NFL DFS Expert Survey: Week 2
Our panel of experts is here to give you their NFL DFS picks for this week’s main slate contests by answering a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup-building decisions. Want to know Noto’s three favorite players for cash games? Or squirrelpatrol’s favorite correlation? Find out below!
NFL DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel Expert Survey for Week 2
What is your favorite correlation on the slate and why?
Notorious: Anthony Richardson and Nico Collins – I used this skinny stack approach in Week 1 with Richardson and Calvin Ridley and am running back the strategy again in Week 2. Richardson made more plays through the air than many expected and added 10 rushes for 41 yards and a touchdown on the ground. His ability to make plays with his legs give him one of the highest floors on the board, even though he’s a rookie quarterback. He gets to play in a dome again this week and faces a Texans defense that is a bottom-five unit and is missing both of their starting safeties. As long as Jonathan Taylor remains out, Richardson is the Colts quarterback and their best running back. I don’t mind pairing him with Michael Pittman, but I really like the bring-back on the other side with Nico Collins. He drew 67% of the team’s air yards in Week 1, and we saw what Ridley was able to do against Indy last week in a game where the Jaguars were playing with a lead.
squirrelpatrol: Josh Allen + Bills WRs + Davante Adams (or Josh Jacobs) – This slate has a number of potential games that can blow up with explosive offenses, but for price, ownership, and upside, I’m going with the Bills and Raiders. On the Raiders side, Jakobi Meyers is doubtful with a concussion, and we have seen how Adams and Jacobs have dominated the usage for this team in similar situations last season. On the Bills side, they have the highest implied point total on the slate and are facing a pass defense that allowed the 4th-most passing yards in the league last season. Allen can be paired with Stefon Diggs, who has upside but will likely see high ownership, or you can get different with Gabe Davis or either Bills TE.
Krayton: Patrick Mahomes + Travis Kelce – I love this game stack, as it’s the highest total and there are quite a few ways to stack it. First, the Chiefs are coming off a tough Week 1 loss to the Lions, and they should have Kelce back in the mix. He is a difference-maker and can absolutely blow the slate wide open. I will also look to get Calvin Ridley on the other side, as he clearly made an impact in Week 1, with 11 targets and an 8/101/1 stat line. For tournaments, I think most people will shy away from Kadarius Toney and Isiah Pacheco, but I will be looking to utilize them, as they both have huge upside in one of the top offenses in the NFL. Sure, Pacheco is in a crowded backfield with Jerick McKinnon and CEH back in the mix, but I see Pacheco taking the lead this week. So he is someone I will be overweight on in GPPs. Toney also has huge upside even though he was incredibly disappointing. I think he gets another chance to showcase his skills, and he is another great tournament option in this offense.
ebeimfohr: Brock Purdy + Deebo Samuel – The 49ers were one of the few offenses to show no signs of struggle in Week 1, and they draw an even better matchup here with a talent-deficient Rams defense. Historically, Deebo has been stronger vs. zone defenses, and the Rams played almost entirely zone in the opener against Seattle. His price is too cheap on both sites for his elite talent level and matchup, and Purdy is flat-out underpriced as well. He may not have the 40-point ceiling of Josh Allen and co., but he’s the point guard of the offense that’s going to score a ton of points, and he does bring some extra juice with his legs.
Stevietpfl: Justin Herbert + Keenan Allen – The Tennessee Titans had one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL last season, and they tend to focus on stopping the run. I think this is a massive upside spot for Herbert and Allen. Allen had a 27.3% target share and ran a route on 82.5% of dropbacks from Herbert in Week 1. He was the first read by Herbert 33.3% of the time against Miami. If Austin Ekeler sits, I’m going to be overweight on the passing game and underweight on Joshua Kelley. I think we see 40+ passing attempts from Herbert, and that’s enough for me to be overweight on the passing attack.
eys819: Geno Smith + DK Metcalf + Amon-Ra St. Brown – The Detroit defense looked improved in Week 1, but I am not totally buying it. Travis Kelce was sidelined, and the Chiefs WRs were awful in that game, dropping several passes that would have led to chunk plays. The Seahawks were disappointing as well, putting up just 13 points against a Rams D that is expected to be quite bad this season. This game will be played in the dome in Detroit that was the site of many shootouts last season, including this matchup between the Seahawks and Lions that put up 93 points. I think Geno looks to his top target to get the offense back on track, and we know St. Brown can command double-digit targets in any game.
Bobby Gomes: Josh Allen + Stefon Diggs – Diggs had his way with Sauce Gardner in Week 1, but Allen struggled in defeat. The Bills are heavy favorites at home against a Raiders secondary that has a new look. We are paying up here for a duo that represents the highest ceiling in football. If Maxx Crosby doesn’t apply pressure off the edge, angry Josh Allen is going to eat them alive. The Raiders finished 31st last season in expected points added (EPA).
Who’s your top contrarian play on the board (below 10% pOWN%) and why?
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