NFL DFS Expert Survey: Week 3 - Monday Night Football
Our panel of experts is here to give you their NFL DFS picks for this week’s main slate contests by answering a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup-building decisions. Want to know Noto’s three favorite players for cash games? Or squirrelpatrol’s favorite correlation? Find out below!
NFL DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel Expert Survey for Week 3 – Monday Night Football
What is your favorite correlation on the slate and why?
Notorious: Jalen Hurts + A.J. Brown – Hurts is an easy choice at quarterback. He offers the highest floor/ceiling combination on the slate thanks to his ability to run the ball and his 300+ yard upside through the air. I like pairing him with Brown, who could be having a much better season if two plays weren’t called back. He had a 45-yard catch overturned against the Patriots and a long touchdown called back due to a penalty against the Vikings. He boasts a 27% target share and a 46% air yards share, so a breakout game is imminent.
squirrelpatrol: Jalen Hurts + A.J. Brown + Mike Evans – This seems like a pretty vanilla stack: the most expensive QB on the slate, paired with his most expensive WR and the most expensive WR from the opposing team. But it’s so expensive that it doesn’t project that well, as it requires digging into the punt plays to make the salary work. Give me this stack paired with some Kenneth Gainwell, Olamide Zaccheaus, and maybe even some Trey Palmer to make my lineups high-upside and unique.
Krayton: Jalen Hurts + DeVonta Smith – This is my favorite game to target, and I do think Hurts and even Baker Mayfield are my favorite two QB targets. Ultimately, I love the rushing upside that we get with Hurts, and I plan on getting different with some secondary players. Smith is my favorite receiver to pair with Hurts, and I love bringing this stack back with Chris Godwin, even though he hasn’t been as successful as Mike Evans to start the season. If Tampa has any chance to be competitive, Baker should be throwing quite a bit.
ebeimfohr: Eagles Stack + Trey Palmer – The Eagles are the top stack, but they’re also a bit pricey. Most will gravitate to Mike Evans on the Bucs side, but we can get off-the-board and save some salary to jam in all the studs we want by using the rookie, Palmer. He’s the clear WR3 on this team, but they haven’t yet operated in a negative game-script that would really expand his role. If the Eagles put up a bunch of points, we could see Palmer become very sneaky, especially considering he draws the best matchup amongst the Bucs WRs.
Stevietpfl: Baker Mayfield + Chris Godwin + DeVonta Smith – The Eagles and the Buccaneers both have great run defenses. If Tampa is going to compete in this game, they’re going to do it through the air. The Eagles have allowed 680 passing yards through the first two games. I think Mike Evans will be the popular option in this passing game, which makes me like Godwin as a tournament pivot. Godwin has a 19.1% target share, and he’s been the first read on 26.8% of drop-backs. While I don’t trust it, Mayfield has looked good over the last six quarters (he was awful the first half Week 1). Smith and A.J. Brown both have a lot of upside, but I think Smith has the higher ceiling. Smith has played 99.3% of the snaps this season, which is the highest of any skill player on this slate.
eys819: Jalen Hurts + A.J. Brown + Chris Godwin – DeVonta Smith had the ceiling game last week and out-produced Brown in Week 1 as well. It feels like the classic 150 yards and 2 TDs game is coming any week for AJB. Godwin, on the other side, is in a similar situation. He has averaged 7 targets per game but has not found the end zone or eclipsed 100 yards. He should be heavily involved in a negative game-script for the Bucs.
Bobby Gomes: Jalen Hurts + A.J. Brown – Squeaky wheel narrative here with Brown after he seemed to have an argument with Jalen Hurts over not getting the ball enough. Brown is seeing a significant target share, and his air yards have been trending upward. Seems like a strong play on this two-game slate.
Who’s your top contrarian play on the board (below 10% pOWN%) and why?
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