NFL DFS First Look: Week 3
The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, DVOA rankings, adjusted sack rates, and adjusted line yards.
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NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines
Road Team | Home Team | Vegas Line | Over/Under | Date | Time | Stadium | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Titans | at | Jaguars | TBD | TBD | Thursday | 8:20 PM | TIAA Bank Field |
Falcons | at | Colts | IND-1.5 | 47.0 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | Lucas Oil Stadium |
Ravens | at | Chiefs | KC -5.5 | 52.0 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | Arrowhead Stadium |
Bengals | at | Bills | BUF-6.0 | 44.0 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | New Era Field |
Broncos | at | Packers | GB -7.0 | 43.0 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | Lambeau Field |
Lions | at | Eagles | PHI-5.5 | 45.5 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | Lincoln Financial Field |
Dolphins | at | Cowboys | DAL-22.5 | 47.5 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | AT&T Stadium |
Jets | at | Patriots | NE -21.5 | 43.5 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | Gillette Stadium |
Raiders | at | Vikings | MIN-9.0 | 43.5 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | U.S. Bank Stadium |
Panthers | at | Cardinals | ARI-2.0 | 44.5 | Sunday | 4:05 PM | State Farm Stadium |
Giants | at | Buccaneers | TB -6.0 | 48.0 | Sunday | 4:05 PM | Raymond James Stadium |
Texans | at | Chargers | LAC-3.0 | 48.5 | Sunday | 4:25 PM | Dignity Health Sports Park |
Saints | at | Seahawks | SEA-4.5 | 45.0 | Sunday | 4:25 PM | CenturyLink Field |
Steelers | at | 49ers | SF -6.5 | 43.5 | Sunday | 4:25 PM | Levi’s Stadium |
Rams | at | Browns | LAR-3.0 | 47.5 | Sunday | 8:20 PM | FirstEnergy Stadium |
Bears | at | Redskins | CHI-4.0 | 41.0 | Monday | 8:15 PM | FedExField |
DVOA Matchups (Updated through Week 2)
Note: The DVOA rankings in this chart (from Football Outsiders) are for the defense listed in the “Matchup” column. These rankings can help identify favorable matchups for the offense listed in the first column.
Offense | Spread | Implied Total | Matchup | DVOA | vs. PASS | vs. RUN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cowboys | -22.5 | 35.0 | Miami | 32 | 32 | 24 |
Patriots | -21.5 | 32.5 | N.Y. Jets | 6 | 6 | 11 |
Chiefs | -5.5 | 28.8 | Baltimore | 9 | 11 | 6 |
Buccaneers | -6.0 | 27.0 | N.Y. Giants | 31 | 31 | 25 |
Vikings | -9.0 | 26.3 | Oakland | 23 | 27 | 4 |
Chargers | -3.0 | 25.8 | Houston | 17 | 18 | 16 |
Eagles | -5.5 | 25.5 | Detroit | 11 | 10 | 12 |
Rams | -3.0 | 25.3 | at Cleveland | 10 | 8 | 20 |
Packers | -7.0 | 25.0 | Denver | 24 | 26 | 15 |
49ers | -6.5 | 25.0 | Pittsburgh | 29 | 30 | 10 |
Bills | -6.0 | 25.0 | Cincinnati | 30 | 29 | 31 |
Seahawks | -4.5 | 24.8 | New Orleans | 27 | 22 | 32 |
Colts | -1.5 | 24.3 | Atlanta | 14 | 9 | 19 |
Ravens | + 5.5 | 23.3 | at Kansas City | 16 | 12 | 17 |
Cardinals | -2.0 | 23.3 | Carolina | 18 | 19 | 23 |
Texans | + 3.0 | 22.8 | at L.A. Chargers | 26 | 25 | 26 |
Falcons | + 1.5 | 22.8 | at Indianapolis | 19 | 15 | 30 |
Bears | -4.0 | 22.5 | at Washington | 28 | 28 | 29 |
Browns | + 3.0 | 22.3 | Los Angeles | 5 | 4 | 13 |
Panthers | + 2.0 | 21.3 | at Arizona | 22 | 24 | 18 |
Giants | + 6.0 | 21.0 | at Tampa Bay | 4 | 14 | 1 |
Saints | + 4.5 | 20.3 | at Seattle | 13 | 13 | 9 |
Lions | + 5.5 | 20.0 | at Philadelphia | 21 | 23 | 2 |
Bengals | + 6.0 | 19.0 | at Buffalo | 12 | 7 | 27 |
Redskins | + 4.0 | 18.5 | Chicago | 7 | 17 | 5 |
Steelers | + 6.5 | 18.5 | at San Francisco | 2 | 2 | 7 |
Broncos | + 7.0 | 18.0 | at Green Bay | 3 | 3 | 14 |
Raiders | + 9.0 | 17.3 | at Minnesota | 15 | 16 | 8 |
Dolphins | + 22.5 | 12.5 | at Dallas | 20 | 20 | 22 |
Jets | + 21.5 | 11.0 | at New England | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Titans | TBD | TBD | at Jacksonville | 25 | 21 | 28 |
Jaguars | TBD | TBD | Tennessee | 8 | 5 | 21 |
Adjusted Sack Rates (Updated through Week 2)
Note: This table shows the adjusted sack rate (from Football Outsiders) of each defensive line and the opposing offensive line. The sack potential column helps spot the best matchups for the defense.
Defensive Line | ASR | Offensive Line | ASR | Defense | Sack Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cowboys | 28 | Dolphins | 29 | DAL | 14 |
Patriots | 6 | Jets | 26 | NE | 2 |
Chiefs | 22 | Ravens | 11 | KC | 25 |
Buccaneers | 27 | Giants | 6 | TB | 30 |
Vikings | 12 | Raiders | 12 | MIN | 15 |
Chargers | 29 | Texans | 32 | LAC | 13 |
Eagles | 31 | Lions | 7 | PHI | 31 |
Rams | 9 | Browns | 28 | LAR | 3 |
Packers | 11 | Broncos | 16 | GB | 11 |
49ers | 5 | Steelers | 4 | SF | 17 |
Bills | 25 | Bengals | 24 | BUF | 17 |
Seahawks | 13 | Saints | 13 | SEA | 15 |
Colts | 3 | Falcons | 15 | IND | 6 |
Ravens | 10 | Chiefs | 5 | BAL | 22 |
Cardinals | 21 | Panthers | 18 | ARI | 20 |
Texans | 14 | Chargers | 19 | HOU | 11 |
Falcons | 17 | Colts | 23 | ATL | 10 |
Bears | 7 | Redskins | 3 | CHI | 21 |
Browns | 2 | Rams | 14 | CLE | 6 |
Panthers | 23 | Cardinals | 22 | CAR | 17 |
Giants | 16 | Buccaneers | 27 | NYG | 9 |
Saints | 1 | Seahawks | 30 | NO | 1 |
Lions | 18 | Eagles | 8 | DET | 24 |
Bengals | 8 | Bills | 21 | CIN | 5 |
Redskins | 30 | Bears | 17 | WAS | 27 |
Steelers | 15 | 49ers | 1 | PIT | 28 |
Broncos | 32 | Packers | 25 | DEN | 23 |
Raiders | 20 | Vikings | 9 | OAK | 25 |
Dolphins | 26 | Cowboys | 2 | MIA | 31 |
Jets | 24 | Patriots | 10 | NYJ | 28 |
Titans | 4 | Jaguars | 20 | TEN | 4 |
Jaguars | 19 | Titans | 31 | JAC | 6 |
Adjusted Line Yards (Updated through Week 2)
Note: This table shows the adjusted line yards (from Football Outsiders) of each defensive line and the opposing offensive line. The rush potential column helps spot favorable spots for the offense.
Offensive Line | ALY | Defensive Line | ALY | Offense | Rush Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cowboys | 18 | Dolphins | 29 | Cowboys | 8 |
Patriots | 9 | Jets | 6 | Patriots | 23 |
Chiefs | 30 | Ravens | 1 | Chiefs | 32 |
Buccaneers | 21 | Giants | 21 | Buccaneers | 16 |
Vikings | 10 | Raiders | 5 | Vikings | 25 |
Chargers | 8 | Texans | 16 | Chargers | 9 |
Eagles | 26 | Lions | 24 | Eagles | 21 |
Rams | 2 | Browns | 14 | Rams | 7 |
Packers | 16 | Broncos | 22 | Packers | 10 |
49ers | 5 | Steelers | 8 | 49ers | 12 |
Bills | 3 | Bengals | 27 | Bills | 1 |
Seahawks | 28 | Saints | 32 | Seahawks | 11 |
Colts | 13 | Falcons | 10 | Colts | 23 |
Ravens | 15 | Chiefs | 28 | Ravens | 5 |
Cardinals | 17 | Panthers | 19 | Cardinals | 15 |
Texans | 4 | Chargers | 17 | Texans | 5 |
Falcons | 27 | Colts | 30 | Falcons | 12 |
Bears | 20 | Redskins | 18 | Bears | 21 |
Browns | 24 | Rams | 23 | Browns | 18 |
Panthers | 19 | Cardinals | 12 | Panthers | 26 |
Giants | 1 | Buccaneers | 4 | Giants | 12 |
Saints | 12 | Seahawks | 11 | Saints | 18 |
Lions | 22 | Eagles | 2 | Lions | 29 |
Bengals | 32 | Bills | 15 | Bengals | 28 |
Redskins | 29 | Bears | 7 | Redskins | 30 |
Steelers | 23 | 49ers | 9 | Steelers | 27 |
Broncos | 11 | Packers | 25 | Broncos | 3 |
Raiders | 7 | Vikings | 26 | Raiders | 2 |
Dolphins | 31 | Cowboys | 31 | Dolphins | 16 |
Jets | 25 | Patriots | 3 | Jets | 30 |
Titans | 6 | Jaguars | 20 | Titans | 3 |
Jaguars | 14 | Titans | 13 | Jaguars | 18 |
Pace of Play (Updated through Week 2)
Note: This table shows the pace for each offense.
Offense | Sec/Play | Rank | Sit. Neut. | Rank | Plays/Game | Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cowboys | 30.6 | 27 | 30.8 | 12 | 63.5 | 15 |
Patriots | 30.0 | 24 | 31.0 | 14 | 66.0 | 9 |
Chiefs | 29.0 | 19 | 29.7 | 8 | 64.0 | 12 |
Buccaneers | 30.0 | 26 | 31.5 | 18 | 62.0 | 19 |
Vikings | 30.0 | 25 | 29.5 | 7 | 54.5 | 30 |
Chargers | 30.7 | 29 | 34.6 | 31 | 60.5 | 23 |
Eagles | 27.7 | 12 | 30.3 | 10 | 71.5 | 2 |
Rams | 27.2 | 10 | 26.9 | 1 | 66.5 | 7 |
Packers | 30.7 | 28 | 34.4 | 30 | 63.0 | 17 |
49ers | 27.8 | 14 | 27.9 | 3 | 64.0 | 12 |
Bills | 27.8 | 15 | 31.2 | 17 | 65.0 | 11 |
Seahawks | 29.8 | 23 | 33.3 | 27 | 60.5 | 23 |
Colts | 29.7 | 22 | 33.8 | 28 | 63.5 | 15 |
Ravens | 31.4 | 31 | 30.9 | 13 | 72.5 | 1 |
Cardinals | 22.2 | 2 | 27.5 | 2 | 68.0 | 5 |
Texans | 28.9 | 16 | 29.7 | 9 | 61.0 | 20 |
Falcons | 26.4 | 6 | 28.8 | 5 | 64.0 | 12 |
Bears | 26.8 | 7 | 33.0 | 24 | 60.5 | 23 |
Browns | 28.9 | 18 | 31.1 | 16 | 61.0 | 20 |
Panthers | 22.0 | 1 | 28.9 | 6 | 68.5 | 4 |
Giants | 24.6 | 4 | 28.8 | 4 | 66.0 | 9 |
Saints | 27.8 | 13 | 30.8 | 11 | 61.0 | 20 |
Lions | 28.9 | 17 | 32.4 | 21 | 69.0 | 3 |
Bengals | 27.2 | 9 | 31.0 | 15 | 67.5 | 6 |
Redskins | 27.3 | 11 | 34.1 | 29 | 56.5 | 27 |
Steelers | 26.9 | 8 | 31.8 | 19 | 56.0 | 28 |
Broncos | 26.0 | 5 | 33.3 | 26 | 66.5 | 7 |
Raiders | 31.1 | 30 | 32.6 | 22 | 57.0 | 26 |
Dolphins | 23.8 | 3 | 33.0 | 25 | 54.0 | 31 |
Jets | 29.4 | 20 | 32.7 | 23 | 62.5 | 18 |
Titans | 29.5 | 21 | 32.2 | 20 | 56.0 | 28 |
Jaguars | 31.4 | 32 | 35.7 | 32 | 54.0 | 31 |
First Look Legend
TERM | DESCRIPTION |
---|---|
DVOA | Football Outsiders’ total defense ranking |
vs. PASS | DVOA pass defense ranking |
vs. RUN | DVOA ranking against the run |
ASR | Adjusted Sack Rate |
ALY | Adjusted Line Yards |
Color Coding
1) BLUE represents the “elite” category (top 25th percentile).
2) GREEN represents the “above-average” category (top 50th percentile).
3) YELLOW represents the “below-average” category (bottom 50th percentile).
4) RED represents the “poor” category (bottom 25th percentile).