than their projection. Rookies like Tyquan Thornton, James Cook, and Khalil Shakir tend to get better as the season goes along, and while they could put up a zero, I’d rather be ahead of their breakout game than behind it.

TastefulTides: All in on Josh Allen as CAPT/MVP. That might not seem like a hot take to some, but I think that is the most optimal way for lineup construction

What is an example of one rule you can program into LineupHQ to capitalize on the above strategies?

headChopper: Player Groups- New Group- Players to Use (0-1)- ‘Players in this group’, add: Rhamondre, JJ Taylor, Kevin Harris, Pierre Strong

TJ Zwarych: Player Groups —> New Groups —> Players Per Team —> Use (1-1) in Every Lineup —> Josh Allen CPT/MVP, Josh Allen

squirrelpatrol: Add Mn% over projected ownership on James Cook, Tyquan Thornton, and Khalil Shakir.

TastefulTides: Players Groups>>>New Groups>>> Players Per Team>>>In every Lineup>>>Use Josh Allen CAPT/MVP

What is your hottest take for this game?

headChopper: Gabe Davis catches three touchdowns

TJ Zwarych: Jakobi Meyers and Rhamondre Stevenson are the only double-digit fantasy scorers for the Patriots.

squirrelpatrol: Rookies account for three TDs in this game.

TastefulTides: Josh Allen rushes for 2 TDs and rushes for 80 yards

Predict the final score of the game.

headChopper: BUF 30 – NE 17

TJ Zwarych: BUF 31 – NE 17

squirrelpatrol: BUF 24 – NE 21

TastefulTides: BUF 31 – NE 21

Image Credit: Imagn