NFL DFS Expert Survey: Buccaneers vs. Bears (11/8)
Our panel of experts is here to give you their insights on NFL DFS today for the 11/8 Showdown slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that features the Buccaneers vs. Bears. They’re ready to answer key questions that will assist you in making those crucial lineup-building decisions. Curious about Noto’s three favorite Captains? Or perhaps you’re wondering about Neil Orfield’s favorite correlation? Read their thoughts below!
NFL DFS DraftKings & FanDuel Expert Survey: Sunday Night Football Picks
DraftKings
Who are your three favorite Captains, ranked in order?
Notorious: Caleb Williams, Colston Loveland, Cairo Santos
ncorfield8k: Luther Burden III, Colston Loveland, Rome Odunze
Davis Mattek: Luther Burden III, Caleb Williams, Colston Loveland
Bobby Gomes: Colston Loveland, D’Andre Swift, Bucky Irving
What is the most pivotal correlation (or individual player) when it comes to your portfolio of lineups?
Notorious: I rarely decide to go all-in on a kicker, but I’m doing it tonight with Cairo Santos. The Bears have one of the best offenses in football, while the Buccaneers have had one of the stingiest defenses in football. I think the Bears will be able to move the ball within the 20s, but I could see them struggling in the red zone. If they are playing with a lead (they are favored at home), they will be content settling for field goals. My other stand is being underweight on Bucky Irving.
ncorfield8k: Caleb Williams + Luther Burden III. Since the start of last season, Burden has seen a 5.2% bump in target share with Cole Kmet off the field. I think Burden continues to crush despite the tough matchup.
Davis Mattek: I will be over the field on Luther Burden III, specifically in the multiplier spot. I think the field will be happy to play him in the FLEX but will be overweight on D’Andre Swift, Baker Mayfield, and Bucky Irving in the multiplier spot compared to what my optimal rates are.
Bobby Gomes: Caleb Williams + Colston Loveland. If the Bears win this game the way oddsmakers expect, it runs through that connection, especially in the red zone, and that’s why I’m low on Cairo Santos. Touchdowns to Loveland are field goals Santos doesn’t kick. Just as important is what I won’t do: No Baker Mayfield with the Bears D/ST, and no Caleb Williams with the Buccaneers D/ST. Those pairings work against each other.
What’s one rule/setting that you’re going to use in our NFL DFS optimizer (LineupHQ) or NFL DFS sims tool (SimLabs)?
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About the Author
Robert Brown (aka Epignosis) was having lunch at a sports bar. A football game was on. He remarked to his wife that if he could have a second life, he’d like to be someone who enjoyed watching sports. That enjoyment began when he signed up for a fantasy football league that needed one more player. Since then, he has enjoyed playing NFL, NBA, and (especially) MLB DFS. When not teaching American literature, editing content for RotoGrinders (which he has done since 2019), or making lineups, Epignosis is rocking out or jazzing it up on one of several possible instruments.