NFL DFS First Look: Conference Championship Round - Odds and Matchup Preview

The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, DVOA rankings, and more to help you get a head start on your research for the coming week.

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NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team Home Team Favored Spread Total Date Time (ET) Slate
San Francisco 49ers Philadelphia Eagles PHI -2.5 46.5 Sunday 3:00 pm Main
Cincinnati Bengals Kansas City Chiefs CIN -1.5 47.5 Sunday 6:30 pm Main

Implied Team Totals and DVOA Matchups

Offense Spread Total Opp DVOA vs. Pass vs. Run TIME (ET) SLATE
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 24.5 vs SFO 1 5 2 3:00 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers 2.5 22.0 at PHI 6 1 21 3:00 pm Main
Kansas City Chiefs 1.5 23.0 vs CIN 11 12 14 6:30 pm Main
Cincinnati Bengals -1.5 24.5 at KCC 17 20 15 6:30 pm Main

Stats credit: Football Outsiders

Adjusted Sack Rates

Defense ASR Rank Opp O-Line ASR Rank D/ST DraftKings FanDuel Opp Sack Potential Time (ET) Slate
Philadelphia Eagles 11.2% 1 San Francisco 49ers 6.3% 10 PHI $2,800 $4,600 vs SFO 1 3:00 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers 7.0% 15 Philadelphia Eagles 7.7% 18 SFO $3,000 $4,100 at PHI 3 3:00 pm Main
Kansas City Chiefs 8.9% 2 Cincinnati Bengals 7.0% 15 KCC $2,500 $4,200 vs CIN 1 6:30 pm Main
Cincinnati Bengals 5.7% 28 Kansas City Chiefs 4.8% 5 CIN $2,300 $4,000 at KCC 4 6:30 pm Main

Stats credit: Football Outsiders

Adjusted Line Yards

Offense ALY Rank Op D-Line ALY Rank Offense Run Potential Time (ET) Slate
Philadelphia Eagles 4.66 6 San Francisco 49ers 3.78 2 PHI 3 3:00 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers 4.70 4 Philadelphia Eagles 4.54 22 SFO 1 3:00 pm Main
Kansas City Chiefs 4.82 3 Cincinnati Bengals 4.33 15 KCC 2 6:30 pm Main
Cincinnati Bengals 4.38 16 Kansas City Chiefs 4.47 21 CIN 4 6:30 pm Main

Stats credit: Football Outsiders

Pace of Play

Offense Sec/Play Sit Neut Opp Sec/Play Sit Neut Offense Pace Potential TIME (ET) SLATE
Philadelphia Eagles 9 1 vs SFO 31 26 PHI 3 3:00 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers 31 26 at PHI 9 1 SFO 3 3:00 pm Main
Kansas City Chiefs 14 3 vs CIN 21 14 KCC 1 6:30 pm Main
Cincinnati Bengals 21 14 at KCC 14 3 CIN 1 6:30 pm Main

Stats credit: Football Outsiders

Projected Starters — Quarterbacks

Player Team Opp Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel P Yards Y/Att Air P TDs Int Sacks R Yards R TDs DK PPG FD PPG Opp DvP Time (ET) Slate
Jalen Hurts PHI vs SFO -2.5 24.5 $7,200 $9,200 248.0 8.2 260.7 1.6 0.4 2.5 53.4 0.9 26.5 25.5 SFO 11 3:00 pm Main
Brock Purdy SFO at PHI 2.5 22.0 $5,300 $6,900 149.5 8.0 167.6 1.3 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.1 14.3 14.0 PHI 9 3:00 pm Main
Patrick Mahomes KCC vs CIN 1.5 23.0 $7,600 $8,500 315.5 8.1 293.5 2.5 0.8 1.5 20.6 0.3 26.4 24.8 CIN 6 6:30 pm Main
Joe Burrow CIN at KCC -1.5 24.5 $6,800 $8,300 269.5 7.6 284.1 2.2 0.8 2.4 15.6 0.3 23.5 21.6 KCC 31 6:30 pm Main

P Yards = Passing Yards, Y/ATT = Yards per Attempt, Air = Air Yards, P TDs = Passing TDs, R Yards = Rushing Yards, R TDs = Rushing TDs, FPPG = Fantasy Points Per Game

Projected Starters — Running Backs

Player Team Opp Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Snap% Opps R Att Yards TDs Tar Rec Yards TDs DK PPG FD PPG Opp DvP Time (ET) Slate
Miles Sanders PHI vs SFO -2.5 24.5 $5,200 $6,200 57% 16.1 14.6 72.7 0.6 1.5 1.2 4.6 0.0 13.2 12.0 SFO 1 3:00 pm Main
Kenneth Gainwell PHI vs SFO -2.5 24.5 $4,800 $5,400 28% 4.5 2.8 12.1 0.2 1.6 1.3 9.5 0.0 6.1 5.3 SFO 1 3:00 pm Main
Christian McCaffrey SFO at PHI 2.5 22.0 $8,000 $9,000 74% 30.8 21.3 99.5 0.7 9.5 7.5 64.3 0.4 21.8 18.4 PHI 17 3:00 pm Main
Elijah Mitchell SFO at PHI 2.5 22.0 $4,900 $5,600 24% 8.8 8.0 44.8 0.0 0.8 0.6 1.4 0.0 8.5 8.1 PHI 17 3:00 pm Main
Isiah Pacheco KCC vs CIN 1.5 23.0 $5,300 $6,300 31% 10.4 9.5 45.1 0.2 0.8 0.8 7.6 0.0 8.4 7.7 CIN 8 6:30 pm Main
Jerick McKinnon KCC vs CIN 1.5 23.0 $5,400 $6,500 46% 8.1 4.1 16.8 0.1 4.0 3.2 30.1 0.5 11.3 9.5 CIN 8 6:30 pm Main
Joe Mixon CIN at KCC -1.5 24.5 $6,500 $8,100 65% 19.4 14.4 57.1 0.4 5.0 3.9 28.6 0.1 17.2 13.9 KCC 18 6:30 pm Main
Samaje Perine CIN at KCC -1.5 24.5 $4,500 $5,300 40% 8.7 5.6 23.5 0.1 3.1 2.3 17.7 0.3 8.7 7.4 KCC 18 6:30 pm Main

Opps = Rushes + Targets, R Att = Rushing Attempts, Tar = Targets, Rec = Receptions, FPPG = Fantasy Points Per Game

Projected Starters — Wide Receivers

Player Team Opp Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Snap% Tar Rec Yards TDs Tar % Air Air % DK PPG FD PPG OPP DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
A.J. Brown PHI vs SFO -2.5 24.5 $7,000 $8,000 85% 7.9 4.9 82.4 0.6 28.9% 0.0% 17.9 14.4 SFO 28 3:00 pm Main
DeVonta Smith PHI vs SFO -2.5 24.5 $6,800 $7,700 92% 7.5 5.2 66.4 0.4 26.9% 76.8 28.3% 16.0 12.3 SFO 28 3:00 pm Main
Quez Watkins PHI vs SFO -2.5 24.5 $3,100 $4,800 58% 2.9 1.9 21.3 0.2 10.5% 27.9 10.3% 4.8 4.0 SFO 28 3:00 pm Main
Deebo Samuel SFO at PHI 2.5 22.0 $5,700 $7,000 76% 7.0 4.2 47.1 0.2 23.9% 31.1 14.8% 14.3 11.6 PHI 6 3:00 pm Main
Brandon Aiyuk SFO at PHI 2.5 22.0 $4,400 $6,000 91% 6.4 4.4 56.2 0.5 22.5% 66.4 31.6% 13.0 10.6 PHI 6 3:00 pm Main
Jauan Jennings SFO at PHI 2.5 22.0 $3,300 $4,900 47% 3.4 2.1 25.4 0.1 11.7% 29.4 14.0% 5.2 4.1 PHI 6 3:00 pm Main
JuJu Smith-Schuster KCC vs CIN 1.5 23.0 $4,700 $6,100 70% 6.2 4.8 56.1 0.2 17.1% 46.1 15.7% 11.7 8.8 CIN 9 6:30 pm Main
Marquez Valdes-Scantling KCC vs CIN 1.5 23.0 $3,600 $5,100 67% 4.4 2.3 38.8 0.1 13.3% 66.2 22.6% 7.4 6.0 CIN 9 6:30 pm Main
Kadarius Toney KCC vs CIN 1.5 23.0 $3,700 $5,600 25% 2.6 2.0 21.9 0.3 6.4% 8.4 0.0% 6.8 5.7 CIN 9 6:30 pm Main
Ja’Marr Chase CIN at KCC -1.5 24.5 $7,600 $8,600 94% 10.1 6.6 80.0 0.7 29.3% 0.0% 21.2 16.6 KCC 25 6:30 pm Main
Tee Higgins CIN at KCC -1.5 24.5 $5,400 $6,700 78% 7.4 5.3 73.9 0.5 20.8% 74.3 26.1% 13.8 11.6 KCC 25 6:30 pm Main
Tyler Boyd CIN at KCC -1.5 24.5 $3,800 $5,300 73% 4.8 3.4 45.3 0.4 13.7% 47.2 16.6% 10.1 8.0 KCC 25 6:30 pm Main

Snap% = Snap share, Tar % = Share of Team Targets, Air = Air Yards, Air % = Share of Team Air Yards, FPPG = Fantasy Points Per Game

Projected Starters — Tight Ends

Player Team Opp Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Snap% Tar Rec Yards TDs Tar % Air Air % DK PPG FD PPG OPP DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Dallas Goedert PHI vs SFO -2.5 24.5 $4,100 $6,400 90% 5.2 4.1 54.7 0.3 19.4% 35.1 12.9% 12.5 9.8 SFO 8 3:00 pm Main
George Kittle SFO at PHI 2.5 22.0 $5,200 $6,800 90% 5.3 3.7 49.1 0.6 19.0% 0.0 13.3 11.1 PHI 13 3:00 pm Main
Travis Kelce KCC vs CIN 1.5 23.0 $7,800 $8,500 80% 8.5 6.1 76.5 0.7 24.8% 0.0 20.6 16.1 CIN 19 6:30 pm Main
Hayden Hurst CIN at KCC -1.5 24.5 $3,000 $5,400 61% 5.0 3.8 32.7 0.2 14.2% 25.6 9.0% 8.7 6.4 KCC 19 6:30 pm Main

Snap% = Snap share, Tar % = Share of Team Targets, Air = Air Yards, Air % = Share of Team Air Yards, FPPG = Fantasy Points Per Game

Cover Image Credit: Imagn

The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, DVOA rankings, and more to help you get a head start on your research for the coming week.

Click here to follow Notorious on Twitter.

NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team Home Team Favored Spread Total Date Time (ET) Slate
San Francisco 49ers Philadelphia Eagles PHI -2.5 46.5 Sunday 3:00 pm Main
Cincinnati Bengals Kansas City Chiefs CIN -1.5 47.5 Sunday 6:30 pm Main

Implied Team Totals and DVOA Matchups

Offense Spread Total Opp DVOA vs. Pass vs. Run TIME (ET) SLATE
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 24.5 vs SFO 1 5 2 3:00 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers 2.5 22.0 at PHI 6 1 21 3:00 pm Main
Kansas City Chiefs 1.5 23.0 vs CIN 11 12 14 6:30 pm Main
Cincinnati Bengals -1.5 24.5 at KCC 17 20 15 6:30 pm Main


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About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

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